Sammy Watkins' Rib

Not necessarily. We have two first to use in a trade up. Bears are an example of a team that could be picking top five and looking for a trade down at the right price.

I look at it this way. The defense plays better we can win more games. We certainly squeak out wins over Miami twice last year with even just a slightly better defensive performance. OR. Tyrod plays better we can win more games. We would win games against Baltimore and Seattle last year if Tyrod made just a handful more plays in each.The good thing is that we have seen Tyrod play better. He played much better in 2015. So will his 2017 resemble more closely his 2015 season or his 2016 season? This is kind of the tiebreaking season for Tyrod. A prove it season for him.

One of the other rare times it happened was all the way back in 2002 when our own Bills beat the Dolphins and Ricky Williams who had 228 yards rushing. But two Miami QBs combined for only 55 yards passing that day in the snow. Bledsoe went for 306 yards and Henry added 151 on the ground with a whopping 35 attempts.

You've given us stats for one team in the bottom 10 where this is the case, Atlanta. Does this still hold up for Seattle, Dallas, Miami and Kansas City? Can you please provide the link where you found the quarter rushing and passing splits. I'm having trouble locating those stats.

Forget top 3 then. Look at top 10 and bottom 10. Four out of the top ten teams made the playoffs. Not bad. But five out of the bottom 10 teams made the playoffs. That's even better. There is really zero correlation from what I can see.

Yet none of the top 3 teams in pass attempts per game made the playoffs last year while two out of the bottom three teams in pass attempts per game did make the playoffs. I'm not sure there is a valid point here OP. You need to be able to throw it efficiently and at certain times when the run game is not going but you don't have to throw it all the time.

Tannehill is not that special so yes, I could see Peterman potentially competing with him just like he potentially can with Taylor. Putting it another way, both Taylor and Tannehill are QBs who are or should be on the hot seat. They have shown flashes but need to show more. And time is running out for both because they are no longer young QB's, both can be considered veterans at this point.

Who's Tyler Boyd? That guy was catching everything in that video. Peterman looks a whole lot more mobile than Pennington from what I remember of Chad. We should all be hoping that this kid somehow beats out Taylor this pre-season for the starting job. Not because I don't like Taylor. Just the opposite in fact. We know Taylor at worst is going to play at an average starter level maybe even a bit better than average. If Peterman can win the job that would mean Peterman is playing very well. It would be our own Russell Wilson/Dak Prescott type situation.

If we don't make the playoffs this year there will be fans that were born in 2000 and have gone through their enitre grade school picked on for being a bills fan and having never seen them once make the playoffs in their 18 years.

Let's see how it plays out. 95% of us thought we would feel some pain from losing Karlos Williams. Also, IF we get 16 games from Sammy, that alone would cancel out the loss of Gillislee, Woods and even another player. And are they considering Goodwin one of our top three receivers? I guess technically true, but his production will be replaceable by one of the new free agent acquisitions.

Two teams you say are not good or were awful last year both finsihed 9-7. What does that make us? We could easily lose to the Bucs or Broncos. God help us if we lose to the Jets week 1.

That 92% for Patriots to win the divsion is disgusting but accurate. 14% chance for making the playoffs for us also seems about right.

Nice fortune cookie title OP.

Unless we trade him to the Browns, Jets or a similar team he's automatically going to a better situation in terms of a QB and team that will throw the ball to him consistently. Factoring that in, it's not likely that it will appear that we will get the better of it. And worse case we really get shafted if he ends up playing to his top 5 draft status.

Really Sammy should hit those numbers even if he misses 3 or 4 games.

Agree with some of your points regarding Gilmore and the defenses failures. But I think with regards to Watkins you are greatly under estimating how important the offensive philosophy and QB are for a WR. Is there a greater example in NFL history than Randy Moss in Oakland? And I think we have seen a bit more than just flashes from Watkins. His final six games of the 2015 season he played at a top 10 level if not top 5 for his position. No coincidence, he saw double digit targets in four out of those final six games. Zero double digit targets in the previous games he played in that season. (He was at 5 targets when he left at the half of the Bengals game and only two targets in the Miami game). Yes health is a big concern but I'm actually more worried about his supporting cast.

And what did we start that day off with? The #10 right? So how many 1st round picks did we net? Only one. This is pretty standard. I am not mad at all that we only netted one first round pick in the deal.

Watkins wins the properly utilized argument every time. Is there any player over the last three years that even comes close to not being utilized properly as much as Watkins? 1. Run oriented team 2. Flawed QBs throwing him the ball (EJ, Orton and Taylor). Why would you expect more than 1? You swap first and you receive an extra one the next year. That is how it always works with the exception of just moving 2 or 3 spots.

This is 100% correct. Nobody sasy we traded one first round pick for Marcel Dareus. We simply selected him with the pick we already possesed. So in the Watkins deal we traded one first and a fourth. Not two firsts. You absolutely have to factor in the compensation you receive into the equation. I agree. But unless it starts becoming the norm to say a team traded their first round pick to make their selection then it doesn't seem equally fair to say that we traded two first and a fourth for Sammy Watkins. Being fair would be saying we traded a first and a fourth.

Given the fact that we didn't pick up the option on him I wouldn't be surprised at all if his mind is drifting off to other possibilities. That would be expected from any player at this point. Just bad management once again.

But at the same time, when does anyone EVER say we traded our first round pick for Shaq Lawson, or we traded our first round pick for Marcel Dareus? Never. You say we took Shaq with our first round pick or we took Dareus with our first round pick. So techinically in Sammy's case it does make sense to say we traded a first and a fourth to take Sammy with our first round pick. At least that is the way I see since the 4th overall is better than the 8th overall. Now, if we moved back from 8th to 12th (downgrading our first pick) and also gave up another 1st and 4th round picks then it would make a little more sense. But I'm fine with however anyone wants to say it really.

This would be so depressing. So it will likely happen.

Pretty iffy IMO that the AFC West would have more than 1. Basically that means you think the Cardinals are a lock for 10 wins. Maybe a couple years ago that was true.

It's the worst if we are talking about it not being competitve for the division title. But the AFC South is still the worst overall until it proves otherwise. I still like the Bills and Miami over all four of the teams in that division. Not saying Buffalo and Miami would go a combined 8-0 against them but i do think 5-3 is probable. Throw in the Pats and you have a much better division.

That's half true. Both were to blame. Tyrod had arguably his best 1st Quarter of his career in that game. The other quarter and half he didn't do much but also didn't need to do much as we still built a 15 point lead. The final quarter and a half he was dreadful as was the defense. IIRC, the Raiders offense couldn't get out of their way in the first quarter of that game. Dropped pass after dropped pass and a couple boneheaded penalties. So it wasn't so much the defense holding the Raiders down it was the Raiders holding back the Raiders.