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djp14150

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Posts posted by djp14150

  1. 1. Kansas City Chiefs - 2-12 (.469 SOS)

    2. Jacksonville Jaguars - 2-12 (.541 SOS)

    3. Oakland Raiders - 4-10 (.469 SOS)

    4. Philadelphia Eagles - 4-10 (.505 SOS)

    5. Detroit Lions - 4-10 (.546 SOS)

    6. San Diego Chargers - 5-9 (.474 SOS)

    7. Cleveland Browns - 5-9 (.480 SOS)

    8. Buffalo Bills - 5-9 (.500 SOS)

    9. Tennessee Titans - 5-9 (.526 SOS)

    10. Carolina Panthers - 5-9 (.536 SOS)

    11. Arizona Cardinals - 5-9 (.543 SOS)

    12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 6-8 (.469 SOS)

    13. Miami Dolphins - 6-8 (.500 SOS)

    14. New York Jets - 6-8 (.526 SOS)

    15. New Orleans Saints - 6-8 (.528 SOS)

    16. St. Louis Rams - 6-7-1 (.536 SOS)

    17. Pittsburgh Steelers - 7-7 (.469 SOS)

    18. Dallas Cowboys - 8-6 (.515 SOS)

    19. New York Giants - 8-6 (.538 SOS)

    20. Chicago Bears - 8-6 (.546 SOS)

     

    What you have done is an incorrect measure.

     

    You need to look at who their future opponents are for proper sorting otherwise it will be chaotic the final weekend. This isnt a strength of victory but a strength of schedule---you know the schedule.

     

    after week 16 games it will not change much because of divisional play. Based on results of the game they played and the games of their non common opponets...thus after week 16 games teams cant be caught if the win differential in 4 or more wins. if tied a coin flip will determine order. Placement in divisional races does not matter.

     

     

     

    order--opponent wins-- current record--lat 2 games---2 non common games

    1 112 KC 2 12 ind den buf ind

    2 122 JAX 2 12 ne ten cin oak

    3 105 OAK 4 10 car sd jax mia

    4 115 PHL 4 10 was nyg det az

    5 127 DET 4 10 atl chi phl car

    6 100 SD 5 9 jets oak ten jets

    7 110 BUF 5 9 mia jets kc cle

    8 112 CLE 5 9 den pit ind buf

    9 114 TEN 5 9 gb jax pit sd

    10 115 CAR 5 9 oak no chi sea

    11 125 AZ 5 9 chi sf atl phl

  2. Jets are still better than the Bills... So whats the joke in that? SMH.. Laugh at the Bills then you can laugh at other teams... Sanchez is still better than Shitz and thats nothing to brag about...

     

    The diffference.....Bills quit...the Jets actually were trying.

     

    You think Matt Hassleback is worse?

     

    Hasselback is the better QB now but they used a first on Locker so he needs to play to see what he has. Had buffalo faced Locker instead of hasselback they likely win that game.

  3. The playoff scenarios.....

     

    1. Atlanta clinched division and a bye. Clinch home field with a win or both GB

    2. SF is in first place in NFC West. magic number is 1 to clinch division.

    3. Green Bay clinched division.

    4. NFC East leader.

     

    Giants lost control of division....if Washington and Dallas both win next week their game in week 17 decided the division title between then. Giants can do nothing. The only scenario is Giants win and DAL-WAS tie.

     

    Giants have many tiebreakers for the wild card with best conference record. They win out they will get at least a WC.

     

    Seattle wins out they get a WC at least...they win out and SF lose to AZ they get division.

     

    Seattle can clinch a WC with a win and losses by WAS and NYG.

     

    Minnesota wins out they will be in second place so Chicago is in a major hole . Minnesota needs to win out and have Giants lose 1 or Seattle lose twice.

     

    Chicago can get in to the WC slot if they win out and Minn and NYG lose 1 game or Seattle lose 2 games.

     

    There are a ton other scenarios if all the WC teams are 9-7.

     

     

     

    For the AFC

     

     

     

    1. Houston has division...win clinches home field

    2. Denver...clinch bye magic number is 2 between then and NE.

    3. New England..can sill get a bye or home field by winning out and ending up in a tie with DEN and/or HOU

    4. Baltimore....magic number 1 for division. They beat the Giants they wrap up the division. A loss and Cin win then week 17 matchup is for the division title. Balt has clinched a WC.

