BrooklynBills

This is also a product of the passing scheme. When Beasley was here, the passing game was very complex for WRs because it was based in the EP scheme and we running a ton of WR option routes, especially with Beasley. When you are heavily running routes based on coverage and requiring both QB and WR to be diagnosing defenses together and being on the same page together, you are naturally getting less identifiable route combos and thus more "schemed open" looks. The Dorsey offense also did this alot but i think began to border on being too complex and less focused, and/or we stopped investing in the types of professional WRs who could effectively run it well. And thats why you saw alot more INTS because guys weren't on the same page enough. I don't see any of that really right now. Now, I'm not saying that we aren't currently making audibles and adjustments based on defensive coverage. But the Daboll offense was heavily based on spread concepts in the passing game (although he wanted to be able to play multiple styles as well). So the WRs and QB were reading the coverage and making adjustments during the play alot of times. Its also why you didn't hear much about the X receiver position as much until they switched schemes because this just naturally allowed for more fluidity. This offense was not perfect and had its own warts and I think it was way too reliant on Allen to make ALL of the plays (not in the idea that he needed to be "superman" but that almost every single play was read for throw or run OR constantly reading the coverage during the play - some offenses do have just easy button reads built in to take the pressure off). There really wasn't anything built in to do alot of the under center runs that we do now. But I think its why we saw so many "easy" completions. Because WRs were running to open spaces and the QB knew were they were going based on defensive leverage during the play. I think the Brady passing concepts are just very simply in comparison and easier to defend.

Lots of RPO slants in this clip, which teams have taken away league wide.

Beane and McDermott are completely tied together. Beane is the GM but make no mistake, this is McDermott's show. My guess is McDermott is heavily involved in the draft strategy.

If it was a team that did it, I think the likeliest suspect is the Miami Dolphins. 1. The Laremy Tunsil situation had just happened in 2016 which allowed Tunsil to fall to the Dolphins. Both Chris Grier and Adam Gase were running the Dolphins in 2016 and 2018. It was never officially confirmed who leaked the Tunsil stuff although most suspect a family member of Tunsil but it is easily possible that the Dolphins orchestrated it to have him fall to them. If anything, they would have learned the potential effects of such a scenario of leaking disparaging material right before the draft. 2. We know the Dolphins were looking to draft a QB in that draft. Alot of people had them linked with Mayfield. Mayfield was linked with many teams outside the top 5 looking for a QB (including the Bills BTW) before he would up going #1. It has also been reported that Gase really liked Allen in that draft.

if i recall, its also supposed to weight the 4th Q heavier than the 1st 3 (which is another flaw because it can overinflate garbage time). QBR was created at a time when ESPN was trying figure out a way to incorporate Vick's rushing/scrambling ability into the QB metrics - which I do think at the time was needed because the mobile QB was evolving. I just think that it is too simplistic now that we've reached this era of QB play

The Bills 1st is later than 23 and they don't have a WR as valuable to offer as Doubs. Trading Kincaid saves just $270K on the cap. Trading Coleman costs you an additional $900K. Those aren't realistic trade candidates for a team that is going to have to work to get under the cap IMO.

They will go with Bernard and Milano this year as the top 2 starters with Williams as the 1st backup and the #3 LBer for when they want to go with more trad 4-3 sets (which I think they will do a little more of moving forward). Milano has 2 years left on his deal and zero GTD money and they can get out relatively easily after this year. Just makes zero sense to trade him or Williams. Off ball LBers have almost zero trade value unless you are an elite player. I think they will ask Milano to take a paycut this year or move some of his $$ into NLTBE bonuses while GTDing some of his salary, then move off of him after this season and go with Williams and Bernard next year.

It's actually not a bad overall strategy to pair a rookie contract with a high end FA one.

Correct. If that field stretcher is also the best WR on the team, that's a bonus IMO.

The Bills #1 need is deep threat who can stretch the field vertically. Haven't delved into WR acquisition targets but I'm not sure Kupp is that.

Arrowhead is a natural grass field. They weren't getting the normal push on a lot those plays. I would bet that the overall results of this play were effected by the field surface combined with how KC was defending and the fact that Chris Jones is a difference maker on the interior. They didn't adjust.

Reid did it with both McNabb and Mahomes.

We have 4 years of evidence that this is not the case. If the teams like the candidate for the job, they aren't going to balk at hiring them because a division rival gets a pair of late 3rd round picks. Intra-conference comp picks LA received comp picks for ATL hiring Raheem Morris. SF received comp picks for WAS hiring Martin Mayhew. BAL received comp picks for HOU hiring David Culley. NO received comp picks for ATL hiring Terry Fontenot. (Divisional) LA received comp picks for DET hiring Brad Holmes Inter-conference comp picks SF received comp picks for TEN hiring Ran Carthon. CLE received comp picks for MIN hiring Kwisi Adofo Mensah. KC received comp picks for CHI hiring Ryan Poles. SF received comp picks for MIA hiring Mike McDaniel. SF received comp picks for NYJ hiring Robert Saleh.

Its a VERY narrative based award and usually goes to: 1. Turnaround Narrative - New coach who gets a previously bad team into the playoffs (Daboll in 22, Stefanski in 20) 2. Adversity Narrative - Established coach who overcomes perceived extreme adversity (Stefanski in 23, Arians in 12) 3. Just the Best Narrative - Established coach whose team just wins a ton of games (Harbaugh in 19, Rivera in 15) If the Bills went 15-2, obviously beating the Lions in the process, AND the Chiefs drop another game, the Bills would have the best record in the NFL and they'd have won 12 straight games. I think that is the only was he gets the award. It would be a very strong case for "Just the Best Narrative"

No Taron Johnson or Terrell Bernard on defense and I think Rapp left pretty early as well. Offensively, Shakir was hobbled and was less effective than usual and I don't think the Bills had any answers for a team that just committed to playing man coverage all game. The game was also 21-10 in the 3rd Q with Bills fumbling at mid field on that terrible trick play. Not saying that the Bills offense was moving the ball super effectively but I think everyone who took this game as a sign that the Bills couldn't compete with good teams does need to reevaluate the personnel discrepancy. Plus, this was Ravens at home on prime time. They play very well in that spot. Same with the Texans game. Bad start on defense (with key guys out) and the offense couldn't figure out how to deal with man coverage. And again, this game ended on a walk-off 50+ yard FG as time expired. The season is a journey, especially for a team who is transitioning SEVERAL players into new roles.