Great teams win when they don't play well. Just for some perspective, the 2007 Patriots (16-0 regular season) beat the A.J. Feeley led Eagles at home 31-28. That Eagles team finished 8-8. In 2006, the Colts beat the Winless Vince Young Titans 14-13 in the RCA Dome. The Colts were 18.5 point favorites in that game. I could keep doing this, not to mention the losses that great teams have every year.