djp14150
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Posts posted by djp14150
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3 hours ago, Patrick Fitzryan said:
Every player in the league is probably on some form of PED.
I refuse to believe "technological advancements" are the sole reason why 290-lb guys now run 4.4 forty times or why the recovery period for knee ligament tears has been reduced by 40%.
Advances in surgery has occurred. Thry used to cut your knee open now they can do it with minor cutting.
with television and advancement of college sports you are finding bigger guys and better athletes. Years ago black guys didn’t play…
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On 12/24/2023 at 11:55 AM, Bockeye said:
Apologies if there already is a thread, but with so many injured and not a lot of information that I can find about precise return dates, wanted to see if anyone had insight.
Who will be back when and how are they going to shuffle the deck?
Daquan Jones - Sean McDermott announced on Tuesday afternoon that defensive tackle DaQuan Jones will return to practice. That means the Bills are opening up his 21-day practice window to be activated off injured reserve and return to active roster.
Epenesa - When asked about his opportunity to play in Week 16, head coach Sean McDermott was swift, but pessimistic in his response.
“I don’t think so,” he said.
Hyde - against LAC Buffalo safety Micah Hyde was ruled out for a second straight week a
as he recovers from a neck stinger suffered in Week 14.
Justin Shorter - Rookie receiver Justin Shorter (hamstring) had his 21-day window-to-return Dec 13. He has been on injured reserve the whole season.
Ty Johnson - Ty Johnson inactive against LAC with a shoulder injury.
Kaiir Elam - Dec 6 his 21 day window opened.
Damien Harris - Will miss extended time after exiting Week 6 and being taken to the hospital with a serious upper-body injury.Although he is eligible to return in Week 11 against the New York Jets, it seems unlikely.
Jordan Phillips - Buffalo Bills defensive tackle Jordan Phillips is set to miss at least a game or two of the team’s stretch run toward the 2023 postseason.
Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott announced that Phillips had surgery on his wrist. He sustained the injury in Week 15’s win over the Dallas Cowboys
I’m certain some players are missing from this list.
I expect Epenesa and Hyde will be playing in WC game
. I hope Jones returns for WC. Elam activation depends on other injuries.
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13 minutes ago, Motorin' said:
Actually, short of the Steelers and Bengals both losing a game, we need 1 loss by the Steelers or Bengals out of four games, combined with 1 loss by either the Jags or the winner of the Colts/Texans game (which would have to happen next week.)
Moving goal posts here…
we are talking of clinching next week. But yes similar logic applies over both weeks.
Buffalo W one for 10 wins snd others lose games so they can’t get to 10 wins.
right now PIT, CIN, JAX, and HOU/IND can get to 10 wins with one of the latter 2 being division champ. You only want at most of the WC spots that get to 10. Tie/loss by 2 of PIT, CIN, JAX or both HOU/IND L accomplish that after next week.
buffalo can get in at 9-8 if it’s just them and KC or LV tied for last spot
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17 minutes ago, Motorin' said:
We only need Cincinnati or the Steelers to lose one game if two of the Colts, Jag and Texans lose a game. And the Texans and Colts play each other.
We only need JAX and 1 of PIT/CIN loss. It can also be one of PIT/CIN L snd both HOU and IND L
JAX L with 8 wins and no matter what hou and Indy does it guarenteed the 2nd place team can’t get 10 wins. If Jags L and HOU and IND win then HOU/IND is for division title and 2nd place is under 10 wins.
The idea is only 1 other team can get to 10 wins other than BUF and CLE in WC spots.
in AFC west a 2nd place team will not have 10 wins. A 3rd place team in north can get to 10 wins
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2 minutes ago, UKBillFan said:
Why did Hurts step in field? In a way he's lucky there was a flag.
ETA - Against the defense. VERY lucky there was a flag.
That penalty isn’t called except end of half.
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Did anyone call child protective services?
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4 hours ago, Chandler#81 said:
While we never know for sure a year out, being a WC this season looks better for next season -especially with the current playoff format. I expect an 18th regular season game and a 2nd Bye will be adopted soon. I know that’s the League plan.
and back to 2 teams per Conference getting a playoff bye
how do you do the playoffs with a 2 team bye with 7 teams making the playoffs? You can go 8 teams where 4 WCs play then winners play #3 and #4 div then # 2 and #1 have 2 weeks off. Then 18 games snd 2 weeks off. That would 3 weeks pushing Super Bowl to early March.
there would be sports push back forcing them to start say in mid august locking the Super Bowl to first Sunday in February.