     

    For the wild card. Indy clinches WC with a win or a PIt loss

     

     

    tie breakers between INDY and either CIN or PIT at 9-7 will be based on strength of victory due to conference record and common games record tied.

     

    PIT wins out they get the WC.

     

    IF all tied at 9-7 which means IND LL, CIN LW, and PIT WW. PIT gets 2nd place over CIN due to season H2H sweep.

     

    PIT looks as if their strength of victory will be better than IND. As of now SV wins are 58 to 50. thus PIt has a good shot of earning the wild card.

     

    Then IND is compared with CIN is 50 to 47. they also would come to strength of victory.

     

    A cincinati win means all playoff spots are locked up. a baltimore win means all division titles are locked up.

  4. AS of now.....Buffalo is #7If they lose 2 games the most realistic position they can make is #5...they can make #3.After next week the order is pretty set because little fluctuation in strength of victory can occur. because of the schedule being you play your division and then two other divisions and 2 positional games...and thy close with all divisional games....it means the only fluctuation will occur with the teams non common games and how they do in their game.1 112 KC 2 12 ind den buf ind2 122 JAX 2 12 ne ten cin oak3 105 OAK 4 10 car sd jax mia4 115 PHL 4 10 was nyg det az5 127 DET 4 10 atl chi phl car6 100 SD 5 9 jets oak ten jets7 110 BUF 5 9 mia jets kc cle8 112 CLE 5 9 den pit ind buf9 114 TEN 5 9 gb jax pit sd10 115 CAR 5 9 oak no chi sea11 125 AZ 5 9 chi sf atl phl

  5. Who else can save us, if he buys he might just get bill cowher in, grab a new gm and offer spiller the big bucks. And of course, wanny and chan will be out ASAP

     

    Kell and a group could...

     

    Pagula can as well.

     

    Jacobs could play a part in the purchase having minority ownership stake.

     

     

    I see something where Kelly is the figure head with Pegula putting down 40%, Jacobs 10-20%, and Kellys group the rest.

  6. McKelvin and Jones can run not walk away and I'm guessing Mckelvin is gone he sucks. Special team play doesn't warrant what his asking price will be. Jones? He's easily replaceable. What has he done?

    But Levitre and especially Byrd may require a hometown bonus, not discount, to play their careers on a sub par team.

     

    Levitre or Byrd....they both will be be a max effort to keep with possibly one being franchised.

     

    McKelvin will be kept if the terms are right. Same with Jones. McKelvin will get more interest from the league because of his return ability. Jones will not get any wow offer from around the league that will make him go.

     

     

     

     

     

    Alot of this also depends on what is in the market next year.

  7. Only 5 teams behind us in standings. Of those - Eagles, Lions and Titans - it's just a game. KC and Jags with 2 wins only teams can't catch us. But if we keep losing odds are we will move up on the draft board. 4 other teams with 5 wins (and no I haven't worked out tie breakers and schedules), but the draft picture is brightening. Lose out and 3 to 6 seems to be the range we pick.

     

    http://espn.go.com/nfl/standings

     

     

    Buffalo will need help of course...... The second column is the number of wins of opponents which directly correlated to strength of schedule the final column are their wins.

     

    week 16 matters most

     

    come week 17 the number of wins can only increase by 2 because of divisional play so its driven by the teams noncommon opponents winning or losing. On MNF TEN wins then they stay where they are...if they lose they move to tied for 4th with philadelphia.

     

    This is tracking current teams opponents performance...not the teams they have played so far. With opponents you know who they will be playing for strength of schedule. So you cant be reading JAX playing NE next week so their win total will jump up. The only adjustment from week to week will be based on the teams they play and their performance for that week.

     

    For example since Buffalo played both tennesee and JEts this season...tomorrows MNF game will add 1 if Tenn wins, will add 2 if Jets win, will add 1.5 if they tie.

     

    1 112 KC 2

     

    2 120 JAX 2

    3 104 OAK 4

    4 115 PHL 4

    5 126 DET 4

    6 100 SD 5

    7 109 BUF 5

    8 112 CLE 5

    9 114 TEN 4

    10 115 CAR 5

    11 125 AZ 5

     

     

    If I recall correctly...

     

    SD-OAK and JAX-TEN close the season playing each other.

