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Coach Tuesday

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Posts posted by Coach Tuesday

  1. At first I thought it might be Jim Bates, but then I learned that Leslie Frazer (fired by the Bengals) studied under Buddy Ryan and is familiar with the 4-6. In fact, the reason that he was fired was that he wanted to blitz more than Marvin Lewis did - in other words, he's probably suited to the scheme we've been running. I'd expect the job to go to him if Gray leaves.

  2. We surely did face different competition each week this season, but it was our offense that far and away faced the indisputably tougher assignments over the course of the season. We saw 8 top 10 defenses while our defense saw only 4 top 10 offenses all season. We faced top half of the league defenses 11 times this season while our defense saw only 7 of the upper half offenses. That means our offense more weeks than not faced a top half defense while exactly the opposite was true of our defense. The fact is that the defenses we faced, based upon the final rankings of the regular season, prove our offense faced defenses that were 29% tougher than the offenses our defense played over the same span.

    197890[/snapback]

     

    There you go. Man, you're something else.

  3. "Weighted" means manipulated, the stats from the NFL are pure listings of exactly where O's and D's ended up. Why can't you debate with unmanipulated facts?

    200810[/snapback]

     

    Because it's "manipulated" to account for the VERY REASON you suggest the stats are skewed! YOU are the one who insists that the D got a "free pass," and is therefore overrated, due to strenght-of-opponent; and that our offense had the harder schedule, and is therefore overly criticized. I then pointed you to stats showing that, TAKING INTO ACCOUNT STRENGTH OF OPPONENT, our D and ST STILL RANK #1 OVERALL. Similarly, our offense, TAKING INTO ACCOUNT STRENGTH OF OPPONENT, ranks in the bottom 3rd. So, TO MAKE IT SIMPLE FOR YA, I've pointed you to stats that have been manipulated to counter YOUR ARGUMENT. Why don't you exercise your brain and argue with their regressions? Either that, or concede that you were wrong.

  4. I'd hardly call the official NFL stats "bogus", but coming from a guy who enlists stats that directly contradict all his positions maybe it should be no surprise!

     

    Here's the best defenses in the league-but I should inform you that they are the, "ahem"- bogus official NFL Stats!

     

    Official NFL Stats- Total Defense

     

    And for the bogus NFL Offensive stats:

     

    Official NFL Stats- Total Offense

    200793[/snapback]

     

    Your argument is bogus, and the pompous manner in which you propound it is tiresome (although not surprising from you). The NFL stats are not weighted. The stats at fooballoutsiders ARE weighted. Again, you choose to invert my arguments rather than actually address them head-on (and again, no surprise coming from you).

  5. Doesn't the fact that we have to carry 6 WRs and we use 2-5 at any time on any play support the notion that this is the biggest piece of dead weight on our roster?Since we both realize "restructuring" means he won't take a paycut, doesn't his falling value (45th league-wide) mean we should probably be discussing him as the starting point for improving our salary/performance ratio before we ever get to the QB?

    200774[/snapback]

     

    Not necessarily - it depends on the amount that he's overpaid, and the likelihood of finding a better value through the draft/free agency. AKC, why don't you actually try to refute the stats/measurements I cited from www.footballoutsiders.com re: offense, defense and ST efficiency? They totally undercut your bogus argument about strength-of-opponent. Stop turning my arguments upside-down and try actually engaging the stats I provide.

  6. Using your selected measure of the "Football Outsiders" analysis you'd play the #45 WR in the league but bench the #21 QB? Help me out here- do you believe in their stats or not, and if you don't why in the world are you quoting them?

    200732[/snapback]

     

    Yes because it's a question of numbers. There are AT LEAST TWO, OFTEN FIVE WRs in the game at once. There is only 1 QB. AKC, this is obvious - for your sake, I hope you're being purposely thick-headed.

  7. You bring in a statistical entity like Football Insiders and lay zealous praise to their methodology.

     

    The methodology that ranks Eric Moulds as the 45th best WR in the NFL.

