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CA OC Bills Fan

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  1. No! While correct the odds of 38 straight or 29 straight are very low, and I'll also agree that "it's got to end sometime," still the odds on the next game (or the next day of no work accidents) are no different than the first game after losing the turnover battle or the first day after an accident. And to think that cutting a finger after a great streak of no accidents is good because somehow that means you won't have a catastrophic accident is complete garbage.
  2. I didn't respond initially. I was trying to figure out if you were serious or just trying to get a laugh out of whatever responses you'd get, maybe a bit like Jimmy Spags. The entire premise is close to the stupidest thing I've seen on this board, and we've all seen some very stupid things posted. How losing a turnover battle would be a good thing absolutely makes no sense whatsoever. Or, the idea that winning many in a row, whether it's 25 games or 525 games, has any implication for the next game that it means we will lose the turnover battle. I didn't read the entire thread, but I did see someone, maybe you, say something about "what does a coin flip have to do with it?" So, if turnovers were completely random, then it would be extremely unlikely that you'd win the battle 26 straight games as it's extremely unlikely that you'd flip a coin and get "heads" 26 straight times. In fact, the odds are 0.5 raised to the 26ths power or approximately one in 67 million. However, if you're flipped it 25 times, the odds of flipping it a 26th time and getting a heads is 50%. So, if betting on tails just because there were already 25 heads is still the same as the first flip, a 50/50 chance. Maybe less because I'd wonder if the coin is weighted wrong or both sides are heads. In football, it's not entirely random, kind of like a weighted coin. So, even if it was random the odds of losing after 25 straight wins of the turnover battle would be even odds. But, the reason a team wins this battle 25 times in a row is because they're awfully good at it. In that case, odds are good that you WILL WIN the battle a 26th time in a row unless the other team is even better at it than you. I still am pretty sure you're joking and looking for reactions. I've been reading your posts for years and never thought of you as clueless. I just wasted 5 minutes of my life that I can never get back responding, but I couldn't help myself any longer!
  3. I just read the article and was about to post the same thing (without the meme though). Really? Rex is a disciplinarian type? What kind of "journalist" would be idiot clueless enough to write something so stupid?
  4. I commented last night that the worst two games that Josh has had the last two seasons were both against Diggs. I didn't realize at the time that both were week 5 or that the final score of both games was the same. So, does Josh get too wound up to play when Diggs is on the other sideline?
  5. I didn't get one yet. It does take a bit longer to ship to CA. My account manager called me a couple of weeks ago and confirmed my address. He said the team is sending a memento to all current season ticket holders in honor of the farewell season. But, I'm sure he said they're sending it after the season, so not sure if it's based on some other criteria as to when some are receiving it.
  6. I thought it was great. No problem with this game ending in a tie.
  7. First, yes, I live in Mission Viejo, CA. I was supposed to be going to Detroit area for work this week and was planning on driving from Detroit. Last week my work trip got cancelled so I bought really crappy flights out, two stops and an overall 12 hour trip. I have a parking pass but not I always park at a house almost a mile away. I tailgate at the house where I park for a bit but then walk over to Hammer's lot and the stadium lots to hang out and tailgate more. There's no fee to tailgate, you just need to bring your own stuff.
  8. Taking a redeye tomorrow night.
  9. I had heard this as well, not going to look for a link but I do remember reading that CBS didn't like him saying ahead of time what the play was likely to be based on what he was seeing. Since that change, he's been pretty awful.
  10. He kind of addressed that in his post-game. He said something like he could have taken a knee to get an injury time out and give Mitch some time to get ready, but he just wanted to get off the field right away because he was bleeding quite a bit.
  11. I disagree. If they don't get it, yes, they are pretty much conceding the lead. However, they would have expected to get the ball back with some time on the clock. I know if this was the other way around (or against the Chiefs), and Cook was running wild all game except for maybe the last couple of drives and Josh was on fire the entire game except maybe the last couple of drives, I absolutely would have been p**sed at McDermott for punting (unless of course our D stopped them and we won anyway, then all would have been forgiven).
  12. I'm undecided on this. The one thing I'm 100% confident of however was that it was a horrible play call if we're going for it (I'm talking about the first one). I said this at the time and I heard the same thing said on either the Shout or Locked on Bills podcasts (I think it was Shout). If Josh is going from shotgun with an empty backfield, why did the penalty to bring it one yard closer change to go for it or not? I do agree that going for it and missing leads to a need to chase points. Biggest example of this that I remember was the Carolina / Patriots Super Bowl of several years ago. Carolina went for two, missed it, and then continued to go for two later because of it. They never made them just like the Bills didn't on Sunday and partially led to their loss.
  13. I hate to admit it, but I left☹️ The last Henry touchdown did me in. I said to my friend, "Let's what the next Bills drive, but even if they score, let's leave, the Bills just can't stop them." Then, the pass that was initially called an interception happened. Even though the replay came before we were out of our aisle, we still said "screw it" and were out of there. By the way, I DID stay to the end of the Houston comeback game, so this is the first time I've made this major mistake. It's quite depressing that I missed it. I flew from CA, arrived at my father's in Rochester at 11 PM Saturday night, got back from the game around 1:30 AM Sunday, and my Uber picked me up at 5 AM. Was in town for 30 hours just for the game, and then I blew seeing the end of an epic! And, although I was honest about leaving with all my friends and family, I lied to those at work, the strangers I saw in the airport, and told my wife to lie to her coworkers! I'll take my lumps with those I know (and anyone who may respond to this post), but refuse to take the xxxx (and pity) from coworkers or others!
  14. Just watched Hard Knocks Episode 4 last night. They spent a lot of time talking about his work ethic, that he stays in the building until late at night studying, that he played nickel in the Bears game without ever having practiced at that position. I wonder if other teams see this and if they need a bottom of the roster guy see him as a good addition and sign him off our practice squad. Although Hard Knocks has been very vanilla on anything that could be perceived as negative, this is the one negative I've seen. That being said, when those types of guys get opportunities, although I'd rather it be with the Bills, I'm happy for them.
  15. I agree. I never watched before, so I hadn't seen players cut. I'm sure a part of me might enjoy seeing them go through that but it just seems wrong.
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