
BADOLBILZ
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New York Yankees 2022....Aaron Judge sets AL record with HR #62
BADOLBILZ replied to BADOLBILZ's topic in Off the Wall
9 straight wins........on 3 straight sweeps of bad teams.........16-6 record, best in MLB. Judge 2 HR game. On to Toronto who is 15-8. Yankees minor league hitters are really struggling in general.........except for monstrous 21 year old switch hitting 1B prospect Anthony Garcia who has 6 HR in 49 AB's and 20 walks for low A Tampa. His OPS is crazy......over 1.100. Big guy with a big swing so probably be a few years before we know if he is going to be able to hit enough to make it to the majors but he is a specimen in that Judge/Stanton/Gallo mold with exit velo's to match. -
In hindsight, what’s your worst “hot take” on TSW ever?
BADOLBILZ replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall
Fans of Boston sports teams are known for having an excuse for everything.........so I guess it comes natural to you to think that way. But Josh Allen was the QB with the highest ceiling and pretty much considered a consensus first round draft pick. Becoming a franchise QB was plenty north of "impossible". -
Rd 2, Pick 63 (31): RB James Cook, Georgia
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
They didn't have a HUGE hole at CB.........White, Johnson and Jackson are 3 good starters. They have a lack of proven, high quality depth. Which is also the case at WR.......LT.......DE........Safety......Guard......a lot of positions........they aren't just overloaded everywhere. And some of those positions have proven A LOT harder to fill/address than the relatively easy-to-fill CB position in Buffalo. You are just assuming that Tre White won't make it back and that now the rookie Elam will be ready to step right in for him and excel if he doesn't. Two assumptions and there is plenty of reason to believe that neither may be right. I am tired of arguing against the HUGE HOLE theory.......... the same way I was rolling my eyes in dismissal at you when you thought the Bills season was over after Tre White got injured. And I was proven right..........they then proceeded to play their best football the next two months with a 6th rounder and UDFA starting at CB. Sure they had a couple bad games defensively because of a lack of pass rush.........but Tre White probably played the worst game of his career at KC in the AFCCG so assuming that he or a rookie CB would make ANY difference whatsoever in those exact situations is just rosterbation. It's not consistent with what we've seen from this team/defense under McDermott. -
Round 6 Pick 209 (31): OT Luke Tenuta, Virginia Tech
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Probably not the very top because the RAS goes back to 1983. There were Kentucky waterfalls galore in the 80's. But definitely in the mix for the past 30 years. Robert Gallery comes to mind. -
Rd 2, Pick 63 (31): RB James Cook, Georgia
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Like Deebo? Deebo Samuel is a first team all pro........he put up 1400 yards receiving on 18 yards per reception and also produced 365 yards on the ground and totaled 14 TD's.........basically dragging a sluggish 49ers team to the NFC championship game. The ignorance around the Deebo Samuel situation is crazy..........that would have been easily the best offensive season by a Buffalo Bills receiver in their history. He was basically 1998 Eric Moulds in the air but with 400 more yards of production and 4 more TD's. Yeah........I'd want that kind of impact from a first round pick. Sign me up. -
Rd 7, Pick 231 (18): LB Baylon Spector, Clemson
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Less dead cap cutting Smith Jr. but about the same net as cutting Matakevich. Basically $200k-$300K less than replacing them in the top 51 with a late rookie minimum contract. With all the UDFA's teams are going to have to sort thru Spector would probably have to look absolutely amazing in preseason for anyone to bother considering poaching him off the Bills PS. -
Rd 2, Pick 63 (31): RB James Cook, Georgia
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
First off.........I would have expected the GM to be on the phone and feeling out the trade up market. Which was far cheaper than normal. If trading the second round pick was off the table then that was a mistake. You need to know your limitations........the second round has been a black hole for Beane. IMO, you either believe there are reasons for your behavior and their results.........or you aren't self aware and do not. Yes, I would have taken a LT if the right player was there or reachable. I had Penning rated very high. Dawkins can be moved or the player can be moved inside to develop into a LT. I'm of the opinion that if you get 7 years out of a bad bodied LT like Dawkins you've gotten every bit of what you could have expected. And that 7th year is right around the corner. I know @GunnerBill agrees with me about LT not being "set". But why are you going there when 13 WR's went in the first 2 rounds? And I wouldn't have been averse to taking an edge rusher either. Why not? They are carrying 9 or 10 DL and Shaq is a scrub and Epenesa is a disappointment with no production and Basham is an unknown with questionable upside going into his age 25 season. I would have come out of this draft with Jameson Williams. Perhaps I wouldn't have James Cook or Bernard but I would have had a potential $30M receiver. But let's say the teams in front of me refused to take my superior offer for whatever reason. I take Christian Watson. And if he were gone I take Jermaine Johnson. And if he were gone, Boye Mafe. Because in the Bills system those are premium positions......islands where they are earning their pay without being covered up by position or scheme..........and if they pan out the team would feel compelled to extend them. I'm not sure that's the case with Elam. If they were a press man team, maybe that's different. But they play zone. He will be shielded by the system. He could play well but they could easily decide that they could just plug in a Dane Jackson or Levi Wallace level type of player and be just fine rather than pick up his 5th year option or extend him. Because they have LITERALLY done that for the past 4 seasons. -
That reminds me of McDermott defending his offense to the media at mid-season of 2018 when they were the lowest scoring NFL team at that point of a season since the merger. His answer was "Would we like to score 50 points every week? Sure." For perspective.......the next team that averages 38 points per game for a season will be the first. There is a wide range of results between being the worst ever at the mid point of a season and being on pace to be the greatest ever by a ridiculously wide margin.