     

    The same methodology that ranks Drew Bledsoe as the 21st best QB in the NFL.

     

    Eric Moulds, according to YOUR OWN chosen statistical service, is slated to make MORE MONEY IN 2005 while being worse than 44 other players at his position while Drew Bledsoe will make less than Moulds while being better than all by 20 of the players at his position.

     

    It's time for you to end your hypocrisy. Based upon the analysis YOU INSIST UPON there is no justification for keeping Moulds on the roster if in fact you are also calling for the head of a much more effective player at his position who makes less money.

    200526[/snapback]

     

    You're inventing arguments that I haven't made, AKC. When did I say we should jettison DB? I've said we should bench him - I stand by that. When did I say we should keep Moulds at his current contract rate? I never said that - you've invented that in your own bizarre imagination. Stop dreaming up arguments to shoot down. What you're doing is making a solid argument that Moulds is overpaid - apparently management agrees, which is why they have approached him about "restructuring."

  8. Yeah, it's not that the team around him is deteriorating.  Ahman Green is propping him up?  Oh, OK.

     

    That article is a load.  It's like something Ice would have written.

    199956[/snapback]

     

    You don't think there's anything unusual about the way the media treats the guy? Putting aside what you think of the article's assessment of his talent level, I think there are some valid points about the kind of attention he gets from the media.

  9. Actually seemed to be advocating cutting or trading Bledsoe now or even before the 2005 season in order to allow JP and a mid-round drafted QB compete for the job.

     

    I think the facts are that doing this would be devastating to the Bills because of the contract he is under.  My apologies if this wasn;t what you were advocating. For those who do advocate this course of action, they are being irrational in this suggestion unless they have some specific plan or alternative for acquiring a #2 QB from the FA list I provided for the money we have left after the acceleration of the Bledsoe bonus.

     

    I doubt folks have any real thoughts and are just whining about Bledsoe.

    198572[/snapback]

     

    No - I don't think you can do anything with Bledsoe because of his contract. My suggestion is to keep him and have TWO young QBs on the roster to compete with him, given the lack of FA vets out there.

  10. What in reality were the opportunites to upgrade the QB situation after the fait accompli of re-signing Bledsoe.  They were there but it revolved around getting a @2 who was a likely upgrade over Travis Brown (Kordell Stewart?) or after the Brown injury an upgrade over Shane Matthews.

    198527[/snapback]

     

    Drew Brees was available - he's not anymore. I don't think we're really disagreeing here...

  11. "Let's sign John Kitna. Let's get Steve McNair. Let's see if San Diego will give us Brees."

    198495[/snapback]

     

    Well let's be honest, if we had McNair we would've been 12-4 or so this season. Do you disagree?

     

    Also, LA, it's not just "the people around here" - sportswriters all over the country, ranging from the stupid to the highly-qualified, have been pointing out all season and last week especially that an upgrade at the QB position ALONE would make this team a playoff team.

  12. boo friggin hoo.

     

    We live in a world were blood thirsty Muslims cut the heads off of truck drivers, and shoot aid works in the back of the head, because they choose not to follow Islam.

     

    And you worried about ten punks who got patted down.

     

    Wow! How terrible!

    Now watch them get some attorney from the ACLU and sue for $5 million each, for 'emotional distress'.

    Like those baseball cap wearing slackers could ever make that much money in their whole lives working at Juffy Lube.

     

    PRAISE BE TO ALLAH!

     

    LE LE LE LE

    198349[/snapback]

     

    Seriously. Don't forget Saudi Arabia, where they let dozens of female students burn to death when their school was engulfed by flames, because the male would-be rescuers couldn't defile their faith by seeing young women whose faces weren't covered. True story. This country has its problems, but let's keep some perspective, mmkay?

  13. And I've just posted factual statistics that irrefutably show a number of posters here to either be unbelievably misinformed or just plain Stojaned.

