Good example of why with Josh Allen, you need to throw stats out the window and watch the games. Stats simply don’t capture his value or his greatness.
He might. There's probably never been a coach who has had his level of success in both the NFL and college football. I can't think of anyone who's come close. (I know his USC success is somewhat tainted now.)
I think the Steelers’ defense will frustrate Mahomes early, but they just don’t have enough offensive firepower…KC will pull away in the second half and win by two scores.
This is the real drawback with football analytics: How reliable are numbers upon which you are basing your decisions? And as many have pointed out, every situation is different. If your defense has been unable to stop a Pat Mahomes, then you’re probably going to be more inclined to go for it on 4th down to keep the ball away from him late in the game.
In my view, the best thing about analytics is that it has caused coaches to think about every decision in a fresh light, instead of automatically doing what every other coach has done since time immemorial.
Here’s one I’d love to see more often: You score a touchdown and on the scoring play or the extra point, the other side gets a 15-yard personal foul that is enforced on the kickoff. Why don’t you go for a surprise onside kick? You’re kicking from midfield so the worst that happens is the other team gets it on their own 35…and the chances of recovering a surprise onside kick are very good. But no one ever does it.
Funny how these coaches’ futures are tied to the QBs they find themselves with. The Dolphins’ decision to draft an injured midget instead of Justin Herbert is going to haunt that franchise for a long time.