Jump to content

djp14150

Community Member
  • Posts

    3,836
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by djp14150

  1. Miami still controls their own fate, I believe.

     

    Nobody controls ther own fate in the AFC

     

    MIA w, BAL w Sd w---MIA--better conference record

    MIA w BAL w SD l--BAL---H2H win

    MIA W BAL L SD W- MIA--H2H win

    MIa W BAL L SD L--MIA

    MIA L, BAL w Sd w---BAL--better conference record

    MIA L BAL w SD l--BAL

    MIA L BAL L SD W- SD

    MIa L BAL L SD L---IF PIt W then PIT, then BAL--why--Jets beat MIA , Jets in 2nd, PIt W, BAL L, PIT in 2nd, PIT win a Jes-tPIT-SD tiebreaker because of conference record.

     

    The only correlation that carries over from one season to the next for non-playoff teams is close losses. Those teams that miss out on the playoffs but are in contention for many of the games have a good shot at making the playoffs. Winning down the stretch doesn't help. But I would argue dropping a few spots in a draft is not that big a deal. Guys get drafted higher and lower than projected all the time. A few spots means nothing.

     

    There is actually a strong correlation to teams that finish strong the season before. for example CAR started off last year slow but finished strong. It also depends on how stable there coaching staff and players on the team are.

  2. I said that in my original post----They want the games to be competitive. since the #1 seed is still alive with a win by NE and a DEN loss---If NE lose then DEN sits their players.

     

    I am surprised they are going to move GB/CHI to 4:25 because FOX doesnt have that great of a schedule for 1pm. The only game would be CAR/ATL with cAr winning to clinch division. They lose and NO wins then NO get division.

     

    NO needed to move to 4:25 was because of the wild card spot still at play.

     

    If SF lose tomorrow......NO clinches and SF/AZ becomes a winner takes all game. NO has H2H against both.

    IF SF win tomorrow---they clinch a wild card and it becomes a situation of AZ needing to win and NO lose for AZ to get the WC.

  3. This is just my guess:

     

    CBS:

     

    NYJ/MIA

    BAL/CIN

    CLE/PIT

    JAX/IND

    HOU/TEN

     

     

    4:25

     

    DEN-OAK

    KC-SD

    BUF-NE

     

     

    BUF/NE moves here because DEN L and NE W, NE is #1 seed. If DEN knows NE lost then they rest everyone.

     

    FOX:

    GB/CHI

    DET/MIN

    NYG/WAS

     

    4:25

     

    SF/AZ (***)

    STL/SEA

    TB/NO

    CAR/ATL

     

    NBC

     

    PHL/DAL (***)

     

    (***) IF SF wins MNF

     

    IF SF lose then SF/AZ goes to NBC in a winner take all for a WC, DAL/PHL is the national game at 4:25 with just STL/SEA on at 4:25 with all other games happening at 1:00

  4. in the aFC baring a major comeback by OAK to beat SD and BAL to beat NE.....

     

    going tinto next week its

     

    MIA, SD, and BAL all 8-7

    PIT at 7-8 (if win today--lose they are out)

     

    A 3 way tie it goes to MIA

     

    BAL W & SD or MIA lose

    MIA W & SD win

    SD W & MIA and BAL lose

    all 3 lose and PIT win for 8-8 then PIT in.

     

    In the NFC.....

     

    AZ won today.....

    SF plays on Monday

     

    AZ needs to win next week and either have NO lose week 17 or SF lose on Monday.

    NO win and in

    SF win and in

    SF win last 2 and SEA lose, SF wins division.

     

    GB losing....they are still alive

    Detroit losing eliminates them

     

    Chicago wins clinches the division tonight...a loss---then GB/CHI still means winner gets the division title.

     

    PHL/DAL next week still is winner take all.

  5. Green Bay Pittsburgh

     

     

    Green Bay lines up for a FG to tie... line up for a short one. close to an extra point attempt. FG is blocked.

