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djp14150

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Posts posted by djp14150

  1. 37 minutes ago, chongli said:

     

    I doubt KC rests its starters two weeks in a row.


    thry are resting them just one game against denver since they already played.  Mohones and Kelce and their top 2 RBs will not play, Jones and a  few of the other big players on D will not play.

     

    if denver beats bengals clinching a spot, thry coukd be deciding who they want to play based on earlier game results

     

    as 7 they are at Bills

    at 6 at North

    at 5 at Houston 

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. 1 hour ago, Chaos said:

    Maybe some variation between the Broncos and Chargers, but right now the path to the Super Bowl seems established.  Do you think the Bills can do it?


    Ravens still need to beat the browns. A team that beat them earlier this year

     

    1 Chiefs

    2/3 Bills

    2/3/5 Ravens 

    3/5/6/7 Steelers 

    4 Texans

    5/6/7/ out Chargers

    5/6/7/ out Broncos

    Out/6/7 Colts

    Out/6/7 Dolphins

    Out/7 Bengals

     

    23 minutes ago, Virgil said:

    With how things have been going for us (or not going), I’m expecting the Bengals in the wildcard.  

    For the bengals to get in the following must happen

     

     

    1. they WW

    2. Fins lose one

    3. colts L one

    4. broncos L to a resting chiefs team 

    5. Chargers W one game 

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  3. Draft order as of now for top picks

     

    Team. Wins. SOS-Wins

     

    NYG   2.  142

    NE  3. 118

    JAX 3. 123

    TEN 3. 131

    CLE 3. 138

    LV 3. 142

    CAR 4   127

    NYJ 4. 128

    CHI 4. 142

    NO 5   130

    SF 6   145

     

    After week 17 spaces can be locked up because of week 18 being all division play that means teams total W in SOS can only increase by 5.  3 for 3 non common game results and their division game they play ( counts twice because of 2 meetings)

     

    if wins and SOS are tied then they will decide by coin flip between 2 or dice roll among 3 teams tied

     

    division sort does not matter…one season bills and fins were tied with same record. Fins was 3rd, buf was 4th because of normal sorting of H2H/ div record/ common games/ conf record but Fins drafted before buffalo because their SOS was worse.

     

     

  4. With Ravens winning….

     

    Chiefs earn #1 seed

    BUF magic number is 1 to earn #2 seed between them and Baltimore

     

    balt W or T they clinch division. If they don’t W div they are locked in at  #5

    PIT W and balt L, Pitt win division 

     

    Houston will be #4 seed

     

    WC still up for grabs.

    DEN/ LAC WW and PIT L then they pass them in seedlings  and put PIT at 7.  A L by either team raises PIT worst seeding up a notch of two ( if each lose 1)

     

     

     

     

    3 hours ago, SCBills said:

    Didn’t realize Houston was only a game back of Baltimore.

     

    Couldn’t they conceivably get the 3 if they win today and Steelers lose next week / Baltimore wins next week?

     

    With CIN playing PIT, not unlikely the way PIT is fading. 
     

    With losing, Texans are in #4.  Balt W are 2 games ahead with one to play. PIT is one game ahead.  Balt has not clinched div yet.

  5. 1 minute ago, Sierra Foothills said:

     

    Interestingly he seemed to get the same foot down twice...

     

    Theoretical question: a player catches the ball and hops on the same foot 3 times before going out of bounds.

     

    Catch or not?

     

     

    Not a catch.

     

    the problem is how do you count. In a foot slide/ toe drag you can have the jump 2-3 times and thrn technically be a cstch

     

    a cortolary to this is if thr toe touches first thrn you place heal down out it’s not a foot down

  6. 1 hour ago, TheWeatherMan said:

    DE is the #1 need for this team.  With Garrett this team would be SB favorites for the next several years.  Personally I’d do better than the Kalil Mack trade compensation package of 2x1’s, 3rd and 6th for KM and 2nd.  I’d do 2x1’s (2025/2026) a 2nd (2026), and a 3rd (2025).  


