beebe
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Congrats to Pro Bowlers James Cook and Dion Dawkins!
beebe replied to beebe's topic in The Stadium Wall
INTs are a mostly useless stat. Best guess: A player with single-digit INTs likely isn't taking enough chances and is therefore playing the position suboptimally. Russell Wilson had 26 TDs and eight INTs this year. So on a per-game basis, he had slightly more TD passes than Allen, and half the INTs. His completion percentage was higher. His QB rating was better. And.....who cares. If you watch Wilson, he's ultra careful with the ball, rarely makes difficult throws, takes a ton of sacks (avoiding sacks is the superpower of actual good QBs like Mahomes and Allen) and throws the ball away a ton. He is league average at absolute best, and likely below average in his current form. But traditional stats, rather than better measures like EPA, ends up ruling the day and becomes the narratives. Too much is made of Allen's INTs (I'd guess half of them came on downfield throws that QBs like Wilson wouldn't attempt) and his rushing TDs (most of these are a result of goal line variance, where Cook gets them down to the 1 yard line and Allen plunges it in for the finisher). Obviously rushing TDs are a nice stat and all, but those extra TDs, if we're being honest, formed the basis for his entire MVP candidacy. Because all of his passing stats were down this year relative to his better seasons. And again, much of that was due to defenses dominating the league this year - a whole bunch of QBs had it rough. -
Congrats to Pro Bowlers James Cook and Dion Dawkins!
beebe replied to beebe's topic in The Stadium Wall
If you throw out the goal line runs for Allen, his play this year definitely a peg below his prior years. His entire MVP candidacy has essentially been his ability to score inside the 5 yard line. Tons of bad games on the year. Which has been true across the league with QBs. Defenses definitely punched back this year in a major way.- 99 replies
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It seemed like Allen said something to Mahomes about the play and Mahomes, already heated, responded with his take on it. The two are friends off the field, I highly doubt it was some sort of intentional sign of disrespect. This is the same Mahomes who raced to console Allen midfield after 13 seconds rather than celebrate with teammates. When Allen approached Kelce after the game, Allen said something similar to Kelce.
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If Bills converted a first down and turned it into any kind of points, it was game over with ball first out of half. 14-0 or 17-0 or 21-0 into half, then ball. Now, possibly 14-7.
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It’s Chiefs week - and the season is on the line
beebe replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
The Chiefs offense is the worst personnel wise they've had in Mahomes era, but the D is by far the best. -
It’s Chiefs week - and the season is on the line
beebe replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bolton will play but not 100% -
It’s Chiefs week - and the season is on the line
beebe replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Reading between the lines, seems like Pacheco is an injured reserve/out for year candidate. -
It’s Chiefs week - and the season is on the line
beebe replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Pacheco, LT Smith, LB Tranquill, S Cook all ruled out. -
It’s Chiefs week - and the season is on the line
beebe replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
With rookie Wanya Morris starting at left tackle, who is a much better run blocker than pass blocker, this was setting up to be a big run heavy game for Chiefs. -
It’s Chiefs week - and the season is on the line
beebe replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Can't be understated how brutal of a blow this is for KC. They have NOTHING on offense. Left tackle also about to miss, replaced by a rookie. -
The article's narrative is basically that Sean McDermott is a deeply insecure control-freak egomaniac who can't connect with players or his assistant coaches and that his doom-and-gloom outlook, where he expects the worst and hopes for the best, is ultimately holding the Bills back. Put simply, you can't win with someone like this, and the Bills must move on—or else. The article cites numerous examples of why McDermott's methods are broken and unsustainable. And yet: 2019: 10-6 (fluke playoff loss) 2020: 13-3 (lost to generational Chiefs team) 2021: 11-6 (lost to generational Chiefs team in flukiest way imaginable) 2022: 13-3 (lost to incredible Bengals team, who would later lose to generational Chiefs team) 2023: 9-8 (potentially 10-7 or even 11-6 if lightning strikes) His 7-year record of 68-41 (62%) is one of the best stretches in NFL history to begin a coaching tenure. You can say he has Josh Allen, but he's had a top-5 level defense four times in this stretch. Within the McDermott era, the Bills went from basement to top of the division, while Belichick and his brilliant coaching methods now sits in last place, unable to score a single point some weeks. All this to say: McDermott is a deeply flawed coach, no doubt. I can even buy that in some cases the Bills have won despite him. But the article portrays him like he's as unaccomplished as Josh McDaniels. There's some room for nuance here.
