Bill from NYC
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Posts posted by Bill from NYC
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Check the voting stats re: the black vote. There was the start of something in '04. I can only say it would be a good thing to have Jesse Jackson be less of a voice in the Dem Party. I choose to think a little more optimistically about the racial thing.
As for Hillary, it's hard to say if she'll run. If she does, I don't think she gets it. Lots of history there, and not much of it is good for her. In NYC she's safe, going national I wouldn't bet on her. Lots of discussion centers around running a current Dem governor, for the same reason as is being discussed in the thread.
I strongly hope that you are correct about the racial thing. I honestly thought it would get better after 9/11. Maybe it did, we can only hope.
My daughter told me that AAs and Hispanics voted a little bit more for repubs in 04, but I dont have the numbers. She also has an article in the Dartmouth Beacon titled "AFL-CIO GOP" in which she examines the labor vote and other issues.
If what KRC and others say about the media is true, I see Hillary as a virtual lock to get the nomination in 08. She is already running to the center. From what I understand, Bill is even ridiculing gay marriage.
It will be another circus.
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It depends on what you mean by quality. To me that is far from great, below very good, right around middle of the pack (out of 32). I think he is not as good as JJ, but slightly below. The Cards thought enough of him two years ago to give him 23 million, which I would wager is likely around 28-30 million today. They didn't think he was terrible. And he has had the unfortunate circumstance of being on the Cardinals his entire career, which could harm anyone's upward tragectory. But he is better than we have, and would start immediately, and with no signing bonus, if he doesn't work out we can cut him after one year. But with McNally he has a chance to blossom.
Maybe he can serve as a stop-gap, or as you say, McNally will bring out more in him. I am just sick and tired of sub par OL play on the Bills, although 04 was the best I have seen in countless years.
It is going to be hard for the Bills to go to the playoffs and beyond without a Pace/Ogden type talent. What the Bills truly need (and deserve) is for Mike Williams to earn his huge paycheck. If he was truly dominant, I would not begrudge him one cent of his cap figure, but I guess this is for another thread.
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I already answered that just above. And I don't believe that he is a top LT. I will provide it for you again even though you keep asking the same questions and keep getting answers and then keep asking the same questions.
Here is why I think there apparently isn't a huge interest in Shelton:
Please, please, please, I'm begging you, do not go into a tirade about Travis not worth dirt let alone a 2nd rounder, we know your opinion on this.
>>>>>He is a quality and chance to be high quality player not a great player. Three million a year is a significant sum even though a lot of guys make more.<<<<<
This is where I do not agree with you. 3 mil. is anything but a tidy sum for a quality LT. Tell me, do you think that TD would have been willing to keep Jennings for 3 mil. per season? Please.
My contention is that if TD thought highly of LJ he would have been forced to make a deal almost instantly. There is a big shortage of talented LTs (and pass rushing DEs) in the NFL. They will always be in high demand, and are almost never traded.
AKC raised doubt that Shelton could make the team. Badolbilz called him a "below average LT with a chronic ankle injury." I contend that if Shelton was a good LT, the Bills could not get him for Travis Henry.
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Clark was a dismal failure in the primaries. I do not see him running again. Obama needs more time, but he will be a VERY formitable candidate for the Dems. Richardson is a possibility. Reid seems to be positioning himself for a run.
I also agree that primaries should be closer together. I think it should be one day for ALL primaries for the party. No one or couple of states should determine the nominee.
I disagree with your assertion that Kerry was not in the position/did not want to attack Bush. The problem is that he was just opposing anything Bush was for, then when questioned on it and forced to give specifics his opinions were not much different from Bush. As you said, he tried to be all things for all people, which means that he had no message. In order to be an effective communicator, you need to start with a message. "Bush Bad, vote for me because I am not Bush" is not going to cut it.
Look, I am not saying this is right. It is in fact regretable, but there will not be an African-American named Obama serving as the President of the United States. Not in our lifetime.
The lib dems own the African American vote, lock, stock and barrel. His candidacy would perhaps increase AA voting numbers, but it would also bring out the racist vote. In other words, he would not bring a much need voting base to the table (it is already there), and he comes from a state that already votes for dems.
I am thinking that Hillary is the clear choice for the dems in 08. Looking at the last several loser dem candidates, it just makes sense.
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Why do you think that there is little interest (or so it seems) in Shelton? A top LT locked into a cheap contract is worth at the very least a top 10 pick.
If your answer is that the cards want to get rid of him, fine, but again, there would be a stampede of GMs trying to obtain Shelton if they thought he was any good, wouldn't you say?
