Back with more raw data for you folks to calm
some unrational comments about the mighty Colts:
The Bills currently rank 6th in total DVOA. In plain speak, the team has outperformed the average of all the teams on similar downs and distances by 21%.
How might this look? If the average NFL team
on 3rd&10 gains 8 yards, the Bills gain 9.6 yards. We’re an Allen snow plow away from moving the chains.
DVOA has a strong correlation to winning percentage. As does rate of first downs per play. These things are both indicative of a good team.
Indy currently sits at 20th in the league in DVOA. They’ve accumulated a -5% rate of return in this metric.
In the same 3&10 scenario where the average team gains 8 yards, the Colts are gaining only 7 and a half.
**these are offensive examples, but the metric used is total DVOA which includes defensive and special teams performances**
https://ftnfantasy.com/dvoa/nfl/team-total-dvoa