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Everything posted by bills_fan
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How are you coping with all this bad economic news?
bills_fan replied to Tcali's topic in Off the Wall Archives
Yen? -
TBD Cookbook - Anybody have the Sloppy Joe recipe?
bills_fan replied to EZC-Boston's topic in Off the Wall Archives
YES! It still exists!! Retatta! -
interesting column on AFC playoff projections
bills_fan replied to tomdayfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Nah, Jets are shooting their wad this year, I expect them to fall back to earth next year. Pats are getting older. 10-6, even if no playoffs, would be a successful year and I would expect us to build on it next year and really ramp it up to 11-5 or 12-4. -
How are you coping with all this bad economic news?
bills_fan replied to Tcali's topic in Off the Wall Archives
Single malt scotch. -
I agree with the OLB part...Terrell Suggs would look great at OLB. Perhaps try to revisit the Tony Gonzalez trade (now that he saw Edwards firsthand, who knows?). Take a C with the #1 pick. I'd be very happy with an OLB who can rush the passer, a TE and a C.
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Yeah and Art Modell. Why that jacka$$ keeps getting nominated for the HOF, I will never understand. It really would be a big slap in the face to football fans everywhere if Modell ever gets in the HOF.
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Somali Pirates in Discussions to Acquire Citigroup
bills_fan replied to KD in CA's topic in Off the Wall Archives
LMAO!! Where did you find that? I need a link to forward!! -
Ever been to Disney? Its truly ridiculous. I understand having a disability...but being too fat to walk around an amusement park does not qualify in my book. And they drive those things like they think they are Dale Earnhardt...my 3 year old son almost got ran over. Then, they have the little basket things on the front...thats not for the fried chicken and french fries, so all your little future fatties can inhale more.
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Duke Preston is starting to grow on me
bills_fan replied to 2003Contenders's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
His big test, IMHO, will be the rematch round of division games. If he holds his own, maybe we have a center? -
Official 2008 AFC Playoff Race Thread
bills_fan replied to Typical TBD Guy's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Any Bills playoff scenario assumes at least a 7-5 conference record and 2-4 in the division. -
Official 2008 AFC Playoff Race Thread
bills_fan replied to Typical TBD Guy's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I see the 2nd WC game coming down to 9-6 NE at 9-6 BUF on 12/28...win and you're in. -
Barack Obama Quickly Moving To The Center
bills_fan replied to PearlHowardman's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I was very skeptical of Obama at first, but so far, I really like his choices to run the new administration. I am hopeful that we will have a competant administration for the first time in years. -
Geithner is the pick for Treasury Sec
bills_fan replied to Kelly the Dog's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I like Geithner as the pick, but was hoping for Volcker. Geithner is a great choice, but now who runs the NY Fed, a position arguably as important as the Fed Chairman himself? -
There are two ways we could end up in a hyperinflationary state... 1- The Fed has injected approximately $1.5 trillion (and growing) into the banks as "M1" capital, meaning base capital. Banks have a reserve ratio of 10%, meaning 90% of that $1.5 trillion (and growing) can be lent out to individuals, businesses or other banks. That money can then be lent again and again, by a factor of ten. This velocity of money will accelerate in proprotion to the amount in system. Right now, bank are not lending, but if they start, we could get inflation very quickly as more moeny is "pursuing" the same good and services, driving prices much higher. The solution here is for the Fed to jack up reserve levels just as things are about to turn positive. This will likely force us back into the depression, but it will be necessary and painful. 2- Devaluation of the dollar. The dollar is the world's reserve currency, if that changes or if foreign governments stop buying US debt, or seek to maintain reserves in something other than dollars, the game is over. Then the US would be like any other nation, except with a massive debt that could only have been sustainable because of artificial demand for the dollar (as the reserve currency). The US would have to pay higher and higher interest to attract investors to its debt, cauing more and more of the Federal budget to be used for interest on the debt. Causing higher taxes to maintain the same level of services. Causing workers to demand higehr wages from employers. Causing employers to raise prices on everything. Causing workers to demand higher wages...etc. The solution here is to maintain the dollar as the world's reserve currency by any means necessary.
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I was 13, there with my Dad. When we won the game, I asked him if we could go down on the field. He didn't want to do it, but I talked him into letting us stand away from the huge mass of people. I really enjoyed 1988 more than any other season I have ever seen. No expectations...just enjoy the ride!!
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Great article on securitization/financial crisis
bills_fan replied to bills_fan's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You realize I meant the rhetorical "you" not you, specifically. Sorry if it came off that way. I know there are certainly many suckers in this world, but there are also many people driven by greed alone, and not only on Wall Street. Wall Street needs to take its fair share of blame here, but so do MANY others, which was the whole point of my statement. That said, the article does a great job describing how this all happened on Wall Street. -
I think the real problem is with dollar hegemony. The US dollar has been the world's reserve currency since the Bretton Woods agreement. Thats why we can run big deficits and still have a market for US Gov't debt. Foreign gov'ts must maintain dollar reserves. The great deleveraging that is currently occuring is the primary reason why the dollar has increased in strength so much in the last few months...assets are being sold worldwide, the settlement of the sale is in dollars. Hence the dollar gets stronger. The problem will arise when the great deleveraging has slowed down and the are so many more trillions of dollars in the world...will the Fed have the stones to demand a reserve ratio of 25% or more for banks (in effect taking dollars out of the system)? What if we are still in depression, but at the end of it? And doing so will plunge us back into the darkest depression? Otherwise we could be looking at hyperinflation and US default on debt. What happens if foreign gov'ts stop buying our debt and actually want to sell their notes? Uh-oh...Houston we have a real problem. Yes, its our dollar, their problem (or so said John Connally in 1971), but what if they bust themselves? There's only so much of their own currency they can print to keep buying US debt (hedging against their past purchases of US debt)? I don't have the answers, and am still trying to figure out if I am asking the right questions.
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Great article on securitization/financial crisis
bills_fan replied to bills_fan's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
He does miss the point, but the securities did not always require a bad mortgage...many times the securities were simply written off the short sale of a trade...in effect a purely synthetic instrument with no underlying asset (which, of course, the ratings agencies rated AAA). For those abominations, Wall Street stands alone in blame. -
Great article on securitization/financial crisis
bills_fan replied to bills_fan's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Should you buy a $600,000 house with an income of $50,000? Should you even consider it? Should a mortgage broker even consider writing a mortgage in a situation like that? Wall Street has its culpability, sure, and Lewis is a very good writer who writes from a Wall Street perspective, but the Wall Street banks did not dance alone. -
We need to be very careful about our current delationary recession...it can very easily "jump the shark" to become a hyperinflationary depression that rivals Weimer Germany. Anyone who tells you this is not possible has no idea what they are talking about.
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$20,000 for a private jet plane for one day?
bills_fan replied to John from Riverside's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Which is why the US Govt would have to provide debtor in possession financing for the bankruptcy to work at all. -
JLH and Heidi Klum are just naturally hot.
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Why? I think McGee played a good game last night. I discount the Ginn game as he was clearly hurt. What is the basis for your decision to invest in Greer and not McGee?
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Happy Holiday's Everyone!
bills_fan replied to molson_golden2002's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The Airing of Grievances would sure be fun on the PPP board.