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Then how come there is no competition from other teams to get him. Especially
considering that he has a under-paying salary of 3m/year for a starting LT.
Also the fact that you can cut him anytime and not have any salaray cap
negative impact makes him a great pick for many teams that don't have a
LT or a avg LT.
The point is Shelton does come with a baggage and until he proves otherwise.
The question is do the Bills feel it is worth the risk to get him and start him at LT.
Hello!!!!!!!!!!!!! Perfect Post!!!!!
There will never be a time in the NFL where teams will not fall all over themselves to get a good LT who is signed to a cheap, long term deal.
We can tell ourselves what a great deal this is and it might very well be, but as you said, we will not know how good LJ is until he proves it on the field.
That said, at least we would be throwing out our garbage as well.
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Yes, and we all know what a great job dems are doing wrt protecting our civil liberties. Their answer is to ban or limit things, stupid things, such as fat content at Burger King, smoking in bars, loud bells on ice cream trucks, etc. Compelling "issues," wouldn't you say?
My daughter told me the other day that Bill Clinton insulted a person for pushing "family values" yet wanting to marry his gay lover. Great, thanks for the "civil liberty."
In America, we have problems with terrorism, jobs, illegal aliens and crime, yet a case could be made that the last presidential election was decided on the "issue" of gay marriages.
I wish I had the answer.
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DeMarcus Ware?
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Important to note: this article says the rumored deal with the Raider involves the Skins getting a second rounder from Oakland as well. That may be why the Skins are looking at the Raiders now instad of focusing on the Bills.
There is no way I'd trade Nate and our second round pick for #9. I would seriously consider trading Nate for the #9 pick straight up, providing we had a solid plan in place to turn that #9 pick into a later first rounder and a second, or even two decent second rounders.
I don't see TD trading Nate just to move up in this draft.
Agreed.
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Recently, I was at a meeting with a group of people which included two Democrat Congressman.
One of them stated that a majority in his district favor lower taxes. He went on to state that if the average person knew how the government spent their money, they would actually WANT a tax increase. He went on to state that it is our job to get the message out to the people that tax increases are not a bad thing.
I would not blame you if you dont believe me, but I offer this as the truth.
Intellectually honest? I suppose, but stupid by any stretch of the imagination. I think that this particular congressman represents the bulk of the dem politicians. It really is a shame, because idiocy such as this limits the choice that voters have, as if things were not limited enough.
I would like to vote for a democrat. This administration is too anti-labor for my taste, but look at the dem candidates:
Mondale
Gore
Dukakis
Kerry
The primary candidates look even worse
It is almost as if they WANT to lose.
Anyway, this post is not aimed at you. Please consider it more of a vent.
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I certainly wouldn't go that far. It appears that the Redskins are definitely interested in acquiring a top veteran CB in some sort of deal with their 9th overall pick. Given that the last four paragraphs of the article discuss the possibility of the Redskins being interested in trading for Clements, and is coming from a Washington newspaper, I'd say that the rumor has more life than ever.
Exactly. And did you hotice how his agent was praising GW?
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Thanks, good find.
Does anybody here think that GW would prefer Buchannon to Clements?
If a deal is consumated, only time will tell if it was a good or bad idea, but count me as one who thinks that Nate to the Skins is a distinct possibility.
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People are going to want to see Vick on 9/25.
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I love Ware's ability to rush the passer! I do feel he's a better fit for the teams that run a 3-4 defense, which has become all the rage now due to the Pats' success with it. In the 3 round mock we did a while ago, I took him w/ Pittsburgh's first round pick. As it looks right now, there's no way he'll last long enough for the Steelers to take him. I hear the Cowboys have become quite interested in him. Then again, the closer to the draft you get, the less reliable the info from the team becomes.
He DOES seem like a 3/4 player, but I think he does have the speed to go to a 4/3.
Spikes, Fletcher and Ware at lb for the Bills. Can you only imagine?
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I wish that there was some way this kid could play for us.
I am not a draftnik like many of you guys, nor do I pretend to me, but from what I saw of him on the NFL Channel, he will be literally great.
Although far from an expert, I have watched the draft/rookies for many years. The two players of whom I am the most proud of forecasting their greatness are John Riggins and Eric Moulds. For what very little it is worth, I think that Ware will be a literal superstar. He has moves that cannot be taught, long arms, and blinding speed. I cringe while imagining him lining up next to Schobel, another speedster.
I have wanted to select an offensive lineman in each and every draft since coming to TBD. This time, I would rather have Ware than any player in the draft.
Just my uneducated opinion.
