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QB Cost per win


section122

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love y'all but this is bad analysis. doesn't show anything.

this could just as easily be interpreted: "how good is the supporting cast / defense / coaching staff / gm ?"

 

the magnitude of ^that effect is likely 10x that of the valuation ($/win) of the qb contracts.

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Team	Cost		Wins	Total	
Den	2,261,158	9	251,240	
Oak	4,623,009	12	385,251	
Tenn	7,534,058	9	837,118	
TB	8,192,029	9	910,225	
NE	15,245,534	14	1,088,967	
Mia	13,174,117	10	1,317,412	
Phi	9,850,243	7	1,407,178	
Buff	10,292,562	7	1,470,366	
Minn	12,583,908	8	1,572,989	
Hous	14,412,646	9	1,601,405	
KC	20,170,000	12	1,680,833	
Dal	24,140,848	13	1,856,988	
Sea	18,997,000	10	1,899,700	
GB	19,910,318	10	1,991,032	
NYJ	10,107,897	5	2,021,579	
PITT	25,334,805	11	2,303,164	
ATL	25,500,000	11	2,318,182	
NYG	25,588,400	11	2,326,218	
LAR	9,453,311	4	2,363,328	
Cin	14,195,413	6	2,365,902	
Indy	19,900,000	8	2,487,500	
Det	23,338,820	9	2,593,202	
NO	18,500,000	7	2,642,857	
Wash	22,237,333	8	2,779,667	
Ariz	20,967,646	7	2,995,378	
Balt	24,050,000	8	3,006,250	
SD	17,180,000	5	3,436,000	
Jax	10,864,198	3	3,621,399	
Car	22,310,000	6	3,718,333	
Chi	20,140,352	3	6,713,451	
SF	20,228,753	2	10,114,377	
Cle	11,022,378	1	11,022,378

 

 

Wow! Just think how much it would cost Cleveland to win 10 games :wallbash:

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love y'all but this is bad analysis. doesn't show anything.

 

this could just as easily be interpreted: "how good is the supporting cast / defense / coaching staff / gm ?"

 

the magnitude of ^that effect is likely 10x that of the valuation ($/win) of the qb contracts.

 

It's another way of looking at things, nothing wrong with that.

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love y'all but this is bad analysis. doesn't show anything.

 

this could just as easily be interpreted: "how good is the supporting cast / defense / coaching staff / gm ?"

 

the magnitude of ^that effect is likely 10x that of the valuation ($/win) of the qb contracts.

 

 

The only purpose of this exercise was to see how much money a team is paying QBs for each win.

 

It has nothing to do with any other position, on or off the field. Just QBs, wins and money.

This came up in another thread. The question posed was how much did each win cost in QB salary. I didn't quite follow it but I took the positional group as a whole and divided it by wins.

 

Here are the results:

 

Team	Cost	Wins	Total
Den	2,261,158	9	251,240
Oak	4,623,009	12	385,251
Tenn	7,534,058	9	837,118
TB	8,192,029	9	910,225
NE	15,245,534	14	1,088,967
Mia	13,174,117	10	1,317,412
Phi	9,850,243	7	1,407,178
Buff	10,292,562	7	1,470,366
Minn	12,583,908	8	1,572,989
Hous	14,412,646	9	1,601,405
KC	20,170,000	12	1,680,833
Dallas	24,140,848	13	1,856,988
Seattle	18,997,000	10	1,899,700
GB	19,910,318	10	1,991,032
NYJ	10,107,897	5	2,021,579
PITT	25,334,805	11	2,303,164
ATL	25,500,000	11	2,318,182
NYG	25,588,400	11	2,326,218
LAR	9,453,311	4	2,363,328
Cin	14,195,413	6	2,365,902
Indy	19,900,000	8	2,487,500
Det	23,338,820	9	2,593,202
NO	18,500,000	7	2,642,857
Wash	22,237,333	8	2,779,667
Ariz	20,967,646	7	2,995,378
Balt	24,050,000	8	3,006,250
SD	17,180,000	5	3,436,000
Jax	10,864,198	3	3,621,399
Car	22,310,000	6	3,718,333
Chi	20,140,352	3	6,713,451
SF	20,228,753	2	10,114,377
Cle	11,022,378	1	11,022,378
	522306736	254	2,056,326

Some interesting things:

 

bottom 3 teams per win are the top 3 teams picking. Part of that is because of the small number fo wins but in the case of Chicago and SF they have quite a bit of money tied up in subpar qbs.

 

The average is just over 2 million per win. Only 4 of the playoff teams went over the average. The other 8 were under.

 

The best win:cost ratio were for 4 teams that have rookie qb contracts.

 

NE being 5th is just criminal. IMO part of what makes Brady so good is his willingness to take less money than his competitors to help have a better team around him. Flacco got paid and his team is now terrible because of it.

 

If Buffalo extends Tyrod and has his cap hit of 17 million while winning 17 games they would be at the 10th highest cost per win. If they were to improve to 9 wins they would drop all the way to 19th.

 

Thanks for doing this. Fun and interesting!

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Is this cap hit I assume?

 

Yeah I went to spotrac and sorted by positional spending, qb, and then full roster cap

 

The only purpose of this exercise was to see how much money a team is paying QBs for each win.

 

It has nothing to do with any other position, on or off the field. Just QBs, wins and money.

 

Thanks for doing this. Fun and interesting!

 

No problem! I love pulling numbers like this. Some interesting numbers gleaned from this.

 

Looking at this it does seem that teams have a window at the start of a rookie qb, if they are as good as advertised, to build up a team around him. I believe it was Nix's idea he just never found his QB.

 

Another thought: overpaying for average to below average qb play has hampered several teams on this list. This exercise really brought me around on the line of thinking for people that want to move on from TT. If they think this is all he will be I get it. I don't share the opinion that he is done growing but I at least can see where they are coming from. I still want him kept but it gave me a better understanding of their position.

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