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Rd 2, Pick 63 (31): RB James Cook, Georgia
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
1) No........right off the bat you've somehow misunderstood my philosophy. A team is never "set" at premium positions. You read all my posts.........how many times have I told the Aaron Donald story? 100? Thinking that you are "set" in the rapidly changing NFL is the first step onto the slippery slope of needy drafting. I know most teams actually draft for need, regardless of what they say............but that is also one of the reasons why 1/4 of the HC's and/or regimes get changed every year and why we haven't seen a repeat SB champion in a LONG time. Ultimately the draft should be about doing what is right to achieve long term success........which is done first thru great QB play and second thru consistently winning matchups at key positions. If your philosophy changes from draft to draft then it's not process oriented. As you may recall......I've been saying forever that the draft is a process of organization building.......not just an annual event to fill needs. So people trying to Opinion Control Police me are wasting their time..........if it's not process........it's not going to get the stamp of approval of my individual and ultimately inconsequential opinion. Long term success is best achieved by getting the most value from your drafts and utilizing free agency to fill needs........preferably at less expensive positions(like the one's the Bills drafted). 2) The reason I say that I believe they got tunnel vision on a CB is because Beane said he didn't even talk to any teams about moving up before pick 20. I can definitely buy that none of the CB's were worth moving up higher than that......they've got notable flaws and ceiling limitations. But none of the players at other premium positions were either? Trades were being made for value that was far below normal.........and Beane wasn't even checking that? I don't buy that they didn't have higher grades on a receiver.........unless their BPA was actually colored by their perception of need. Which has been my concern thru this process. This is not the first time we have had a Bills team drafting with the perception that they were ALREADY a Super Bowl contender or favorite...........it was this way almost every year throughout the 1990's. As I've said..........I've seen this kind of draft pattern before. Maybe this is the new normal but I hope it's not. Either way, it is what it is and the draft was A LOT of laughs on TSW this year either way. -
Rd 2, Pick 63 (31): RB James Cook, Georgia
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
That take couldn't make less sense in this context. This type of draft is the exact opposite of that philosophy. It was a draft to address immediate needs that you think will help you in the very short term. The way you maintain a team with a $250M QB on it is to keep infusing cheap talent into the expensive premium positions of your systems..........because it's THOSE players you can't afford to keep after contract 1 or replace in free agency with a $250M QB. Any team can afford a Levi Wallace or JD McKissic or a slot receiver, punter etc............even one's with $250M QB. Instead of just parroting something you've heard someone say............try understanding the concept, bud. -
Rd 2, Pick 63 (31): RB James Cook, Georgia
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
By LHF I mean they used their picks on very easy positions to fill and all non-premium positions as I defined them........zone CB, RB, WLB, slot WR, punter. They got tunnel vision on a CB because Levi Wallace was wearing the wrong color undies when he made his decision where to sign his sub $5M aav deal..........and they took a RB in round 2 because the guy they thought they had signed for $3.5M aav backed out on them. I assign $ value to picks........a first should be a guy who you would have to pay $20M+ aav to if they were at their ceiling and a free agent today. A second would have to be in that $12M-$16M range for me.........which is prime real estate for a top end zone-system CB prospect. Cook would have made sense value-wise in the late 3rd. That's just how I judge drafts..........value and overall talent acquired. Not the same as some grade it..........a lot of the grades you will see will be just based on how they addressed immediate needs..........which is then contradicted by the assumption that you won't know if the players were good until they get 3 years in your system. -
I love the Von Miller signing..........but that was only part of their spending spree on defense. I'm underwhelmed by the relative amount of assets that they've put into addressing the offensive side of the ball...........which had systemic problems that only using Josh Allen like a RB down the stretch really resolved. That approach is obviously not sustainable. I like the Von Miller for Hughes/Addison swap A LOT better than old man Saffold for the more reliable/available Daryl Williams. Seems to me they are putting ENORMOUS trust in Aaron Kromer and Ken Dorsey. It's almost like they believe the struggles were all due to Daboll.
