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Coach Tuesday

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Posts posted by Coach Tuesday

  1. The formula for beating Indy is simple - and I don't know why more teams haven't done it. Come to think of it, the only team that I saw pull this off was NE week 1. Anyway, the formula is this: LET THEM RUN THE BALL. Play with 6 defensive backs, heck, play with 7. Let them chew up clock on the ground, and you'll be able to limit the number of points they put on the board. When you have the ball, you do the same thing, because they can't stop the run. Chew up enough clock running and letting them run that the game comes down to the final 4-5 minutes; then it's just a coinflip crapshoot. It's the only way you're gonna beat 'em. Belicheck is smart enough to do it; Cowher ain't.

  2. Yes, it will be quite difficult to purchase a piece of cardboard, paint a smiley face on it and prop it up at LT.  Thats essentially what we get with Jennings.  At least the piece of cardboard will come cheaper, and probably get hurt less often.

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    You have no idea what you're talking about (which is probably why you don't sign in). Notice how Seattle only sacked Drew after Jennings limped off? Believe me, you'd notice if Jennings was ineffective. He is injury prone, and he had no business suiting up for the game in the Meadowlands this year, but other than that he's been our most consistent lineman. He's not worth what he'll be asking though, which is why Donahoe needs to have a sound strategy in place for replacing him.

  3. Donahoe should be showered with praise for converting an awful defense into a dominant one in less than 3 years. Truly an impressive feat. Unfortunately, that's only 1/2 of what you need to win a Superbowl - the other half is a dominant offensive line. Donahoe has failed miserably at this project - until this part of this season, our line hasn't even been respectable or even physical, let alone dominant. Furthermore, this is a very important offseason - a number of key players will be FAs (Jennings the most important), he needs to draft a CB and extend one or both of our current starters (Clements and McGee), and some of the vets on D are getting up in years (Fletcher, Milloy, Adams, Vincent) - meaning without a good draft/offseason, our D could actually slip, as could our o-line if Jennings is not replaced adequately.

     

    I say the jury is still out - next year is huge - let's not start faxing contract proposals back and forth quite yet.

  4. I'm still trying to figure out the info behind some of their numbers here...They list Bledsoe as having 326 passes for 1811 yards 13 TD's 16 TO's, as of the end of week 12.  The official stats list him as having 301 attempts with 27 sacks for 328 total drop backs.  I'm guessing that, since they don't count spikes against incompletions that the spikes factor in somehow, and maybe the botched snap figures in as an attempt...The official stats put him at 2011 yards passing with 158 yards lost due to sacks, and 8 yards rushing...no matter how you add/subtract you don't come up with 1811.  The TD/TO numbers are consistent...

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    No need for the barbs, Gross, I was asking for help deciphering. Man, the animosity around here...

     

    Anyhow - I think the reason for the stat discrepancy you cite has to do with them treating QB rushes as "passes" - that's how I read their formula, but I could be wrong.

  5. Maybe someone a bit more numbers-savvy (NOT Fezmid) can de-compute what they're talking about over at www.footballoutsiders.com . Here's a link to a table indicating TWO different valuation methods for all current NFL QBs:

     

    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/qb.php

     

    They provide a category called "DPAR," or Defense-Adjusted Points Above Replacement - as I understand it, represents the number of points scored when a QB puts the ball in play, as compared with an average replacement.

     

    Bledsoe ranks 25th here, with a "9.8" rating (again, explanation would be helpful).

     

    Another category is called "DVOA," or Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average which, I think, a "value" per play as compared with an average replacement.

     

    Bledsoe ranks 28th here, with a negative 5.9% "value." I think that means, he has almost 6% less value per play as compared with an average replacement.

     

    They also have interesting tables re: offensive, defensive and ST efficiency - no surprise, we're near the bottom on offense, and top-5 in D and ST (#1 ST). Interestingly, and relevant to a debate I was engaged in in another thread today, our offensive efficiency rating moved up ZERO after the Rams game.

