Bleeding Bills Blue

Yeah - they whiffed on that protection though. The twist came in and was barely touched.

cuz its literally the lowest amount you can pay a player. His deal is up and he had 1 sack this season so he's very unlikely to be coveted on the open market. If he doesn't play its free money for him, if he does play and plays well he might get another good payday.

I think there will be a new gameplan and i expect it'll be blitz heavy.

Couldn't find some defensive home/away splits so here are some i came up with Total yards: Away - 315 yards per game Home - 235.22 yards per game Passing yards: Away - 213 yards per game Home - 119 yards per game Rushing yards Away - 102 yards per game Home 116.67 yards per game (with Takeaways: 17 - Away 13 - Home I dont' think i need to do first downs to show the discrepancy here is pretty stark. Teams struggled to move the ball at all in the inclement weather in buffalo - Even NE with 200+ on the ground only had 11 first downs. The colts game was the big outlier and in that one some injuries and missed fits resulted in some big plays. Allen performed much worse at home - but other QBs who already performed poorly against buffalo's defense performed insanely bad.

I feel like a lot of that 3 game number is tied up in the falcons game where he had a 17 rating.

Honestly - if he was pissed about all the gabe davis targets... he and i are in agreement. Davis was absolutely awful in that game.

How are their red zone numbers in comparison to other teams?

I mean - i don't know that this even happened. But it could have been frustration with officiating, coaching, his own play, or just his role in the game. We have no idea.

I could see raiders/bengals beating tennessee.

They were 0 blitzing on a lot of 3rd downs so the play should be a boundary throw to diggs/davis in 1x1's. Easy read and unlikely to be a turnover. They finally hit knox on one in i think the 4th quarter.

I initially thought it was a covid thing. I don't know if he can kick FGs well but there was probably the thought that he can kick FGs more effectively than Haack if Bass were to miss a game for covid. He was a rugby player so he can probably do it decently in a pinch.

Those 3 players were all 1st round picks in the draft that was supposed to turn them around. Jackson - a LT who has since moved to G and isn't even good at that. Igbinoghene - a hybrid inside-out corner when you already had 2 of the highest paid corners in the league, and Tua - Honestly he is fine, and gets too much crap because of who was picked after him. They still need wholesale Oline changes, they're going to bring in a suspected serial rapist at QB, and the defense is still rather overrated.

If they beat Cincinnati they play tennessee if buffalo wins, or KC if NE does (I'm assuming pitt loses because they can't score points). I'd say most likely scenario is they win and play tennessee - a team they are fully capable of beating if they can continue to limit the opposing run game.

Would you rather play KC or Cincy? They were 0-3 against both, but they were totally blown out by KC in both games.

Well they were going to run a play on 3rd and 4. Likely a run... and staley called timeout for a personnel change. The new personnel gave up 10 yards on a run play they knew was coming - thats the sad part in all this. If its a no gain stop I think the raiders run the clock out - I'd rather play KC than have this blocked or returned, and play no one.

the key to me is tackling for buffalo. Keep them in tougher downs and distances and keep them on the NE side of the field - don't let them have any big plays in the run game and force them into punts and FGs. the key to NE is takeaways. They need to win the turnover battle in this one so i expect them to try and rip out every ball they can, and to try some different zone looks to try and get an allen mistake or two.

It turns into basically 2 years 20.2 M with 2 additional years at a total of 23.8 with some throw in workout bonuses. A lot for a running back, but a lot less than the 4yr 64m that they gave him. If you figure patterson and edmunds are looking for the 7-9M range his cap hit of like 8+ in 2022 is pretty reasonable. You could cut beasley and re-up mckenzie for some cost savings to make it work. He's not a straight slot WR like bease by any means, but you can absolutely use him split out as a weapon and challenging matchup for LBs. Obviously availability is an issue - but he would not be getting 400 touches most likely. Figure a chunk of beasley's that don't go to mckenzie, and the majority of RB targets. Figure 80 current running back targets, he'd get say 60 - and of beaselys 107 he might get another 50. Buffalo's leading rusher only has 170 carries, and it moss/breida adds another 120 or so. Take that 290 + some of allens and you have maybe 350 total carries to go around. I'd like probably like him to get like half of them. He'd be ideally more Ekeler or Kamara - not taylor/henry. All of this would be highly dependent on asking price, and how his physical goes.

I remember telling my buddies at the bar that it needed to be Allen. I always liked his fire and competitiveness - i also remember watching a Wyoming game that year and he made a throw on a speed out that was an absolute dime. LJ my concerns were the football IQ and arm strength, but i also thought if you just built the offense around this guy in a certain way you might have something. Rosen... just seemed like a smug jerk - I didn't want Jay Cutler's attitude with Matt Leinarts arm.

Too loose with the football, and not a big enough playmaker to be that loose. Too inconsistent on the easy stuff, inconsistent footwork, and not a top tier arm. He can make some great plays from time to time, but he doesn't have the athleticism or arm strength to do it consistently enough at this level. Surround him with some top end talent and I think he'd do just fine - he's never really had that. He had CMC - he got hurt. Moore and Anderson are solid, but the line injuries pretty much got him beat up this season. The jets never really could put anything of note together for him. Maybe 3rd time is a charm... but usually the 3rd team is when you're no longer the guy.

07 patriots were ridiculous. Brady/moss/welker/faulk. Samuel, Vrabel, Wilfork - Harrison/Meriweather. +315 points differential and undefeated 99 Rams are another example. Warner/faulk/Bruce/Holt. 85 bears - 1 loss team with the best defense probably ever. In a run driven era, they had 3 teams go over 100.

Missed QB sneak - loss to titans Drop on 2nd down, missed protection on 3rd - loss to Jags Wind game missed FG and red zone ending - loss to patriots Blocked punt making a 2 score game - loss to steelers Missed PI call on Diggs - loss to TB Literally some bounces, some calls, and some execution mistakes away from winning any of those games. Allen puts you on the 2 yard line against Tenn, into jags territory, into the RZ twice against NE, and what should have been 1st and goal from the 1 against TB. Teams know that this team can beat anyone, and there isn't some magic recipe that is going to shut buffalo down.

They played downright bad at times, and lost some that they should have won, but still punched their ticket to the playoffs which is most important. If they win sunday they'll have gone 5-1 in the division, which is almost a guarantee that you win it.

You need someone to take on a fully guaranteed 35M base salary cap hit... and the only restructure would involve extending him and increasing his guarantee from 35M in year 1 to... significantly more over another couple of years. Or adding void years which just hurts you down the line.

His cap hit for 2022 is 45M. 35M base salary in 2022 is to whomever he would go to. Minnesota eats the prorated bonus of 10M. I am not sure how retained salary/cap could work on a trade of that deal, but thats the standard basics of it. With franchise QBs and a good relationship things tend to work themselves out naturally avoiding holdouts. The cap hits get really high, then you tack on additional years so you can push bonus money out further into the future.

Cousins deal at 35M is pretty hefty. Is he worth the 20+ mill increase in cap charge? You could just keep baker and sign someone like mariota or trubisky for insurance.