khlax3

Based on the number of players the bills usually carry at each position this appears to be the team needs: saftey- 2-3 more players CB - 1-2 more players LB- 1-2 more players DE- 2-3 more players DT- 3-4 more players OL- 1-2 more players RB- 2 more players WR- 3-4 more players TE- None QB- None We Are looking at 15-20 potential additions to the roster in FA in the draft. I expect to make about 8 draft picks after Beane moves around so we are likely going to bring in about 10 free agents (some of those being players who could have been on roster last year

Even if we draft 11 players in the draft the picks will only cost between 4-5 million in cap space. round 1- 2.4 million Round 2- 1.17 million Round 3- 1.011 million All other rounds are a minimum type salary. All of these players would replace existing minimum contracts on the roster and it would be a wash cap wise. Honestly if you drafted 11 players and they all made the team you might actually gain space as they would likely be replacing guys who make more than the rookie contracts

This would be good for Buffalo. If Davis, Floyd, AJE and even jones get over payed in FA it could net us a few extra 3rd to 5th round comp picks next year

You’re assuming a top draft pick is going to come in and instantly be a very good player. Even top draft picks are a 50-50 shot. So if that player doesn’t perform year 1 you’re ok with a potentially declining diggs, shakir and a bunch of guys that could offer nothing? Everyone agrees we need a top young wr but you can’t bank on that. They will need to bring in at least 1 vet with a decent floor.

You have to bring in at least 1 proven wr. He doesn’t have to be a star but someone you can count on. There is no guarantee whoever you draft is going to be star year 1. Even if they are if diggs goes down your looking at shakir and a rookie. We need more than that

I agree with you. I think they need to draft a top prospect but also find a veteran you can count on as well. Samuel or Mooney make a lot of sense in that regard. If you only bring in rookies and no veteran and they struggle year 1 your WR is worse than this year assuming gave us gone

With FA less than a month away I figured it was time to start taking a look at some. Value free agents. With limited cap space but plenty of needs the Bills will need to hopefully find guys who can provide value and fill roles a low cost. Our impact players are most likely going to come from the draft. Here is a list I started to get some discussion going. Look forward to seeing other names people think could be a fit at a low to moderate cost. RB: Antonio Gibson (Washington) AJ Dillion (GB) D’ Onta Foreman (Chi) Gus Edwards (Bal) Clyde Edwards Helaire (KC) Kareem Hunt (Cleveland) J.K. dobbins (Bal) WR: Kendrick Bourne (NE) Nelson Agholar (Bal) Josh Reynolds (Detroit) Donovan People’s Jones (Det) Darnell Mooney (Chi) Dj Chark (Car) Slightly more costly but not top dollar: Tyler Boyd (cincy) Curtis Samuel (wash) Hollywood brown (Arizona) Saftey: Julian Blackmon (colts) Jordan Fuller (Rams) Jermey chin (panthers) Mike Edwards (KC) Dashon Elliot (Miami) Tashon Gibson (SF) DT: Tiare Tart (titans-Texans) Maurice Hurst (Cleveland) Javon Kinlaw (SF) Raekwon Davis (Miami)

I would be pretty pumped with this draft. No trades

Don’t be surprised if the Bills grab saftey Tykee smith from Georgia in the middle rounds. He was an All American at WVU and when Addae left WVU for the job at Georgia he took Tykee Smith with him. https://www.thedraftnetwork.com/2024/01/25/tykee-smith-scouting-report-nfl-draft-2024

Everyone wants a stud round 1 WR but it’s not a sure thing they work out especially year 1. I would much rather spend my cap money on a proven young WR (Higgins, Pittman) and then get a mid round pick at WR to go with diggs and shakir. If that first round receiver isn’t a stud out of the gate your wr situation next year is worse than this year. Use the draft to get young and cheap on defense and use all available assets in FA to load up on proven talent for Josh. Diggs contract will be off the books after next year so you can structure a proven wr contract with a low year 1 cap hit then have it increase the following years

Agree with this. They can and should sign a dependable WR in FA. This will be diggs last year. You can have the year 1 cap hit be extremely small and then have it increase next year once diggs is off the books. I want to use a day 1 or 2 pick on a wr as well but for everyone just saying double dip in the draft and be done that is crazy. There is a 50-50 shot the draft pick works out. If they struggle in year one your WR situation is worse than this year, a declining diggs, shakir (Davis gone) and 2 rookies

This is more of a flyer for a 7th rounder that likely doesn’t make the team anyway. If Joe Brady is back he was his coach at LSU where he had success. He also has never had a quality qb throwing him the ball. Idk if it works out but to me it’s worth a 7th round pick to take a chance

This was only focused on offense. There are plenty of ways to save money on defense to get us below the cap and have money to sign guys as well. We would also have 6 draft picks including a 1st, 2nd, and 4th in this scenario all dedicated to the defense. Cutting poyer, extending Johnson and Douglas, pay cut or cut for white and you are saving over 20 million with those moves alone. More saving could be had from Neal. There are plenty of ways to save money.

