Big Turk

I don't think it's lucky as much as the Bills have the largest margin for error in games of any team in the NFL.

I posted in another thread why Turnovers are NOT a huge problem for the Bills or Chiefs in the way they are for the rest of the NFL. In short, they play by different rules than everyone else in that regard.

No sun again for a while, looks like potentially not until February, so that won't be an issue for this game. Looks like we are hovering between having some snow showers for the game and a mix of rain/snow showers with temps in the mid 30s. Wind 5-10 mph with gusts to around 15mph. There are some models showing potential for higher gusts to like 30-40 mph, but those are the outliers, so likely not going to happen.

Elam needs to start...I mean it's PFF but the eye test matched up... You can't see how the Bills win a game in which they are better offensively, better defensively and better on special teams. Makes total sense.

Fun fact is that Brady threw his first RZ pick in like 3 years against Dallas in the playoffs game a few days ago snapping his NFL record streak. It happens. Would like to see it happen less obviously with Allen, but I think in the mindset he is in this year that's par for the course. You just hope it doesn't cost you a game like it did against Minnesota.

So there is a lot being made across the media about how much the Bills turn the ball over and why they "can't keep winning" if they don't stop doing it. I believe they are wrong and the reason they are wrong is the Bills and Chiefs are simply not like other teams. Firstly, the Bills get a lot of takeaways, so in most games even if they have 3 turnovers, they likely are at least getting 2 of their own. They are a net 0 on turnover differential for the season. The important stat isn't how many turnovwrs you have, it's what is the net turnover differential (ie, how many times you get takeaways - how many times the other teams get takeaways). Bills rank tied for 13th with 0, KC is -3 on the year. 23 giveaways versus 20 takeaways. Secondly, the Bills rarely punt, so in the drives they are not turning the ball over, they score at the 2nd highest points per drive rate in the NFL, next to of course, Kansas City. The league average for punts is somewhere around 65 for the year. Bills came in at 45, fewest in the NFL in both total and punts/game. That's 20 extra possessions where we either scored points, went for it on 4th down or turned the ball over versus a normal team. If you take our 2.64 points per drive stat and multiply it by 20, that led to an extra 53ish points for the Bills versus a normal team. The Bills have turned the ball over 3+ times on 5 occasions this year(including last week). They are 4-1 in those games. The only game they lost was to the Vikings in OT where they were -2 in TOs instead of the -1 or 0 in the other 4 wins. And that extra TO came on a game ending INT in the RZ in OT. All of their losses have come when they have lost the TO battle in a game, but they are also 6-3 in the 9 games that has happened, so they still win twice as often as they lose, it just makes it a little tougher. I think fans and the media need to start viewing turnovers differently with the Bills and Chiefs. It still matters, but it matters far less than it does for most teams.

Too much money.

No, that's what he said. He said he was playing the wrong coverage on that play and once he realized it, he just kinda did the best he could to get somewhere to make a play...happened to be exactly in the right place.

Is he related to Run DMC? Maybe his little cousin?

Yeah I don't think I have ever seen as many 0's on the play clock for a good second+ and get virtually no calls for it...they got the one on the key 4th and 1 but that was obvious.

Well a 298 lb player running a 4.98 40 isn't a very good representation of Boyd if that was their plan.

And yet still graded out as the best QB in the NFL. Maybe you should watch more games. You start wondering why other QBs couldn't make a certain play because it was there to be made...then you realize it's simply because they don't have Josh Allen. As a closet Dolphin fan you shouldn't be worried about Allen. Worry about cleaning up your own QB mess with your fragile QB that misses multiple games every year with a wide assortment of injuries. Even while being incosistent his floor is higher than 25+ other QBs ceilings.

Not an incentive for the team hiring them, but that team gets funding from the NFL towards the coaches salary for two years. Not sure how much they are given.

Daboll is going to win in a landslide.

Someone trying to make a name for themselves with a nonsense article.

Outside of the 2 Viking games, his top performance has been 44 yards. Not sure what he is doing that isn't replaceable by someone on our roster.

What does it matter?

If we won 28-10 and the Dolphins never got within 10 points we would have? If we did that would mean a lot of people don't really understand situational football.

Pretty confident.

We had the 3rd most turnovers in the NFL this season with 27 and were only even because our D also generated 27 of their own. I don't think there is another team in the NFL that can win more games while losing the TO battle, sometimes by 2 or more even. To some degree, our turnovers have take the place of our punts. We rarely punt so on the drives we don't turn the ball over, we score most of the time. Other teams turn the ball over and still punt a lot, which means it eats into their scoring possessions.

Back then everyone threw like 20 INTs a year tho.

I think what will help the Bills most is that they can run a bunch of games, zone blitzes, etc to confuse the OLine protection schemes in a loud environment where they can't talk to each other and the Bills can get some quick pressures off that type of stuff. Continuity is huge on the OLine, especially when you can't hear or communicate with the player next to you in regards to blocking assignments. With the same 5 guys all year you already have all that down because you've seen everything there is to see and worked through it over the course of a season. With 3 new guys in there and having to use silent counts and having no ability to communicate, that is going to make things really difficult in that regard. If anything, the Bengals may try to run the ball more to lessen the pressure they face.

I think we just are going to have to live with what he does. He will drive us crazy with some turnovers but he will also make more unbelievable plays in a season than most QB's do in their career.

They never have been a good running team even when all 5 were healthy. People have this notion because they have Joe Mixon they are some rushing powerhouse. They aren't. They are average to below average rushing the football.

3rd in passing at 86.1 2nd in rushing at 92.4 1st overall at 91.8. I know it's PFF, but this kinda refutes the notion that his turnovers mean he isn't as good as other QB's