     

    Simple math….

     

    look at NFL individual/ team sack leaders and the teams record and think who might want to improve their numbers?

     

    im not trading 10 1st round picks for him.

     

     

  7. 4 hours ago, chongli said:

     

    ????

     

    ESPN does not have the broadcast rights to TEN-JAX. CBS does. It is also too late now to flex any game, and ESPN wouldn't be showing it on Sunday afternoon anyway as they have only the MNF contract.

     

    This is why you need to cite your sources for any announcement like this. You have done this before, and it didn't turn out to be correct, just speculation.


    I was looking at the espn schedule page for week 17 and saw that thry flipped Dallas- Philly for gb- minn at 425 and I thought I saw the tenn- JAX at 405p listed as well.  I could have misread it or It could have been a posting error by the folks editing that to turn later change it back

     

    What I’ve read in articles is under NFL contract with YouTube they are required to have 3 late game in the 4/425 slot. Right now they have only 2 games.  I don’t know what sort of exceptions are in place with games moved to Saturday and Xmas.

    8 hours ago, PromoTheRobot said:

    Only Fans, probably.


    I was thinking PornHub

    • Like (+1) 1
  8. ESPN was showing the titans jags at 405 pm

     

    they are required under Youtube TV contract  to have 3 games at 405/425.each week.

     

    maybe espn changed thus from a leak and NFL will wait to say which games moves.

    6 minutes ago, MAJBobby said:

    Don’t worry. It is NETFLIX. If the Tyson fight was a preview it will be buffering all day. You won’t be seeing any football. 

    If it buffers all day I think nfl network might simulcast these

     

    what I haven’t heard was Tyson problem due to the production/ transmission or was it on Netflix streaming issue

  9. Update they have moved Packers at Vikings to solo 425 and moved Titans at Jags to 4:05 for the 3 game late slot rule along with fins st browns for 405 

     

    2 games on Netflix for Xmas

    1 Amazon game on Thursday 

    3 Saturday game on NFL network

    9 Sunday games 

    1 Monday night game 

     

    There may be a Friday  night…..just kidding ….

  10. 2 minutes ago, mannc said:

    I don’t remember the NFL ever having Saturday games on the last week of the season…


    it’s been going onnthr past fewvyears

     

    last year  PIT-BAL and HOU-IND was on Saturday 

    22 was  chiefs- raiders ( top seed) snd titans-jags ( for divisio)

    21+KC-DEN, DAL-PHL

     

    • Thank you (+1) 1
  11. 1 minute ago, 416BillsFan said:

    Yes. The best was about 5 years ago or so when they had one division sorted out mostly in the 1pm window then the other in the later timeslot. What the league seems to have done lately is put the non-meaningful games @ 1, followed by the meaningful games in the higher-rated 4:30 frame.


    thr other piece is tv rules.

     

    thry now have a rule if division game is on national tv thrn other is safe.

     

    so since Bills-Jetsxwas Monday night, next weeks game couldn’t get moved to national TV. The piece I’m unsure on is if the game could have moved to FOX.

     

    Green bay- minnesota was on CBS earlier this year. Does that mean next weeks rematch is automatically protected for FOX without term needing to use a protection.

  12. 1 minute ago, 416BillsFan said:

    FOX/CBS can't protect games in week 18 because they aren't assigned beforehand.

    Agred

     

    the thing I’m unsure about are the new rules with moving games between networks.

     

    You’d ideally have PIT and BAL play on opposite networks with div st stake. Same with TB and WAS for a WC spot.

    Just now, Buffalo03 said:

    Miami and Indy, I don't think stand any chance at all. I don't even think they will be a consideration 

    They do.

     

    it depends on what happens week 17.

     

    the only games eliminated from going anywhere special is SF-AZ both are eliminated.

