djp14150
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Posts posted by djp14150
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I have no doubt Brooks is going to be a solid player.
But let us all remember he is a rookie who has missed 6 weeks of practice.
I think he will see some time, but expecting him to come in and immediately replace Williams is a stretch.
Like to see him split some time with Williams.
I also would like to see him used some in Blitzing packages.
His most immediate impact will probably be made on special teams, kid is a heck of a gunner from what i have seen.
He will also allow them to release ruvell Martin.
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The Biggest factor n making the playoffs is schedule.
This year the afc north plays the afc west and NFC east, afc west plays the NFC south.
Teams are going to be killing each other.
The division will at max be 10 wins...even f the division winner s better the wild card slot team will be worse at around 9 wins.
Let's look at San Diego and Denver...both 3-3.They still play each other one more time. San Diego still has the jets, steelers, and ravens?..so 6 losses is a real possibility if not more. With Denver they have the saints, at cincy, at baltimore? I see the secnd place team being 9-7 at best.
With the afc north.....besides the west they still have NFC east teams to play? For the steelers they have to play ravens, bengals, Dallas, and giants on the road. Baltimore has San Diego, Houston, cincy, Washington on road, and Denver and giants at home. Similarly with this diviion given cincinati nd Pittsburgh both with 3 losers I see the second place team being no more than 9 wns
This is why 10 wins by buffalo is important and can assure them of a wildcard spot...it will be much easier f they can finish ahead of the jets.
In comparison with the jets...
Against afc north...bills 1-0. Jets 0-1
Afc west....bills 1-0. Jets against San Diego.
NFC west....buffalo 1-1 not losng at home, jets 0-1 losing at. Home.
Afc south...jets lose home to Houston.
Buffalo has the edge on the jets as of now.
If buffalo can go to 4-5 after week 10 then should make it to 10 wins.
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Ok,but why was he traded FOR?
Jacksn was traded for because he is an experienced QB in the league who can be a reliable backup and can come in and start. The wanted vince young to be that qb but he failed.
I don't care for how much they lost....
I figured it was a safe bet they could lose to the jets, niners, and pats.....and later on to the texans and pats again.
It would be great if they can win next week and split the road games....thus being 5-4. If they are 4-5 they are still in it given they finish 5 of 7 at home.
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The issue with Fitz has been with the QB coach who I think F'ed up his mechanics.
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Shawne or TJ ?
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Also the different balls....
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Especially when he clearly doesn't have Gailey's trust to try the 50+ yarder. Is he seriously just on the team to force touchbacks?
Yes---why....because on their schedule are a good number of KO return specialists that can easily break one for a TD.
teams with them: Cleveland, Jets, Arizona, Sn Fran, Seattle.
I do have a feeling they will release Potter later in the season when the winds neutrilize kickoffs.
When they are ready to activate Ron Brooks off the in season IR Martin gets cut. Brooks can be a gunner besides being a nickel CB.
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His mother is ill and he is with her this week. This is per Jay Skursky's chat yesterday.
Im also sure his ongoing recovery from hip replacement surgery affected his ability to travel cross country.
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It doesnt matter how you lose...a loss is a loss....
In the schedule many predicted Buffalo losing at San Fran, at Houston, spliting against the Jets, swept against the Pats...and through in another loss and you are at 10-6 which makes you a good shot as a playoff team. Without that loss they are 11-5...near certain playoff team.
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I was at that 51-3 game....
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Other teams scheme and hide what kind of coverages they have and they do blitz....a blitz is when a player rushes the passer that you arent expecting to rush or you have more rushers than blockers thus an advantage. Teams will also stunt D-line thus confusing blocking schemes and penetrating and getting to the QB.
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the next games against Arizona and Tennessee will be the measuring stick for this team.
When I looked at the schedule I saw this....
Likely lose to San Francisco and Houston
Split with the Jets
Hopefully split with the Pats.
If that happens the Bills end up 12-4...if the are swept by the Pats they are 11-5. Add in another losss....they are 10-6...still playoff possibility.
I am not panicking now.
But Wanstead is a joke. I would rather have hired the former Miami coach, now saints D-coord, spagnolo as D-coord. Or bring back Fewell.
under Jaroun in 2009 the D wasnt the problem --it was the O.
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If the playoffs are still an option 5 weeks from now it will be for a WC spot and Cinci will be one of the main teams to beat out...An AFC loss would help
Go back and check the Bengals schedule.....
After next week against the Browns they have a brutal schedule remaining playing the cowboys, Giants, Eagles, all AFC West, Steelers twice, Ravens once.
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surprised he isnt the holder yet in Dallas....
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Anyone else feel like Chan had no right to cut Brian Mooreman? Our best player for the last decade and he is cast aside for a rookie. Mooreman just made a killer kick in his first action as a Cowboy.
I just feel that as a fan favorite for so many years Chan had no right to cut him.
Just one more negative in my opinion.
He just coffin cornered a ball on Chicago.....isnt that directional punting???
Maybe Gailey wanted this punter because he could use him as a linebacker or TE as well.
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Please forgive any speeling errors...
Chan Gailey
Jon Gruden
Jay Gruden
Brian Billick
Rex Ryan
Rob Ryan
Jim Tressel
Marty Schottenheimer
Tony Dungy
the issue with Gailey has been the defense.
Had they kept Fewell as the D-coordinator when Gailey came aboard they would have been farther along than they are now. Fewell actually had a pretty effective defense.
The issue with any new head coach will be who will run the defense---whomever needs to be a 4-3 guy.
old Gruden wouldnt......young would take the job.
Cowher would be a good choice but he wouldnt come here.