3 hours ago, chongli said:So you expect the NFL to add an eighth playoff team per conference?
Not just that, it then means adding another week to playoffs having a 4-8 WC weekend, next week winners play 3 and 4, then winners play 1 and 2. Going 18 g + bye adds 3 more weeks to season.
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FYI—- the current schedule formula goes through 2025.
2002-2009, 2010-2017, 2018-2025.
starting in 2026 they could change team pairings. Right now BUF-MIA are a pair that decides who they play at home and road in divisions. These could get reshuffled.
they could shuffle the home-road rotation formula for placement games
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In 2025 the 17 th game AFC-NFC placement game will be AFC at NFC for 2024 and 2025. It’s to balance out home-road over 8 year cycles.
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For 2024….placement games
2nd place — DEN/LV, at CLE/BAL, at GB/MIN
1st place — KC , BAL/CLE, at DET-
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22 hours ago, PromoTheRobot said:
... when Easton Stick made that cross field lateral? Be honest. Your mind went there.
My Briquettes were getting warm.
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1 hour ago, peterpan said:
Honestly teams that get byes usually come out flat. The bills lost guys like Milano and white early but I don’t feel like we are too banged up right now.
im curious what scenario is there where, we would play Miami in back to back weeks. In that case I think it would be prudent to save some of the playbook and set them up for failure the following week
If Miami L next week and bills W….…Bills win the game for division and KC doesn’t L then BUF is #3 and MIA could be #6 ( lose ties with browns).
IF MIA W next week, but L to BUF…MIA could be #2 and if , KC lose 1, Bills L to NE then they could be #7 in WC. IF BUF WW, and KC W out, BAL W week 18 for bye, then MIA is seed #3 and BUF by WW could be #6 if CLE WW
IF MIA L and Bills L…MIA gets division…then you have scenarios where BUF must W bringing A game, around mia being 2/3 and BUF bring 6/7 causing a rematch.Next year in 2nd place BUF host DEN/LV, at CLE/BAL, at MIN/GB ( there is a scenario where CHI in 2nd but that involves a T of GB/MIN next week)
win div its KC ( magic number is 1 for clinch division) , at CLE/BAL, at DET
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Want chiefs to lose to be able to get the #2 seed if they win the division.
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49 minutes ago, Einstein said:
We don’t need all of that to happen. The tweet included way too many.
We only need Denver loss (hopefully tonight), Cinci loss, Pitt loss.
The tweet made it way more convuluted and difficult.
If JAX L then only 2 of 3 needed. A JAX loss means the 2nd place south team will be under 10 wins. Thus only need one other possible 10 win team.
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If BUF wins next week they have 10 wins. To clinch they need a scenario where only one other team can get to 10 wins in a WC spot other than them, and Cleveland.
PIT CIN, HOU, IND, JAX, and DEN all have 7 loses as of Sunday evening before NE/DEN finishes.
IND/HOU play each other so only 1 can get to 10 W they could mean DIV W if JAX L next week and both W.
To get in with a W next week they need1. L by PIT, CIN, DEN
— all 3 would have 8 loses and only one of IND/HOU can get to 10 in 2nd place. WCs would be BUF/ MIA, CLE/BAL, and another team
Or
2. L by 2 of CIN/DEN/PIT and JAX L
— JAX L then if both HOU and IND W then week 18 becomes a div winner game. 2nd place will be under 10 wins. IND beat HOU earlier in the season.JAX swept IND and split HOU.
3. IF 2 of 3 south teams lose, then 2nd place can’t get to 10 wins. BUF still needs L by 3 of PIT, CIN, DEN.The same logic applies to week 18 f BUF L where they W and these L occur assuring that others can’t get yo 10 wins.
On other races…
MIA W next week they clinch division and control the #1 seed.
the only way KC does not win the division is by losing tomorrow and against the chargers and denver wins their 2 div games left against chargers and vegas giving den better div record if tied.
on NFC
with DAL L, if PHL goes 2-1 and DAL is 2-0 thus tied then DAL has tiebreaker edge.
CHI can get in by WW GB-MIN T, MIN L week 18, and other divisions 2nd place teams are 8-9 snd ten get in as 6th seed by better conf record then another 8-9 in. If GB-MIN doesn’t tie then they need MIN WW and be seed 6 then they get 7 seed. They L tiebreaker to min and go at 8-9 for 2nd place by common game record.with many other tiebreaks it comes to H2H between GB, MIN, NO, ATL, SEA, LAR or conf record in 3 team ties.