    HOU game can matter in seeding

  13. 5 minutes ago, Buffalo03 said:

    You're tired of not having having Sunday 1pm games, aren't you? Lol

    I think Vikings Lions will be the Sunday Night game. I don't think there is any chance that becomes a Saturday game

    Secondly, I don't think there is any way in hell that Miami or Indy is gonna have a shot at getting in. So, those games, shouldn't even be in consideration. I see it as 2 possible win and in games of which outside of the Rams Seahawks, there may not really be another one


     

    based on results…

     

    if DEN or LAC L and MIA or INDY W puts WC up for grabs. Thry could use MIA or Indy because they need to Winnand watch

    • Agree 1
  14. 3 hours ago, Buffalo03 said:

    As we know, the NFL likes to schedule 2 games on Saturday during week 18 with playoff implications. There are really only 5 games I can see them choosing from looking at the lineup of games but it obviously depends on what happens this week. If the Steelers beat the Chiefs and Bills beat the Jets, I can see Bills vs Patriots and Chiefs at Broncos being the 2 games as it could be both of them going for the 1 seed in the AFC. I can also see Browns at Ravens and Bengals at Steelers being 2 other games since that could be to determine who wins that division. The one other game I could possibly see would be Seahawks at Rams as that could possibly be for the NFC West as well. It doesn't really appear there will be "win and in" games to pick from and I think Vikings at Lions will be the Sunday night game as that can be what determines the number 1 seed in the NFC. 

     

    If the Steelers beat the Chiefs and Bills beat the Jets, I could definitely see

     

    Saturday January 4th

    4:30pm Bills at Patriots

    8:00pm Chiefs at Broncos

     

    I don't think these games will be flipped because if the Chiefs play first and win, then that makes the Bills game pointless. What does everyone think? What are your picks for the possible Saturday games?

     


     

    as of now the likely week 18 Sat/ NBC games….assume they do matter

     

    NBC

    Vikings- Lions

    —just not have MIN L and DET W. Any other keeps this a W gets division.

    Seahawks-Rams ( must have rams L next week )

    — Rams beat AZ next week and results of other games could clinch division because a week 18 SEA W would come down to straight of schedule  tie breaker which rams can clinch after week 17 games.

    If neither matters it could be other games but they run the risking backing into the playoff spot/ position like PIT/BAL they team test controls it with a W could move here if others aren’t 

     

    ABC/ESPN

    if Both SEA/Rams are MIN/DET matter then SEA/Rams game #2 on ESPN/ABC Saturday 

    MIA/JETs and IND/JAX if the both W in week 17 and one of DEN/LAC lose then those games could play Saturday because it's a must E and watch.

    IF ATL and TB both W then ATL/CAR could move to SAT. ATL W wins the division but TB can still get WC in week 18 with W and WAS L or GB LLL

     

     

     

    NOTES 

    In week 17 if ATL W and TB L then ATL clinch division. Other scenarios these  occur at same time

     

    PIT and BAL will need to be at same time. Nobody clinches after week 17 no matter what happens

     

    IF KC L and Bills W, Bills move to 425pm week 18

     

    SEA I believe is out of a WC spot…it’s win the division or nothing. With a WW and rams get div, thry L tiebreakers to other teams in ties at 10 wins duevto better conf record and H2H GB loss.

     

    ATL also can’t enter as a WC with results. Try WW they get division, they L they can’t get a WC

     

    WAS and TB if ATL W and TB W would occur at the same time 

     


    WAS and GB needs W to clinch WC. If they L tonight and next week they play same time as WAS and TB

     

    PHL magic number is 1 for div. IF WAS W and PHL L then those 2 occur at same time 

     

     

     

  15. 2 minutes ago, Kelly to Allen said:

    No. They are pacing themselves for a historic playoff domination. 

     

    They're are going to rest everyone week 18, manage a few others and then open up the most prolific playoff run in NFL history. 