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It’s Chiefs week - and the season is on the line
beebe replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Chiefs LB Nick Bolton somewhat surprisingly a full participant in Wednesday's practice. Has been out since midseason. Seems like he'll be in line to make his return which would be a major boost to KC defense. LT Donovan Smith seems unlikely as does LB Drue Tranquill (concussion). Jerick McKinnon limited today but seems like a go. Pacheco did not practice today. -
Philly, Buffalo, Kansas City - How Refs Treat Them
beebe replied to BuffaloBaumer's topic in The Stadium Wall
the chiefs are dead last in the afc in net penalties. -
bad officiating is completely random and always has been.
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Von Miller faces arrest in domestic violence case in Dallas
beebe replied to ArdmoreRyno's topic in The Stadium Wall
Oh good, the Bills have their very own Tyreek Hill. -
If the Bills run the table, they are 95% likely to get in. It would take literally almost every game to break wrong along the way (we're talking 10+ games). It's nearly impossible given that the Texans/Colts play each other, the Colts/Steelers play each other, and the Texans/Browns play each other, just in the final four weeks alone.
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If every team that's favored wins next week, here's the AFC playoff picture: 1. Chiefs 9-3 2. Jaguars 9-3 3. Dolphins 9-3 4. Ravens 9-3 5. Steelers 8-4 6. Browns 7-5 7. Colts 7-5 8. Texans 7-5 9. Broncos 6-6 10. Bills 6-6 11. Bengals 5-7 12. Raiders 5-7 Now, let's assume the Bills beat the Chiefs a week later coming off the bye, and once again, every favored team wins. Here's what the standings would look like through Week 14 with four weeks to play: 1. Jaguars 10-3 2. Dolphins 10-3 3. Ravens 10-3 4. Chiefs 9-4 5. Steelers 9-4 6. Colts 8-5 7. Texans 8-5 8. Browns 7-6 9. Bills 7-6 10. Broncos 6-7 The Bills (7-6) would have a 21% chance with four left to play (vs Cowboys, at Chargers, vs Patriots, at Dolphins). Here's would be each team's remaining schedule with 4 to play: Steelers (9-4): at Colts, vs Bengals, at Seahawks, at Ravens. *most likely record: 10-7 Colts (8-5): vs Steelers, at Falcons, vs Raiders, vs Texans *most likely record: 10-7 Texans (8-5): at Titans, vs Browns, vs Titans, at Colts *most likely record: 10-7 Browns (7-6): vs Bears, at Texans, vs Jets, at Bengals *most likely record: 9-8 Broncos (6-7): at Lions, vs Patriots, vs Chargers, at Raiders *most likely record: 8-9 In my opinion, if the Bills do anything but run the table, they're going to have a really tough time getting in at 10-7. The Steelers' schedule is so easy that 10-7 seems like a worst-case scenario and they currently look like the most likely 5-seed. The Colts and Texans - the current favorite to be the 6 or 7 seed, depending on heads-up result - both have clear paths to 10-7 records and one of them could even finish 11-6. If the Bills dropped a game coming in to finish 10-7, they lose the tiebreaker to every team on this list. The absolute best-case scenario, barring something totally unforeseen injury wise to the Steelers, Colts or Texans, is that the Bills MIGHT have a chance at a win-and-get-in game vs the Dolphins in the finale.
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It's so stupid that this classic game ended so abruptly. The Bills got a field goal in overtime, the Eagles responded with a touchdown, but did so with time still left on the clock. There was 2:37 still left! Why is the game over? Why even have a clock at all? I have zero doubt Josh would have drove the Bills down the field for a go-ahead score before the end of overtime. But instead, this corrupt league, which ALWAYS has it out for the Bills in every way, sticks it to them yet again. The game should go on. Who in America didn't want to see Josh orchestrate a game-winning TD drive? I know who: The Eagles and the league who is in their pocket, that's who.
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The Bills pass rush can definitely get them off the field vs Philly.
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Mods, can we rename this thread (and most others) the Official Cry About The Refs Thread.
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toney's cuts are among the best ive ever seen.
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there hasnt been a single roughing the passer penalty against mahomes this year and the chiefs are 2nd to last in net penalties on the year. good narrative though!