I dont like Dungy's cover 2 scheme.
rob ryan would take the job. he would love to face his brother...but the issue is then what about the offense?
A dark horse would be Billiick.
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There was someone they could have hired....Sparano the former HC of Miami who was DC for the Giants who use also used a 4 man front and relies on those 4 rushing.
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Am I worried...no. They are still tied for first place.
I think the bills didn't want to show any copycat schemes like baltimore did because they feel with CJand Fred not 90% they would have a difficult game. Save the defensive scheme for the next time.
The CJ fumble was a killer. Given his shoulder injury why have him run where he'd get alot of contact. If buffalo was up 28-7 it would have been a different game.
Buffalo matches up well against the niners. Hopefully they watched what Minnesota did. Smith is no Brady.
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Seeing how many Bills fans went to Cleveland, and how many Steeler fans came to RWS pre-season, I bet much more intense rivalries would develop if the Bills were in the AFC North. We could swap with the Ravens. They would fit great in the AFC East.
Comments?
PTR
If you want to be creative do this....
Cincinati goes to afc south
Indy goes to NFC north
Detroit goes to afc north
Buffalo goes to afc north
Baltimore goes to NFC east
Dallas goes to NFC south
Atlanta goes to afc east
Carolina goes to afc east
Miami goes to NFC south
Other options...
Dallas, Houston, new Orleans, st Louis( Minnesota goes west)
Tampa bay, Miami, Jacksonville, ny jets
Tennessee, Atlanta, Carolina, ny giants
Green bay, Chicago, Indy, cincinati
Detroit, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, buffalo
Washington, Baltimore, Philadelphia, new England
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Actually, it's probably more of a case of he's rushing himself back. Either way, I know it's the Pats, but I'd rather have him at 100% the following week than put him in a position where he could further injur himself. It's a long season. We're gonna need him down the stretch.
Part of this makes more work on the pats because they have to game plan if Fred or CJ will play. I do believe both will see some action in limited roles.
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If I was gonna put our odds on winning each of those 6:
09/30 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 49%
10/7 @ San Francisco 25%
10/14 @ Arizona Cardinals 50%
10/21 TENNESSEE TITANS 80%
11/04 @ Houston Texans 30%
11/11 @ New England Patriots 35%
If they dont have Fred/CJ for the Pats game it may be more difficult unles the defense plays big with turnovers/pick 6s. I would put the odds higher on the game at NE for Buffalo to win. They will should have CB Brooks back for that game.
at San Fran...the Bills are a difficult matchup for them because of their streangths and SF weaknesses....also they can be caught looking ahead because they play the Giants the following wee. I would put it at 55% win chance. If they dont have CJ back this week--he'll be back for this game.
at Arizona....they have a very good defense. Their defense is why they went 3-0. Teir defense gave then a 14 pts swing against the eagles with the sack/fuble/return near their goalline. They got another easy TD against the Pats because of a blocked punt (if I recall correctly--or was it a turnover) then a gift from the NE kicker. With Seattle..at the end the QB blew a couple of plays that could have been a game winning TD if he threw this way instead. Odds of 60%.
Tennessee.....odds at 80%
at Houston...a week off to prepare for Marios homecomming. The defense will be playing a big game here. I see it a close game. 50% chance.
at New England....if they are without CJ/Fred for the home game but for this game I see Buffalo winning if they lost earlier. With New England they have hid the playbook until they play them.
My best bet is they go 3-3 during this stretch.
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09/30 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
10/7 @ San Francisco
10/14 @ Arizona Cardinals
10/21 TENNESSEE TITANS
11/04 @ Houston Texans
11/11 @ New England Patriots
That's a brutal stretch right there. We're on the road against four teams playing very well right now (I'm including the Patriots, who almost beat the Ravens in Baltimore), and one of the two home games is against the Patriots as well. The Titans just beat Detroit.
IMO we'll be lucky to take two of these games and finish 4-5, which would put us in position to finish 9-7 or better if things go well down the stretch. But frankly, winning more than two of the next six will be TOUGH.
What do folks think? Can we pull of 3 or 4 wins out of the next six?
We're about to see what this team is made of - every one of these games will be really, really hard.
Luckily, when you have great line play on both sides of the ball, you put yourself in position to win any game. Hopefully that's the difference between this year and previous years.
Buffalo can win 4 of 6 by winning the 2 at home and splitting each pair of the back to back road games.
I havent heard confirmation of this...they should plan on staying out west for the week in between SF and AZ.
They really need to go 2-4. They need to be 4-5 before the final 7 games.....they go 6-1 then they are 10-6. If they go 1-5 then they have to win out their remaining games to go 10-6.
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I think Spiller may play this week. If he has full range of motion as has been reported and it is just a pain issue they can inject the shoulder to get him through the game. If it doesn't swell or get worse during the week I bet he plays.
I agree he can play for about 12-15 designed plays the limits his chance of impact.
He cant use that shoulder/arm to straight arm D-men. He will be limited on trying to get high passes...passes need to be near his body.
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The scab got picked
Powell on Kick-offs?
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
The reason for a kick off specialist is to mnmze the opponents ability to return kick offs and start in great field position if not return or a TD
I don't have the data available but look at the odds of getting a td or FG based on field starting point.
Buffalo this season faces quite a few KO specialists who are dangerous. The jets, browns, cardinals, Seahawks, niners, are teams that have this. You neutralize them by kicking in the endzne and produce touchbacks.
This player makes possibly 20 or more yards difference then it's worth a roster pot.
By looking at the odds iif you start from the 20 vs the 40 means a team scores on average 7-10 pts less per game means that player is worth a td a game or more. You keep him.
That is what Potters job is. If he can't do it you cut him.