     

    But I'm waiting patiently for the first refutation of the FACT that our D skated almost the whole season while our O played the far tougher schedule- know anyone who might make the mistake of engaging me? ;-)

    198234[/snapback]

     

    Actually, that's already been refuted by the fellas at http://www.footballoutsiders.com/ . Their offense/defense/ST rankings are weighted, meaning that they take into account strength of opponent. And, not surprisingly, even taking those factors into account, the Bills' D and ST still rank NUMBER 1 OVERALL, while the Bills' offense ranks 23rd overall. So your theory is totally bunk, thanks for playing.

  14. So you think, after he wouldn't take Bledsoe out after starting 2-6, that old whitey would start the season with JP, and if he struggled (remember, JP, his first round draft pick), he would put in yet ANOTHER rookie?

     

    Sounds good in theory, but it would NEVER, EVER happen.

    196581[/snapback]

     

    Read the article on the front of TBD right now - Donahoe is sick and tired of Bledsoe making him look like an ass.

     

    Also - you're right, of course, it's unorthodox, and not likely to happen. Just my own GM fantasy.

  15. I am agreing that JP is not the man THIS year, but 2006, he SHOULD be.

    196577[/snapback]

     

    I'm not saying JP isn't the man next year - at all. I'm saying, maybe he is, maybe he isn't, but let's hedge our bets either way. If JP works out, great - trade the other guy, a la Jake Delhomme/JT O'Sullivan/AJ Feeley (there have been many others). If JP struggles, give the other guy a shot (and possibly trade JP). If they both bust - hey, we tried (and maybe we need a new GM).

     

    BTW - I'm interested to know what people here think about the guy I want, Jason Campbell. I love him. (I mean, I think he's a great football player.)

  16. We need another journeyman...

    196551[/snapback]

     

    Why? Why would you rather have some old vet than a rookie QB? A rookie QB will be cheaper and will have a bigger upside. Let's be honest - if we get to the point in the season that it's time for Shane Matthews/Vinny/Kitna/Jonathan Quinn to play, we're DONE - might as well turn the reigns over to a young guy with upside and let him develop.

  17. I suppose I ought to entitle this post, "Why I'm not an NFL GM," but I think it'll speak for itself. Here are my assumptions:

     

    1) Bledsoe is done. If you disagree with this, move on - you won't like the rest of what I say.

     

    2) QB is the most important position on the team. I know there is some hearty disagreement about this here - I think it's debatable, here are my reasons though: your QB determines the relative value of the rest of your team. For example, if your QB is immoble, your interior line becomes way more valuable, and if your guards/center get injured, you're toast. If your QB can't stretch the field, you need some seriously good receivers and TEs who can create separation underneath. If your QB can light it up against anyone, your D becomes less valuable, etc. etc.

     

    3) QBs are a crapshoot. JPL has about a 1 in 5 chance in really, really succeeding.

     

    4) There are no vet QBs in this year's free agent market that we would realistically sign or that would be an upgrade over Drew. Drew Brees ain't gonna sign here - why would he? The Chargers can pay him more, and he's been successful there.

     

    Given 1-4 above, especially #2, I think if I were Donahoe I'd hedge my JPL bet by drafting yet another QB in this year's draft. Mind you, not with my first pick, but certainly on the first day. And, to further hedge my bet, I'd take someone who is somehwat different from Losman - someone who is known more for "intangibles," who was used to winning in college, who is tough, hard-nosed, wellspoken, a team leader, a tough warrior, etc. Someone who is undervalued by the "experts" and should be around when the Bills pick in the 3rd round. A Tom Brady type, who can at least push JPL to get his act together and memorize the playbook, and who can be dealt later on if he doesn't become The Guy. Who, you ask, is that person? Well, it should be obvious:

     

    JASON CAMPBELL, QB, AUBURN.

     

    Unorthodox, I know. But it's too important a position to put all your chips in on one guy. Just my opinion. I'd draft a guard with the first pick, then Campbell with the next pick. Campbell has all the intangibles - and I think he'll be a player in this league. I also think taking him will send the right message to JPL.

     

    I don't expect a single person here to agree with me... flame away.

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