     

    In the attempt of a recovery and run back the pittsburgh player appears to pick it up then laterals it to a teammate. The team mate did not have possession and bobbled it then intentionally knocked it out of bounds.

     

    the rulling by the officials was an intnetionally batted ball by Pittsburgh but Pittsburgh did not have posession so the penalty is against pittsburgh with Green Bay retaining posseion so half the distance and 1st down for Green Bay. Green Bay next play gets a TD for the lead,

     

    Officials claimed it was not reviewable.

     

    Tomlin was livid.

  6. Bills are slotted 10th by strength of schedule tie breaker. ESPN draft page will be updated later tonight to reflect that.

     

    Mine is more accurate.

     

    ESPNs does not add the games yet to play---mine takes into account who the schedule will be and those teams current wins.

     

    Mine adds the total wins of the 2 divisions you face, the wins of your division teams x2 + the wins of the other 2 teams.

     

     

    1 HOU 2 130

    2 WAS 3 117

    3 JAX 4 118

    4 OAK 4 119 --play at 4pm

    5 CLE 4 121

    6 ATL 4 129.5 --play on Monday

    7 TB 4 134

    8 MIN 4.5 120

    9 NYG 5 122 ---play at 4pm

    10 PIT 6 112 ----play at 4pm

    11 TEN 6 117

    12 BUF 6 122

  7. updated........

     

    AFC

     

    Cincinnati clinch a WC

    Patriots clinched the AFC East

    Denver clinched the AFC West + bye---clinch #1 w/PATS loss

     

    Baltimore clinch a WC with a win this afternoon by beating NE and SD losing. MIA/BAL/SD tie at 9-7 goes to MIA, BAL over MIA and Sd in a 2 team tie.

     

    If BAL wins then next week BAL/CIN is for the division and potentially a bye

     

    NFC

     

    with DAL winning no matter what PHL does, tnext week PHL/DAL game winner gets division title.

     

    CAR clinched a WC spot, CAR win division w/win or NO loss.

     

    IF AZ loses this afternoon, both SF and NO back into the playoffs with a WC spot.

     

    As for the draft---BUFFALO is at #12 as of now

  8. The Bills were defeated by 4 of the teams ahead of them on that draft order. :doh:

    this is the most up to date....

     

    1 HOU 2 124

    2 WAS 3 114

    3 JAX 4 111

    4 OAK 4 112

    5 CLE 4 117

    6 ATL 4 124.5

    7 TB 4 129

    8 MIN 4.5 117

    9 TEN 5 112

    10 BUF 5 118

    11 NYG 5 118

     

     

    If BUF and NYG stay tied then it will be decided by a coin flip.

     

    Next week will prety much decide the order outside of wins and loses by individual wins because of the intradivisional play a teams would only change based on their non common opponets win or lose.

     

    In week 17 Each team will increase by 6 because of the intradivision of the 2 divisions they play( add 2 each), and their other divisional opponent play each other (add 2)--if they lose they will increase by 1 due to their oppponent, and then the non common opponents will add 0,1, or 2.

     

    So if the difference is 3 or more you cant catch, if difference is 2 you can only tie, if its within 1 you can pass or get passed.

     

    If BUF were to lose they at best could make it up to 6. I dont see them passing OAK or JAX if they won.

  9. NFC East

     

    If PHL win and DAL lose--PHL win division in week 16 otherwise week 17 for division title.

     

     

    NFC North...with Lions loss...this makes them lose control.

     

    IF CHI and GB win next week DET is eliminated. DET needs one to lose next week, and then have the loser win tweek 17 and also win out their last 2 games.

     

    NFC AZ, NO, CAR, SF

     

    Arizona they need to win out and have Carolina or SF lose an additional game.

     

    SF and AZ tie- SF in 2nd either H2H or division record

    CAR and AZ- AZ due to H2H

    IF SF, CAR, and AZ all tied…CAR seed #5 due to H2H over SF, SF seed #6 due to AZ tiebreaker

     

    NO beat AZ, lost to SF

     

    next week NO at CAR game will effectively decide the division title. NO win division with win. Carolina still needs to win the following week or have NO lose to clinch division.