  8. The playoff scenarios.....

    1. Atlanta clinched division and a bye. Clinch home field with a win or both GB and Sf lose a game.

    2. With a win tonight SF is in first place in NFC West. magic number is 1 to clinch division.

    3. Green Bay clinched division.

    4. NFC EaSt leader.

    Giants lost control....if Washington and Dallas both win next week their game in week 17 decided the division title between then. Giants can do nothing. The only scenario is Giants win and DAL-WAS tie.

    Giants have many tiebreakers for the wild card with best conference record. They win out they will get at least a WC.

    Seattle wins out they get a WC at least...they win out and SF lose to AZ they get division.

    Seattle can clinch a WC with a win and losses by WAS and NYG.

    Minnesota wins out they will be in second place so Chicago is in a major hole with the lose today. Minnesota needs to win out and have Giants lose 1 or Seattle lose twice.

    Chicago can get in to the WC slot if they win out and Minn and NYG lose 1 game.

    There are a ton other scenarios if all the WC teams are 9-7.

    For the AFC

    assuming NE loses tonight

    1. Houston has division...win clinches home field

    2. Denver...clinch bye magic number is 2 between then and NE.

    3. New England..can sill get a bye or home field by winning out and ending up in a tie with DEN and/or HOU

    4. Baltimore....magic number 1 for division. They beat the Giants they wrap up the division. A loss and Cin win then week 17 matchup is for the division title. Balt has clinched a WC.

    IF NE wins

    For the wild card. Indy clinches WC with a win or losses by

    INDY loses a 9-7 tie with Jets based on H2H

    JETS over CIN due to conf record

    PIT over JETS due to H2H

    tie breakers between INDY and either CIN or PIT at 9-7 will be based on strength of victory due to conference record and common games record tied.

    IF the JETS are tied with PIT/CIN and INDY at 9-7 then JETS get in first due to better conference record in a 3 team tie.

     

    BALT has clinched the WC spot due to conference record.

     

    SF needs one win to clinch a WC spot (or a bunch of teams losing).

  9. AFC NORTH

     

    BAL win next week against Giants they clinch division due to tiebreakers on Steelers and Bengals at 10 wins.

     

    assuming PIT wins against DAL...

     

    BAL lose next week the CIN/PIT winner can win the division with a week 17 win and a BAL week 17 loss. Thus a CIN win against PIT and BAL loss means CIN/BAL division title game.

     

    IF PIT loses at DAL....

     

    PIT is eliminated for division title. They can still get a WC. next week a BAL win or CIn loss means division title for BAL

     

    AFC SOUTH

     

    HOU clinched division . They need to win and have NE lose today or next week for home field.

     

     

    AFC WC

     

    IND 9-5---WC clinched with win

    CIN 8-6--for WC Win next week + JETS loss+ either W or PIt lose to today or CLE

    PIT 7-6

    NYJ 6-7--lose tiebreaker with PIt, win tiebreaker against IND, ver CIn based on conference record

     

    SD, MIA and BUF still mathematically alive. PIT win against DAL eliminates them all.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    NFC SOUTH

     

    Atlanta has clinched a bye. They need a win or a loss each by SF and GB to clinch home field.

     

    NFC NORTH

     

    Green Bay has clinched the division

     

    Minnesota is ahead of Chicago in standings. Minnesota wins out they finish in 2nd place wihich will matter in tiebreakers.

     

    NFC EAST

     

    Giants loss and WASH/\ win means Giants are no longer in first place. They lose tiebreakers to both teams. DAL wins this afternoon they fo ahead of the Giants.

     

    Washington has edge on DAL in terms of tiebreakers.

     

    NFC WEST

     

    SAN FRAN magic number is 2---win and a seattle loss or any other combination of wins and loses between them and Seattle.

     

    NFC WC

     

    STL, NO, and TB are still mathematically alive but their scenarios are win out and everyone else losing.

     

     

    SEA 8-5 (has wins against CHI, MIN, DAL) They cant clinch with a win today.

    WAS (currently leading NFC EAST) , NYG, MIN, CHI 8-6 (WAS beat MIN, CHi beat DAL)

    DAL 7-6

  10. It'll be interesting if Rogers renews the series, they took an absolute bath on it. Theyre probably proposing an incredible drop in the price they pay, something like going from $10 Mm to 4 MM per game, at what point do the Bills say it's not worth it.

     

    The windfall all went into Wilson's pocket.

     

    It has happened already....

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