Rams sweep SEA
Rams beat saints
green bay beat rams
saints loss GB, min, tb and atl , rams. Beat chi
atl beat no tb , split tb
tb beat min, gb, no, chi,
min beat gb, atl, no, split chi
gb beat no, rams, chi, lost go to, min, atl , tb
chi split min, lost to gb
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Just now, stevewin said:
Should have picked him up and carried him in
On the prior series they should have let Tyrek score. Then they’d have around 3 min snd time outs to tie or win.
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26 minutes ago, Another Fan said:
The last time the Bills won a road game against the Chargers was in 1981. After that brutal playoff loss months earlier.
The Nate Peterman disaster game was against the Chargers as well.
Playing there historically has been Hell for the Bills.
So yeah I appreciate your sentiments.
They don’t play “there” anymore…
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4 hours ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:
#2 seed:
- Beat NE, MIA
- MIA lose 1 of next 2
- KC, JAX, IND, HOU lose 1 of next 3
All likely except Bills win at MIA and KC lose 1. Think if Bills do win out, they'll be #3 seed. Would be great to get that #2 and have KC come here in the divisional.
you need BAL to W a game…KC-BUF/MIA-BAL tie at 11-6 then KC is 1. -
19 minutes ago, Mr. Wonderful said:
While unlikely, what if Dolphins lose to Dallas, Baltimore and Buffalo? Bills win AFC East?
Right now Miami’s magic number to win the AFC is 2.1. if MIA goes WW then they clinch the division.
2. IF MIA goes LW or WL and BUF W then BUF is a game behind going into week 18. BUF W they get div because odpf season sweep.
3. If Miami goes LL and BUF W then they are tied. W or T week 18 goes to buffalo for division.
4. IF Miami goes LL and BUF L then it is similar to #3. Where they are one game apart and a W and BUF wins division.
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1 hour ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said:
Blame? It's just an observation about variance. 96% is a couple standard deviations above expected.
Are you factoring in distances kicked? Conditions of the day?
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On 12/20/2023 at 7:57 PM, NeverOutNick said:
this is all great but we have no shot at the 1 seed and I’d much rather have the ravens be the #1 seed then the chiefs somehow lucking into it again as usual. Go ravens, hope they beat the dolphins next week tooAlso…a BAL KC BUF/MIA at 11-6 gives KC first seed
yiu want BAL to E a game so they would be ahead of BUF. BUF loses tiebreaks to BAL
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11 minutes ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said:
Just an example of some of the negative variance that we have to overcome. It's one of those things that tends to normalize over a larger sample size but just like our luck on fumbled balls it's been going against us all season. Even though it was Easton Stick and not Patrick Mahomes I didn't feel remotely comfortable at the end of this game because I think Dicker would have nailed it from 67 somehow.
But wouldn't it be awesome if this is where the worm turns?
Now we blame the FGs against….
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2 hours ago, Warcodered said:
Ty Johnson probably out then?
That would be my guess…but on the other four ethe thread…Cook was the issue….
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24 minutes ago, Motorin' said:
There's probably 6 or 8 different combinations of scenarios where the Bills lose to the Fins and sneak in as a Wild Card.
That's a scenario that I'm refusing to think about. I'm on the "take control of our own destiny and don't look back train."
there are scenarios where buffalo clinch before week 18 occurs. See my post above.if they need to win and lose there are back door scenarios to get in.
IF BUF-MIA game is for division it’s likely on a Saturday night or Sunday night game. Depends if both have clinched or not. If they can back into the playoffs based on other results make this a Saturday game rather than a potrntial winner gets in like thr Indy- Houston game might have.
if buffalo clinched WC before MiA they could rest e erroneously if MIA clinched division
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I posted in other thread about scenarios where buffalo could clinch a wildcard spot before week 18 starts.
Buffalo WW and assume CLE has 10+ wins thus only one other WC spot team can get to 10 Wins or more
3 of these 4 occur
1. PIT WL
2. CIN LL
3 DEN lose one
4. HOU and IND both lose a game, or JAX LL. Basically a scenario where only the third place team can’t have 10+ wins
if CLE LL then a WC spot opens up. If CIN L one then their week 18 meet up only has one team at 10W.
In option 4 above, if both happen then that opens up another scenario.BUF can’t get the #1 seed. They lose tiebreakers to BAL by common games record. KC wins a KC, BAL, BUF tie.
if BUF gets WC before week 18 and MIA WW then Miami clinches division and BUF probably rests everyone. You run a risk of playing A game and win and then have to repeat it the next weekend of BUF-MIA in playoffs
Dolphins Fans ?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
I know a dolphin fan who is civil. He married my SIL niece.