djp14150
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Posts posted by djp14150
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As much as we would like to see him in that scenario, it's probably a good decision by Geno. He should light up the combine/pro day.
I want to see Nassib and Dysert in the senior bowl.
All he does at the combine is shouw up and get measurements...he doesnt participate in any drills.
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They were 11-5 in name only...they finished 5 games higher than their expected win total based on advanced stats and were very lucky in a lot of games...I mean they gave up 350+ yards rushing and almost 600 yards to the Chiefs but only 13 points...we did that against San Fran and new england gave up 45 and 52...
Indy got just about every break imagineable the entire year...their actual estimated win total of 6 is basically the same as the Bills...
I am predicting the Colts are a better team than this year with a worse record as virtually all teams regress to the mean year over year...8-8 or 9-7 is about right for them, which is a 2 or 3 game improvement over their expected record...
Indy and Atlanta easily could have missed the playoffs...the teams won alot of close games that a play or two here or there would have meant a loss.
For Indy.....2 of their 11 wins were buy more than 7 pts.....Jacksonvile and Houston to end the year. Many of their wins they were tied/triling late in the 3rd or later.
For Atlanta....9 of their wins were by a score....many of them they were tied or behind late in the 3rd or later.
On the flip side is Clevelend...excluding their final 3 games where they seemed to check out of playing....they were 5-8...7 of those loses were close games they were in during the 4th quarter...the 8th they had a 14-0 lead on the Giants witht he ball in the redzone before a pick was thrown.
Carolina went 3-8 the first 11 games....other than games against the Broncos and Giants....they were very in those 6 loses and they easily could have been wins. 7 of their 9 loses were by 6 pts or less. Winning 3 of them they are in the playoffs.
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Success in the league is all about attitude and emotion plus some luck. Indy had the emotion plus a frienfdlier schedule which allowed them to gain confidence in the season.
Buffalo lost 3 games in the final minute...one when they were on offense...the other 2 when on defense. The won those games te attitude in the team is very different.
This likely would have affeted how they played at Miami, Indy, and in Toronto (where they checked out).
They easily coulkd have been 10-6 with wins against St Louis, New England, Tennesee and either Indy or Miami....if they did they would have been a wild card team in the playoffs.
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Denver (-9) over ravens: With point I take the Ravens. This will be a close game but I see Denver winning by 3 or 4.
Seaharks over Atlanta (-2.5) : don't like injury to clemons at all. Seattle ahs more than just Clemmons for rushing the passer. IMO Atlanta isnt as good as their record. This year they won alot of really close games where they easily could have been an 8-8 club.
Seattle upsets Atlanta in a close 3/4 pt game where theis is decided in the final 5 minutes.
49ers over the Packers (+3) : this is a push--49ers 3 pt win. I dont read anything in the 49ers game a few weeks ago. This game is in SF...not GB. This will be a close game. Had this been in Gren Bay I would have gone with the Packers...but its not.
Houston over New England (-9): Take Texans with the points. Houston rebounds and beats New England in this game...decided in the 4th quarter based on who has the ball last. Housotn knew it was likely going to play NE in the playoffs so they held back on their playboook.
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Is this weird or what.....
If Caldwell takes over the Jags coming from Atlanta.....
And Mularkey came over to Jacksonville as OC of Atlanta and Matt Ryan.....
Yet they say Caldweel will fire Mularkey.
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In looking at some of these names---I thought the East-West game was for those players who didnt make a college bowl?
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If we had a chance to move up in the draft to grab a good QB would you package Jackson plus our first and third to move up?
I feel Spiller needs the full time role, there are plenty of good backups on the market cheaper than Jackson
stupid is as stupid does.....
There isnt a QB worth such a trade in this years draft class.
this is the kind of trade the team takes a big step back.
You can draft a QB in the 2nd or 3rd and he will have just as much luck as being anything as taking one in #1.
Washington was able to make such a trade last year (which went up due to a bidding war).....because they really werent that far from a playoff team. Their issue was with QB. They had a decent defense and had tools on offense....except for the QB.
The browns were actually smart in not making the trade.....as a result of the trade they wouldnt have drafted Richardson and they wouldnt have been able to draft Gordon in the supplemental draft.
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In a grand sense, I'd imagine the name marrone is as much damage among the jaded fans as benefit among the cuse fans. It's not a net gain at the end of the day.
the Syracuse fans would probably have been more jaded if Sysracuse was a 10-2 BCS team the past few seasons. If one of his assistants takes over in Syracuse things will be fine.
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Rather see 1 game a year in the the 'Cuse than in Toronto.
i have said before that Buffalo can easily put one of the low draw non division November/December games in Syracuse as well as a preseason game.
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To go to 7 playoff teams per confe3rence makes it difficult for scheduleing. 8 teams makes it easier......
but instead of a 1 vs 8 set up....they will follow the model of what many smaller conferences in NCAA do for their tourne where the #1 and #2 seeds get double byes, #3 and 4 get single byes and then the #5-#8 plasy their way through.....so a playoff formet would be:
week 1: 8 at 5, 7 at 6
week 2: 8/5 at 4 7/6 at 3
week 3: 8/5/4 at 1 7/6/3 at 2
week 4: Conference Championship Games
week 5: Super Bowl
For schedule they could come to an agreement to add another game plus another bye week for a 19 week schedule. The season starts the weekend before Labor Day. Tennis hasnt started yet. Week 1 it will be dual DH weekends for both networks...the other dual doubleheaders will be a weekend in November and week 19.
Another option in the playoffs because of the unbalanced schedule is to just allow the top 2 teams in each division to advance to the playoffs irrelevant of record.
Its hard to read good/bad teams when teams have much more difficult schedules because of the two divisions they had to play that year.
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saving money......
