Interesting Question involving the BUF/PHI and NE/BAL outcomes

[Playoffs?]

What am I missing here?  If we were both at 11-4, why would we give up our chance to win the division and get at least one home playoff game?

 

I’m not even talking about the one seed. But I’d be doing everything to win the AFCE.

[djp14150]

13 hours ago, SCBills said:

Hypothetical.  
 

Let’s say we beat NE. 
 

NE 11-3

BUF 10-4

 

The following week we beat the Browns & New England loses to Baltimore. 
 

NE 11-4

BUF 11-4

We then play Philly & NYJ

 

NE plays NYJ and Miami 

 

That Philly game means literally nothing for us in this scenario, outside seeding.  It all comes down to beating the Jets and NE losing to the Jets or Miami for the Division. 
 

IF this were to happen.. Should we rest Allen & all other important players against Philly?

Or do you want to play that game out and guarantee the 5 seed? (which might even be ours with 12 wins anyway should we win our season finale)

 

That game “could” be utterly meaningless in any and every aspect. 
 

Of course, it could also mean keeping pace with NE if they beat Baltimore or meaningful in the playoff race should we lose to NE and, heaven forbid, struggle against Cleveland. 
 

But we will know the outcome of that NE/BAL game heading into our game with Philadelphia. 

 

the ne/ balt Phil/ buf games don’t matter much in tiebreakers.

 

buffalo needs to beat pats and jets and pats need to lose to buf and one of jets/ fins for buff to win the division.

 

if the pats lose to the ravens and bills bear browns where they are tied at 11-4, the pats play jets first, so if the pats lose, the bills could text their starters against the eagles with only needing to beat the jets for the division the following week.

 

the issue in beating the eagles has to do with seeding…

 

if Buffalo wins out and gets the division at 13-4 then they can be the top seed if…..

 

1. jags lose a game ( say Denver)

2. Den lose to packers and kc putting them at 12-4

3. Chargers lose 1 game among at kc, at dal, hou. Entering week 18 at 11+5

 

sin e chargers- broncos finish off the season, chargers win thrn they win div at 12-5

 

so buffalo would be top seed.

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

53 minutes ago, djp14150 said:

 

the ne/ balt Phil/ buf games don’t matter much in tiebreakers.

 

buffalo needs to beat pats and jets and pats need to lose to buf and one of jets/ fins for buff to win the division.

 

if the pats lose to the ravens and bills bear browns where they are tied at 11-4, the pats play jets first, so if the pats lose, the bills could text their starters against the eagles with only needing to beat the jets for the division the following week.

 

the issue in beating the eagles has to do with seeding…

 

if Buffalo wins out and gets the division at 13-4 then they can be the top seed if…..

 

1. jags lose a game ( say Denver)

2. Den lose to packers and kc putting them at 12-4

3. Chargers lose 1 game among at kc, at dal, hou. Entering week 18 at 11+5

 

sin e chargers- broncos finish off the season, chargers win thrn they win div at 12-5

 

so buffalo would be top seed.

It’s an interesting hypothetical but if NE drops three in a row i think it’s pretty likely we’re playing for the 1 seed in week 17 and 18. 
 

Also if we’re at 12-4 after beating the eagles and pats are 11-5 there’s still the small possibility both teams lose week 18 making that eagles win meaningful. In this reality the jets would’ve just beat the pats a few weeks before so they’re probably playing decent football 😂. Aah thinkin about this more I guess we’d have the division tiebreaker neutralized if we lost one division game and pats lost 3 more anyway makin the eagles game meaningless again haha 

 

still think the 1 seed philosophy will hold but that intentional loss argument as far as the division goes seems to check out 

Edited 5 hours ago by Generic_Bills_Fan

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

3 hours ago, Playoffs? said:

What am I missing here?  If we were both at 11-4, why would we give up our chance to win the division and get at least one home playoff game?

 

I’m not even talking about the one seed. But I’d be doing everything to win the AFCE.

I think he’s saying if the pats lost earlier in the day to the jets falling to 11-5 we would just need to beat the jets week 18 and there’s no way the pats could jump us making the eagles game somewhat meaningless.  The jets game is a must win even if we were to win the eagles game because we blow the division tiebreaker if we lose that one 

 

Edited 5 hours ago by Generic_Bills_Fan

[djp14150]

1 hour ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

It’s an interesting hypothetical but if NE drops three in a row i think it’s pretty likely we’re playing for the 1 seed in week 17 and 18. 
 

Also if we’re at 12-4 after beating the eagles and pats are 11-5 there’s still the small possibility both teams lose week 18 making that eagles win meaningful. In this reality the jets would’ve just beat the pats a few weeks before so they’re probably playing decent football 😂. Aah thinkin about this more I guess we’d have the division tiebreaker neutralized if we lost one division game and pats lost 3 more anyway makin the eagles game meaningless again haha 

 

still think the 1 seed philosophy will hold but that intentional loss argument as far as the division goes seems to check out 

The issue if talking about win or lose, eagles game won’t matter. They will need to beat the jets. 

[Ray Stonada]

I can’t see us sitting starters against the Eagles no matter what.

 

Either the division is in play (if we beat the Pats and Browns),

 

Or seeding is in play. As the five seed we still have a chance of hosting a playoff game. I can easily see the Ravens or Chiefs getting the 7 seed and going on a run of upsets. 
 

Incidentally, never take a win for granted—even over the Jets—by conceding the Eagles game. That’s the ultimate bulletin board material. 

[billsherd]

Considering they had an early bye week, Bills could decide to rest players against the Jets if not much is on the line. 

[philholbroo]

Maybe give Mcdermott a rest week against Jets? He is very good after a bye.

39 minutes ago, billsherd said:

Considering they had an early bye week, Bills could decide to rest players against the Jets if not much is on the line. 

plus they took the atlanta and miami weeks off pretty much.