In no way do I expect Tee Higgins to sign for 9 million a year. I full expect him to get a 5 year 100 million dollar deal. What I am suggesting is his cap hit year 1 is 9 million which is doable. Then after this season Diggs would be gone and Higgins cap hit would go into the 20-25 million range much like diggs is now. I personally like the idea of a proven young receiver over a 1st round pick. If that receiver doesn’t hit your looking at a bad situation next year and even worse the following year if diggs is gone.

Oh looks like he declared but didn’t hire an agent then decided to transfer. Well I guess he is offf the board but either way I would find a qb in the late rounds to back up Josh for several years. I think it’s time to have some stability there instead of spending a couple million each year and having a recolving door

I’ve posted this in another thread as well but this is what I would do on offense. I’m trying to get a proven WR just because you draft one high isn’t a sure thing and can’t waste another year Cap savings: Extend Dawkins (7 million) Release Harty (5 Million) Release Hines (4 Million) Cut Gilliam (1.9 million) Restructure Allen (23 million) Total cap savings (40.9 million) Additions/Re-signings: - Edwards (2 million) - Ty Johnson (1.5 million) - Quentin Morris (1 million) - Tee Higgins (9 million year 1- diggs gone once number increases) - Terrance Marshall JR- (1.5 million trade 7th rounder. He hasn’t been good in nfl but was good with Brady at LSU) -Carson Steele RB UCLA round 5 (1 million) -Ricky Pearsall WR Florida Round 3 (1 million) - Cam ward QB Wash st round 5 (1 million) Net cap savings: 22.9 million Roster: QB: Josh Allen, Cam Ward RB: James Cook, Ty Johnson, Carson Steele TE: Kincaid, Knox, Morris WR: Diggs, Higgins, Shakir, Pearsall, Marshall JR, (Isabella, shorter, or hamler) OL: Dawkins, McGovern, Morse, Torrence, Brown,Edwards, Bates, Anderson, Van Demark, Doyle This would make the offense younger and cheaper. Besides Diggs, Morse, and Dawkins everyone else is under the age of 27.

I think we have the ability to get younger, cheaper and also improve. I have only gone through offense so far but I was able to add some playmakers on offense, leave 6 draft picks for defense including 1st and 2nd rounders and cut our over the cap amount to about 18 million over which we can easily free up more than that on the defensive side through restructures, extensions, cuts. Cap savings: Extend Dawkins (7 million) Release Harty (5 Million) Release Hines (4 Million) Cut Gilliam (1.9 million) Restructure Allen (23 million) Total cap savings (40.9 million) Additions/Re-signings: - Edwards (2 million) - Ty Johnson (1.5 million) - Quentin Morris (1 million) - Tee Higgins (9 million year 1- diggs gone once number increases) - Terrance Marshall JR- (1.5 million trade 7th rounder. He hasn’t been good in nfl but was good with Brady at LSU) -Carson Steele RB UCLA round 5 (1 million) -Ricky Pearsall WR Florida Round 3 (1 million) - Cam ward QB Wash st round 5 (1 million) Net cap savings: 22.9 million Roster: QB: Josh Allen, Cam Ward RB: James Cook, Ty Johnson, Carson Steele TE: Kincaid, Knox, Morris WR: Diggs, Higgins, Shakir, Pearsall, Marshall JR, (Isabella, shorter, or hamler) OL: Dawkins, McGovern, Morse, Torrence, Brown,Edwards, Bates, Anderson, Van Demark, Doyle This would make the offense younger and cheaper. Besides Diggs, Morse, and Dawkins everyone else is under the age of 27. note: I originally created a post for this but since deleted it since it fits in with this conversation.