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Most people agree Lovie is a stretch to down grade from HC to DC?
that is the way it works....failed HC take coordinator jobs.
Most likely you're looking at hires at assistant positions where they have some connection to Marrone.
That's the way it generally works so you have to connect the dots.
A lot of this speculation is unrealistic. Just saying.
I tried looking online for team media guides for the Jets and Saints teams which Marrone was a member of but I couldn't find those.
I was interested to find out who else Marrone coached with in the NFL besides Herm Edwards, Sean Payton, Paul Hackett, Donnie Henderson, Dennis Allen, Pete Carmichael, etc.
Dont forget the friends of friends.....Sean Payton came from the Giants so there could be some people who came from those branches.
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Why didnt they at least interview the Cincinnati Coordinators (Zimmer and Gruden) and Bruce Arians of the Colts before making this decision?
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Can some of you please rationally explain to me why you wanted Lovie Smith as coach? In him I see Jauron Part Duex.
Why did so many people want him as coach?
I also read that a poll said some 40% wanted him as coach.
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At least its not Lovie.....
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Cleveland is an up and coming team. They lost alot of close one score games where they had the chance to take the lead.
A play here/there they c easily have ended up 10-6.
They have a strong defense core. They are set at Rzb and one Wzr slot. Weeden played well for a rookie.
In KC they have strong WR/TE/RB set and thy have a strong defense. The big issue is at QB. This is why I expect KC to be big players in the Matt Flynn/Alex smith trade rumors. And then draft a qb in 2ndor 3rd.
We beat the hell out of KC... so how good would we be with a QB?
Look at defense rankings......They had a strong defense. They have Charles and another player for a strong RB duo. Then they have WR bowe. The issue was with QB.
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The big difference with football nd baseball....is baseball is more an individual driven sport because a batter is up aginst a pitcher....the only comparison to this natives would be CBs on Wzr in man free overage.
In football it's about everyone doing their responsibility for a play to work.
There are numerous examples of players who excell with one team but fail hen changing teams.. Some of a players success can be attributed to surrounding players.
When looking at game tape you can't analyze mistakes by players unless you knew whT the play call was. You see a CB let a receiver go past him thinking he has safety help but there is none..thus a long pass ply....who is at fault? You can't measure that.
A guard fails to pull to make a blok...why....is it because of his slowness or was there a mistake by another OZl that preventing him pulling by blocking his path.
A RB doesn't pick up a blitz thinking the TE on that side is supposed to stay in and block before he releases thus picking up any blitzes. Who is a fault?
I could go on....play mistakes are judgement calls...there is too much subjective gray area for good analytics to be done
Also you have more situations occur so results are more statistically significant in analysis.
For example you can look at a batter facing righties or lefties...or hitter tendencies with 2 strikes. Over a career you can look at hitter vs pitcher numbers and see who has had unusual success or failure. This type of data isn't as robust given player shorter careers and some players only face each other once ever in there careers if st that.
No, "moneyball" in football would be delving into more advanced stats. Beyond that of sacks, QBRating (which is flawed to begin with), total passing/rushing yards etc....
It's also system and style driven....under Shanahans system he can find good RB cheap and they excel because of his system. The RB style needs to match the team running style.
Cedric benson is an example of a RZb who was a bust then turned very good after changing teams.
An example is Herschel walker trade....he was a bust in part because his running style didn't match the running style on his new team.
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Yea! But id still draft a QB too..
I still feel they need to draft a qb but there is nothing I would touch at #8. I see a qb picked in 2nd or 3rd unless they trade down.
But if you acquire a veteran then the pressure is on a first to step in and play.
There is quite a few qbs who have 2nd round grades but not many high 1st.
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Would you want him as buffalo QB?
Its possible that in San Diego they want to just gut the aging team and rebuild everything. Rivers would be a marketable asset they trade.
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The issue with many name coaches is that they would like to go to a team with an established QB ...San Diego and Chicago have them. Philadelphia doesnt but they have a well established offense with 2 WRs and RB set.
Others have said KC is an ideal job for the same reason. Their hole is at QB. Their defense was top 5 this past season Assuming they keep their guys they are set at WRs and RB.
Cleveland was a weird situation....new owner came on board and so he wants his guys. Cleveland has talent.
Arizona.....you have a strong defense but holes at QB, RB, and 2nd WR spot.
With Buffalo.....assuming they keep Levitre and Byrd....their "holes" are going to be who will be a #2 deep threat and the need to establish a future QB in waiting. With Defense the issue is in LBs that need to be addressed through UFA/draft.
the other issue in Buffalo is having to play in the same division as New England.
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Horton is different....the defense was very good in Arizona. the problems in Arizona were with the offense due to RB injuries and QB flux. Also Horton has been around the league and worked is way up.
dont forget Horton also allows Buffalo to satisfy the Rooney rule.
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I didn't see it mentioned anywhere but the Bills could use AZ / Cleve to win. This moves them out of a tie with us & allows us to draft ahead of them in all the draft rounds.
Browns vs Pittsburgh
Arizona vs San Fran
Buffalo is assured of finishing ahead of Browns and Cardinals if they all lose because of tie breaker being strength of schedule.
If bills lose they are certain of 6th....
If the lose and either eagles or Lions lose they are certain to go to 5
If both lose they go to 4th.
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Gor me....went over to Ft Erie. My friends now ex wife knew and owner of a bar over there. A bunch of us went over there. I remember I believed a comeback was possible.
From my experience, and it isnt just in football....if a team was able to put up x pts in y minutes, your team could too.
Bills fans thoughts on new coaching staff so far??
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted · Edited by djp14150
I question the OC hire....he may be too fresh..I would have liked it beeter having his father in as OC and him as QB coach......if it wasnt for his dad being who he was I would be even more livid.