     

    Arizona is in a difficult situation. They need SF to lose next week. Sf win SF clinch 2nd place and their will be no way for AZ to pass them and make the playoffs with a win...here is why

     

    If SF WL then SF 11-5 and AZ WW AZ 11-5

     

    2. SF 11-5

    3. AZ 11-5

     

     

    Going into week 17 game NO/CAR loser would be 10-5. They both beat SF so a win and then get the edge for #5 over SF thus AZ cant control their own fate even by winning out.

     

    For AZ to make it they need to win 2 and have one of the other 3 teams lose 2.....good luck.

     

     

     

     

    AFC....

     

    Tennessee is eliminated.....

     

     

     

     

     

    10-6 BAL, MIA, CIN, NE

    CIN go 1-1

    NE 0-2

    BAL win last 2

    MIA win last 2

     

    division....

    BAL would get the division by season sweep

    MIA would get division by better division record

    BAL over NE by H2H

    CIN over NE by H2H

    MIA over CIN by H2H

    BAL over MIA by H2H

     

    if NE wins 1 of last 2 they clinch division, or have BAL/MIA lose 1.

    Cincinati needs to beat BAL, or habe BALT lose to NE.

     

    9-7 BAL, MIA, SD

     

    MIA-SD MIA H2H

    BAL-MIA BAL H2H

    SD-BAL BAL conf record

    MIA-BAL-SD MIA conf record

     

    8-8 PIT--Jets are now eliminated

     

    MIA 0-2, BAL go 0-2, and SD need to go 1-1 or 0-2

     

    MIA beat PIT, PIT would get 2nd place in a tie with BAL at 8-8 either by div record

     

    For PIT to get in they need to get to 8-8 and have Jets win out to go to 8-8 and be in 2nd place and have SD lose 1

     

    PIT H2H over Jets

    PIT conf record over SD

    PIT, NYJ, SD tie PIT conf record

     

    PIT is tied with MIA at 8-8---MIA has the H2H and if SD was also tied MIA gets in because of beating both teams.

     

     

     

     

     

    St. Louis on the verge of getting the 2nd overall pick and another top 10-15 pick. Wow!

     

    If HOU wins 1 and WAS lose 2 then WAS ---err STL gets the #1 overall.

     

    1 HOU 2 123

    2 WAS 3 114

    3 JAX 4 111

    4 OAK 4 112

    5 CLE 4 114

    6 ATL 4 124.5

    7 TB 4 129

    8 MIN 4.5 116

    9 TEN 5 112

    10 BUF 5 117

    11 NYG 5 118

  10. NFC East

     

    If PHL win and DAL lose--PHL win division in week 16 otherwise week 17 for division title.

     

     

    NFC North...with Lions loss...this makes them lose control.

     

    IF CHI and GB win next week DET is eliminated. DET needs one to lose next week, and then have the loser win tweek 17 and also win out their last 2 games.

     

    NFC AZ, NO, CAR, SF

     

    Arizona they need to win out and have Carolina or SF lose an additional game.

     

    SF and AZ tie- SF in 2nd either H2H or division record

    CAR and AZ- AZ due to H2H

    IF SF, CAR, and AZ all tied…CAR seed #5 due to H2H over SF, SF seed #6 due to AZ tiebreaker

     

    NO beat AZ, lost to SF

     

    next week NO at CAR game will effectively decide the division title. NO win division with win. Carolina still needs to win the following week or have NO lose to clinch division.

     

    Arizona is in a difficult situation. They need SF to lose next week. Sf win SF clinch 2nd place and their will be no way for AZ to pass them and make the playoffs with a win...here is why

     

    If SF WL then SF 11-5 and AZ WW AZ 11-5

     

    2. SF 11-5

    3. AZ 11-5

     

     

    Going into week 17 game NO/CAR loser would be 10-5. They both beat SF so a win and then get the edge for #5 over SF thus AZ cant control their own fate even by winning out.