Curious to see what everyone would like to realistically see happen this off-season. Here are my initial thoughts: Draft picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd (comp), 4th, 5th (gb), 5th, 6th (LAR), 6th (Houston), 6th, 7th Coaching: -Hire Brady as OC and give him an offseason to implement his offense -ST was brutal this year I think you need to make a change her -Hire a QB coach - I would keep McDermott as HC/DC but I think you need to bring in someone else as assistant HC to help alleviate some of the tasks on MCdermott (Ron Rivera seems logical here) Offense: -OL: I would bring everyone back including David Edwards (hopefully on a similar deal to this year). Edwards filled that 6th lineman big TE role perfectly. The line played well this year and keeping them together will only help - TE: Knox and Kincaid are both going to be here. Morris is a FA if he will come back at vet minimum I bring him back if not use one of your late round picks on a TE to round out the depth chart. -QB: Allen is here and you restructure him to free up over 20 million in cap space. Personally I think it’s time to use a 5th or 6th round pick on a qb who we have under contract for 4 years and that is cheap. If Allen is hurt it doesn’t matter who the backup is. -RB: Cook proved he could be a RB1 this year and I really like Johnson to come back as an RB2/3 on a minimum deal. Once again using a 4th to 6th round pick to fill out this depth chart. Brady will also need to decide if he needs a fullback if he doesn’t I let Gilliam go. Hines is clearly a cut due to cap savings -WR this is where the big changes come on offense. Diggs and Shakir are a solid start and I thing you let Isabella, shorter, kj hamler compete for that 5th/6th wr role but I think you double dip in the draft 1st round and 5th/6th round as well as bring in a mid tier vet (going to be limited due to cap space and if you bring in a Rd1 guy they would be your wr 4. I would be looking at guys like Josh Reynolds, Kendrick Bourne, Nelson Aguilar, Curtis Samuel. I would really like Michael Pittman but he will be way to expensive). Defense: -Saftey: this is tough but I think it’s time to say goodbye to poyer and Hyde. Hamlin also needs to go. Cutting poyer I would use his money to sign Jeremy Chin or kyle Duggar. I bring back Rapp on a small contract and I use a Day 2 draft pick on a saftey. Cam Lewis or a late draft pick can be your 4th saftey. Your likely to take a step back at this position with poyer and Hyde gone but it’s time to turn the page. CB: I would extend Douglass and Johnson to lower their cap hits. Benford is your other starter and I keep Elam for one more year as a backup. I think Dane Jackson will be gone and Tre is the tricky one. I think you try to renegotiate his contract to lower the cap hit and provide incentives if not he has to be a cut at his current rate.if Jackson and white are gonna we are going to have to sign a cheaper vet to round out depth chart. LB: If Dodson will resign at a relatively small deal I think your set with Bernard, Milano, Dodson, Spector, Williams. DL: This position is going to need a lot. You have Von, Groot, and Oliver. I think you try to resign jones if it’s reasonable. You’re also going to have to sign a DT free agent and use a day 2 pick on one. As far as DE goes I think brining lawson back makes sense on a minimum deal. If we can get Floyd back on a 2 year 18-20 million dollar deal with a void year I also probably do that then have Kingsley jonothan and a late draft pick compete for that 5th d end spot. Next year will be tough the team will look a lot different and we need to start getting younger and get cap in better shape for the next run. Next year is the year to do it to get ready for 2025.Miami will then have to pay tua and tyreek will be old and, Rodgers will retire, and Reid and Kelce will also be near the end. The goal should be to build for 2025.

Bills should bring the entire oline including backups back, the entire TE group back, and Ty Johnson as a rb3. they need a back up qb (should use a late round pick on one so we have someone for 4 years) they need a rb2- cheap vet or late draft pick (or if they like what fornette has done in practice just bring him in as the rb2 they need 2 wrs (draft one high and a mid tier vet (Diggs, high draft pick, shakir, mid tier vet, resign Sherfield as blocking wr, and shorter

Within the next few seasons there will be 16 international games a year. Every team will have 8 home, 8 away, and 1 international game. Likely split between 6-7 countries.

Morris played 38 percent of the snaps vs the jets and 26 percent of the snaps against the eagles. Gave Davis was over 95 percent in both games. You give all of morris snaps to Knox and 10-15 percent of Davis snaps. That gets Knox up to 40-50 percent of the snaps and gets gabe into a better spot around 80 percent

I am a super optimistic fan and I’m not giving up but just looking at reality. The dolphins have a much much easier schedule than the bills going forward and already area game up. The D is decimated by injuries and we would need to win 6 of of 8 to lock in wildcard. We are currently sitting at 9th in the afc. I think overall the window on this group of players had closed and we just need to retool for another run with Josh in his prime

Unfortunately unless the dolphins implode of the next few weeks I don’t think the bills will make the playoffs this year. Right now we have 4 afc losses and lose most of the tiebreakers if not all of them. There will be plenty of time this off-season to talk about all these items in more details but here are some of my thought: 1. I think core group of players has run its course. It’s time to retool for the next run. 2. we will likely be picking the higher in the draft than we have in several years and we have a lot of picks this year. We must hit on the early picks to set up our next run. 3. Our schedule looks like it will be much easier next year. Pats should still suck, we play the NFC west and AFC south. We will likely finish 2nd or 3rd in the division which means we will avoid KC, Philly, Baltimore and will likely get the Steelers, cowboys, and chargers instead. 4. Although not all the offensive struggles are on Dorsey I think they need to move on and find an experienced OC (If frank Reich gets canned in Carolina I would take a look). With McDermott focused on the D having someone on offense with HC experience would be nice. 5. It’s time to move on from Davis and either invest a high draft pick or sign a guy in FA who has been consistent. It looks like we will have a solid core with diggs, shakir, Knox and Kincaid but we need another weapon. 6. We need another back to compliment cook. We don’t need to invest a ton of cap space or draft capital but we need to bring someone else who can be an 1b type back. 7. The oline has mostly been fine. I think they look worse than they are sometimes because Allen holds the ball so long. I would bring David edwards back for depth, bring in a tackle for depth and hopefully keep continuity. The one change I could see would be to drop Morse for bates to open cap space. 8. The d is hard to judge because of all the injuries but I think they are going to have some tough decisions on a few players. What do you do with white? Poyer? Hyde? Von will be here due to his contract. Do you resign epenesa and jones? The bbills need to get younger and cheaper on d in a hurry.

I don’t think we should give up a 1st but if you can get a proven young player on a first you do it even if it’s going to cost you salary. We went with the other approach and drafted Elam and he doesn’t see the field

Because they know they are going to suck this year might as well just take the loss this year instead of splitting it into next year once Murray is back