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Rd 5, Pick 148 (5): WR Khalil Shakir, Boise St
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
Nope. Woods has longer arms and deeper pockets (subsequently). -
Round 6 Pick 209 (31): OT Luke Tenuta, Virginia Tech
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
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Rd 2, Pick 63 (31): RB James Cook, Georgia
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I don't like RB picks early either. I think they basically got a 2nd rounder in the 1st round, and a 3rd rounder in the 2nd round.........and a 5th-6th rounder in the 3rd. And in the process gave away a 4th round pick in a year where there was 2nd round talent available in round 4. Basically they did what I dislike the team to do in the draft..........they just tried to make a small profit addressing needs at lesser positions of value in their systems......... instead of having a higher standard. If you draft like that consistently it eventually takes a toll on your roster.........it was a problem with the 90's Bills........they were often already drafting special teamers in mid rounds instead of gambling on upside and because of that eventually the Parcells Patriots and Johnson Dolphins caught up and passed them, roster wise. I would have passed on Cook too........but Cook is a potentially valuable player...........I can like him and not like the value where he was picked. This is the way the draft goes sometimes from a fan perspective. In all of the other McBeane drafts they did better for value. Really the Cody Ford trade was his only real glaring L prior to losing some battles this weekend, IMO. But in picking up some low hanging fruit.........a zone CB, a RB, a WLB, a slot receiver and a punter..........they may actually end up with a pretty decent amount of starters at least. -
Oh I agree.......you can't ACTUALLY be GREAT unless you win a championship. What the Bills did was finish #1 in the NFL in defense. You can qualify that all you want. The offense had the aforementioned issues..........and literally scored only 9 points in a devastating loss to the worst team in the entire f*cking NFL............so THEY definitely weren't GREAT. The number one offseason priority.........per Brandon Beane...........was to protect Josh Allen. Then they proceeded to focus on their defense. The biggest addition offensively was a 35 year old OG who missed 5 games worth of snaps last season...........that they swapped out with a more versatile OL who played 98% of the snaps at an otherwise similar performance level.
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The defense was great last season. The offense declined from their great 2020 season..........they lost 3 games in 5 weeks scoring a feeble 9, 15 and 10 points.........and they allowed a horrific 125 combined sacks and pressures and finished last in YAC yardage. Those struggles put them on the road in the playoffs where they were 0-3 under McDermott. But they again spent their top assets on defense.........big FA money on a new pass rusher and their top pick on a CB.
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So you are predicting another decline in passing yardage for Allen? If Allen just gets back to his 2020 production.....about 285 yards per game.......then he will throw for 4800+. Remember.........his numbers last year were tamped down by some pretty bad games........like the 120 yard day against the Falcons.........and some really terrible weather. I think he puts up Brady/Herbert/Stafford/Mahomes type yardage this year.......if the OL or an injury to Diggs/Davis doesn't sabotage him. Last season was a relative struggle.
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Rd 3, Pick 89 (25): LB Terrell Bernard, Baylor
BADOLBILZ replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
The only game you saw Rodger Saffold play in last year was the Bills/Titans game. Let me educate you. They graded out pretty similarly except in the most important ability..............availability. Daryl Williams played 98% of the Bills offensive snaps and moved between two positions........playing almost 300 more snaps than Rodger Saffold. Saffold basically missed 5 games worth of snaps. That's because he was constantly leaving games last year with his chronic shoulder injury. -
I agree that Mancz is like Feliciano.....circling the drain......they are about the same age.......it wasn't any kind of upgrade IMO........the Miami OL was terrible. Jeremiah Sirles was that way when he came to Buffalo too......couple years removed from starting 10 games.......but there was more interior OL depth....or at least the perception of it because they had some young, seemingly promising options at that time. And they also have nobody who they can have any confidence in whatsoever to back up Dawkins at LT. They could stand to add 3 more reserve OL..........two interior and a swing tackle. I like Kromer a lot but I sure ain't counting on him turning Cody Ford into a serviceable option.