PS: Thanks to you guys who take the time to share your knowledge about the draft. Please, keep up the good work!
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MW's contract from Clumpy's cap analysis page:
2005: $4 million salary, $2.17 million bonus amortization, $3 million roster bonus for a cap hit of $9.17 million. He also has a $1.5 million NLTBE incentive that I do not know how he earns.
2006: $4 million salary, $2.17 million bonus amortization, $3 million roster bonus for a cap hit of $9.17 million plus $1.5 million NLTBE.
2007: $5 million salary, $2.17 million bonus amortization plus $3.5 million NLTBE.
If you cut him in 2006 before his roster bonus is due, the cap hit is only
$4.33M. Slightly more palatable than the $6.5M cap hit this year (with Drew, that would've been $10.833M dead cap money 
). I still say if it means keeping Nate, goodbye MW. Actually, unless he turns into the second coming of Erik Williams this year, I'd still have to say goodbye MW.
I completely agree. Erik Williams was the best RT I have ever seen. If MW could play to that level I would be all about keeping, and even extending him.
What are the chances?
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Hey, I agree with you. Imo, the biggest dilemma facing the Bills is what to do about Mike Williams and his contract.
As far as I know, he is the highest paid RT in the history of the NFL. This is obviously a bad thing, because his play simply does not warrant this type of salary.
From where I sit, MW cannot be traded nor cut until after 6/1/06 because of the cap hit for his bonus. My wish is that he plays up to his number, whereas I think blockers are the most important element of a football team, but there is nothing to indicate that he will ever be worth a 9 mil. cap cost.
I guess we will know after this season.
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I thought I read somewhere in here that Woodson gets an extra $1M since he was franchised 2 years in a row. And like I said above, I would much sooner pay Nate $9M than MW.
I'm not an SEC fan, so Carlos Rogers is just a blip in a draft guide to me. Maybe he'll be good. Will he be as good as Nate? I wouldn't take that bet.
Someone posted a figure here of 8.87 mil. as I recall. Of course, this does not in itself make it true.
Serious question......do you think that RW will pay this much money to a cornerback, especially given the Bills history of letting corners walk?
I am not asking what you would do. I am asking you to predict what RW will do.
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Well, I am easy to hate on PPP. I am conservative, staunchly pro-Israel, and support, and am part of the labor movement.
Lots of targets, you know?
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Travis was terrible last year but for the first six games everyone on offense was terrible. Virtually everyone. The offense was not learned yet. The line was banged up and played awful. Drew was extremely erratic. Moulds was dropping balls. Reed and Shaw were stumbling bad and dropping passes. Every play someone else would miss an assignment. Evans had yet to make it on the field much. The TEs were non-existent. Shelton hadn't hit his stride. The play-calling was erratic and suspect. Even Willis when he played was sluggish.
The above is excuse making and "homerism" at its absolute finest. Nah, Henry sliding on his stupid ass on crucial plays meant little to nothing.
It was the rest of the team! Yes, the rest of the team... and on "every play."As soon as Travis Gump was removed from the lineup, the Bills ran all over and Arizona and proceded to win football games. They were even able to play a little "smashmouth" as advertised. Henry had how many rushing TDs in 04?
You and others can try to wish him into being a valueable commodity, but he is simply not. A swap of picks and a garbage dump LT that nobody wants is far from high compensation, this if it even plays out as such.
We shall soon see.
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Bill, the total tonnage of garbage you post on this could fill the friggin' Grand Canyon. I post all kinds of things, both good and bad about the guy. I never said he was great, I never said he would get a #1 pick, I never said he was all around great back. I have acknowledged over and over his wealth of shortcomings as a blocker and a fumbler and lack of breakaway speed and penchant for being hurt and not being a smart guy and off the field problems. Those are what we call negatives. That is what people call being fair. You, on the other hand, refuse to even acknowledge that he should be allowed to be breathing on this earth. Who is being more reasonable?
Whatever. An unwanted Left Tackle (pretty rare, no?) and a swap of picks in the 2nd (or perhaps 3rd) round isn't exactly a windfall....this IF we get it.
You see fit to repeatedly take me to task for my low expectations in return for this misfit. This is of course your privilege. I dont see you taking exception to the Gallery, Jason Taylor, 2nd pick in the draft, etc. trades prposed here, nor the 1,500 yards rushing ("easily") predictions.
Why not?
NYT tomorrow's edition
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
Well, it is stated that it was compulsory. Mixed emotions, but it is really none of my business I suppose.
Btw, his father was a cop.
Gotta love that, I'm sorry!