     

    They are going to completely annihilate everyone except for KC on the road. But I think there is a good chance that they destroy KC too... KC will play their heart out in arrowhead but it won't be enough 

     

     

     


    I don’t the details of the practice squad roster rules on how many can be elevated to play in one week whrn buffalo claims entire D is banged up.

     

     

  16. 2 hours ago, Matt_In_NH said:

    Probably...Chargers have two cupcakes and they need 1 win so they likely are in.   The Broncos have to play the Bengals and Chiefs....if they lose both then the 7 seed might be Colts (two cupcakes) or Bengals (Steelers week 17).

     

    I think the Bills likely with the 2 seed will play Broncos, Colts or Bengals in that order of probability.  I feel like it is reasonable it could be the Colts.  It could also be the Dolphins if lots of improbably things happen.

     

    I see the Bengals have a better shot than the Colts, not exactly sure why....I get they are better than the Colts but the Colts play Giants and Jags and Bengals play Broncos/Steelers.


     

    IF Bengals LL…..

     

    these are the scenarios..

     

    Cincy W week 17 beating broncos…

     

    week 18 CIN beat PIT and 

    MIA W IND W.   WC7 is    IND 

    MIA W IND L.     WC 7 is. MIA 

    MIA L IND W.  WC7 is  IND 

    MIA L IND L WC 7 is.  CIN *

     

    Week 18 CIN  L to PIT and 

    MIA W IND W      WC 7 is IND

    MIA W IND L.  WC 7 is.  MIA

    MIA L IND W.  WC7 is.  DEN**

    MIA L IND L. WC 7 is DEN***

     

    if chargers go LL and denver W one  game…..much above would be the same except the *

    * LAC 

    ** IND

    ***LAC 

     

     

    1 hour ago, Gregg said:

     

    Exactly if the Chiefs lock up the #1 seed and the Bills lock up the #2 seed with a win vs the Jets then I could see the starters playing only a series or two at most at NE before putting in the backups. The starters will play vs the Jets.

    If both BAL and PT L on Xmas then Bills clinch #2 seed

     

    if Josh is hurt he likely doesn’t play on Sunday but plays first half in NE to  stay fresh   If he’s good he plays into the 3rd ( after 1st possesion) then  rest next Sunday at Pats

    • Like (+1) 1
  17. 2 hours ago, PoundingDog said:

    Listening to Josh's post game presser, I get the feeling they are not going to show their full hand the rest of the regular season - unless in a game where if they win they get the 1st seed kind of thing. Josh said as much.

     

    McDermott's presser had the same feel where he explained why Spector started ahead of Williams and one reason is that something like they didn't want to worn out either one. And he also mentioned developing young players, which sounded like Bishop, Elam might continue to play the next 2 games.

     

    Just seems like they have a strategy in place and health is as important as the wins the next 2 weeks. If they are only going to run plays they have shown, even against Jets and Patriots, it might be tough sledding. 

     

     

     


    they also didn’t want to show their full defense against 2 nfc teams they could face in the SB


  18. early notes on week 18 schedule…

     

    MIN/DET is the early NBC favorite

     

    IF Bills W, KC L then bills could play at 425 

     

    If ATL is tied or one game behind TB then they both play at same time.

     

    IF rams L and SEA W then SEA/ Rams is a late Saturday/ Sunday candidate 

     

     

     

     

     

     

  19. 4 minutes ago, Donuts and Doritos said:

    I'm a big Pitt fan the next 2 weeks. Do not want to see the Ravens.


     

    IF PIT W division, BAL can be anything from 5 to 7 seed.

    2 minutes ago, Dick_Cheney said:

    I genuinely believe they are the only team that will beat us in the playoffs if we have to play them.

    In the playoffs — anyone can beat anyone else.  Holding teams to FG/ no scores and winning the TO battle usually decide things.

     

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