     

    (flame away)

  6. ICE is the greatest con man ever to pretend to be a Bills' fan .  90% of the time his posts flat out suck or are average at best. Only the hard up and KzooMike Bills' fans can continue to make excuses in the TBD world for him.

     

    He is what he is, below average at best. From time to time he will pull a decent post out of his ass and that allows him to keep his status. Over the last 2 weeks  even his most ardent fans have finally seen the truth. Two good games later, he is showing his true colors but will start anew once we lose another game.

     

    This whole subject is old. It was old from the D&C days, through the RJ/Flutie days, to today with Bledsoe.  But you guys are so damn hard up you are willing to look past how badly this jackass has been THIS year, because he's the loudest and most ardent.

     

    You know what?  Many have fought this battle with this moron for nearly 7 years in some form or fashion. During that time we have had the #1 board and God knows what else. We have had numerous posters with less than 1000 posts who contribute more insight and humor without needing the ridiculous amount of attention that is apparently required. ONE DAMN POSTER has failed us time and time again....ICE!

     

    I have come to the accept the fact you guys have long ago lost sight of the one and only goal a team should have...a decent board that isn't completely dominated by one clown in desperate need of attention. My GOD folks, as long as ICE pretends to be a fan, kharma will keep our team from the SuperBowl. 

     

    I am not done with this subject. ICE is a below average poster. Has always been, but the glitz and glamor of numbers coupled with being an individual horn tooter, many are blinded to the truth. Until the day comes we aren't subject to his continued rants, with his complete lack of personal discipline, we will continue to be subject to marginal blather and ridiculous threats.

     

    Hey, this was kind of fun.

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    Damn, someone had CHEESEBURGERS for breakfast!!

  7. -LT's are just so ridiculously f'ing big these days. Nobody beats them inside anymore simply because there's rarely enough room to do so.

    -With PhatPat and the Keg forming arguably the best DT combo in the NFL, I think the Bills rarely feel the need to run twists which would get Schoebel inside, nor do they want their Ends crashing down with power moves because of the high likelihood that they're just going to run into traffic. I think the rarity of Schoebel's inside moves are as much a result of the design of the Bills defense as they are anything else.

    -He doesn't see the doubles which often push Ends inside but nobody else really does either. I'm guessing this is a result of the huge increase in the size of LT's but seeing DE's doubled is becoming increasingly rare over the years. Not saying that it doesn't happen, or that other premeir Ends don't draw more than Schoebel; it's just that I think they're becoming a less common strategy as the league (d)evolves.

    -The Bills desire to steer the running game into the strenght of their defense (PhatPat, the Keg, Fletcher, Milloy) often has Scoebel playing a contain role on early or shortdistance downs. If he takes inside moves on thse downs, he destroys the integrity of the run D.

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    Those are fair points, and for the most part I agree and I have found it increasingly difficult to find holes remaining in Schobel's game. That being said, there still appear to be games (1-3 already this year) where he seems to be completely ineffective because he's rushing past the play EVERY DOWN. You may be right that it's the scheme, not him freelancing, but if that's the case there is something wrong with the scheme. If I had to guess which games those are, I'd say probably the games against solid power-draw offenses (the Pats?), where Gray likes to rush the ends deep and keep the tackles in to squeeze the pocket and keep containment - in those situations, although Schobel might be playing an important role he does not seem to be making the impact a player of his caliber ought to be making. IMO we'd be better off in those circumstances rushing Posey or a d-back to squeeze the pocket and keep Schobel upfield to run around and make plays. Just a minor critique though - like you I find it difficult to find fault with anyone on this front 7.

  8. MM said this week Jason Peters has been working almost exclusively at tackle, and MM may want him to stick around McNally all offseason rather than go to NFL Europe. They're really trying to find a diamond in the rough with this one... If he doesn't work out, I think they may move MW over, under McNally's tutelage of course, and try to get Price, MacFarland or even Teague ready to man the RT spot. I just don't see them shelling out big $$ for a tackle, and Jennings is as good as gone (you just don't franchise someone as inconsistent as he is).

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