     

    For AZ to make it they need to win 2 and have one of the other 3 teams lose 2.....good luck.

     

     

     

     

    AFC....

     

    Tennessee is eliminated.....

     

     

     

     

     

    10-6 BAL, MIA, CIN, NE

    CIN go 1-1

    NE 0-2

    BAL win last 2

    MIA win last 2

     

    division....

    BAL would get the division by season sweep

    MIA would get division by better division record

    BAL over NE by H2H

    CIN over NE by H2H

    MIA over CIN by H2H

    BAL over MIA by H2H

     

    if NE wins 1 of last 2 they clinch division, or have BAL/MIA lose 1.

    Cincinati needs to beat BAL, or habe BALT lose to NE.

     

    9-7 BAL, MIA, SD

     

    MIA-SD MIA H2H

    BAL-MIA BAL H2H

    SD-BAL BAL conf record

    MIA-BAL-SD MIA conf record

     

    8-8 PIT--Jets are now eliminated

     

    MIA 0-2, BAL go 0-2, and SD need to go 1-1 or 0-2

     

    MIA beat PIT, PIT would get 2nd place in a tie with BAL at 8-8 either by div record

     

    For PIT to get in they need to get to 8-8 and have Jets win out to go to 8-8 and be in 2nd place and have SD lose 1

     

    PIT H2H over Jets

    PIT conf record over SD

    PIT, NYJ, SD tie PIT conf record

     

    PIT is tied with MIA at 8-8---MIA has the H2H and if SD was also tied MIA gets in because of beating both teams.

     

     

     

     

     

    St. Louis on the verge of getting the 2nd overall pick and another top 10-15 pick. Wow!

     

    If HOU wins 1 and WAS lose 2 then WAS ---err STL gets the #1 overall.

     

    1 HOU 2 124

    2 WAS 3 114

    3 JAX 4 111

    4 OAK 4 112

    5 CLE 4 117

    6 ATL 4 124.5

    7 TB 4 129

    8 MIN 4.5 117

    9 TEN 5 112

    10 BUF 5 118

    11 NYG 5 118

  11. NFC East

     

    If PHL win and DAL lose--PHL win division in week 16 otherwise week 17 for division title.

     

     

    NFC North...with Lions loss...this makes them lose control.

     

    IF CHI and GB win next week DET is eliminated. DET needs one to lose next week, and then have the loser win tweek 17 and also win out their last 2 games.

     

    NFC AZ, NO, CAR, SF

     

    Arizona they need to win out and have Carolina or SF lose an additional game.

     

    SF and AZ tie- SF in 2nd either H2H or division record

    CAR and AZ- AZ due to H2H

    IF SF, CAR, and AZ all tied…CAR seed #5 due to H2H over SF, SF seed #6 due to AZ tiebreaker

     

    NO beat AZ, lost to SF

     

    next week NO at CAR game will effectively decide the division title. NO win division with win. Carolina still needs to win the following week or have NO lose to clinch division.

     

    Arizona is in a difficult situation. They need SF to lose next week. Sf win SF clinch 2nd place and their will be no way for AZ to pass them and make the playoffs with a win...here is why

     

    If SF WL then SF 11-5 and AZ WW AZ 11-5

     

    2. SF 11-5

    3. AZ 11-5

     

     

    Going into week 17 game NO/CAR loser would be 10-5. They both beat SF so a win and then get the edge for #5 over SF thus AZ cant control their own fate even by winning out.

     

    For AZ to make it they need to win 2 and have one of the other 3 teams lose 2.....good luck.

  12. If Buffalo won 2 of those they lost they would still be in it. If they won 3 they would still have a shot at the division.

     

     

     

    What would you rather do------

     

    1. If NE loses to BALT next week and Buffalo allowed MIA to win, then a MIA win and Buffalo beating NE potential ELIMINATES the PATS. Baltimore wins out they would also go 10-6---tied with NE--get the last wild card due to H2H win.

     

    2. Buffalo beats Miami--thus gives New England the division.

×
×
  • Create New...