BillytheKid

Yeah just noticed they don’t. If they open back up with Lamar Favored then Lamar will win it. Honestly don’t even care. Allen will ball out in the playoffs like he always does and Lamar will struggle again and everyone will wonder why they voted for Lamar. Buffalo just needs to win the Super Bowl.

It’s not old info. its on vegasinsider. It updates everyday. You scroll to future odds and it shows what different sports books have for the day. Guess I will look tomorrow and see if anything has changed but currently Josh leads all of them. I have accounts with almost every leading sports book you can have including Bovada. https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/mvp/

That’s only on Bovada. Everywhere else still has Josh favored. Wouldn’t worry about it.

I think the Chargers will beat KC in the divisional round if they play. Then it will be Chargers at Bills for the AFC championship.

I don’t think the Ravens will destroy them. It’s a division game and Pittsburgh has beat them like 10 out of the last 12 times. Will be the third time playing this year. Pittsburgh didn’t have Pickens the last game they played and also were missing 3/4th’s of their secondary. They will have all of those guys back for this game. Also if you remember Russ had just ran for like 30 yards to the 2 yard line and fumbled the ball. If he doesn’t fumble that, Pittsburgh would have taken the lead. Russ also threw a horrible pick six later. So a 14 point swing because of that. It was 34-17 as the final score. The game was tied 17-17 with only 5 minutes left in the 3rd quarter. Between all of that and Lamar’s struggles in the playoffs and struggles with Pittsburgh normally, on top of that now not having Flowers, I think it’s a closer game than people think. We will see.

It is actually very relevant. I do this stuff for a living. Nobody that has been favored by as much as Josh is, after the last game of the regular season has ever not got the award. Josh is getting the MVP. Also most voters don’t like to give a guy a 3rd MVP if he hasn’t won a championship. No player in the NBA has ever won a 3rd MVP without winning a championship first. The NFL has never had a player get a 3rd MVP without winning a championship first. Johnny Unitas did win 3 MVP’s before first winning a Super Bowl but he won the NFL championship before they called it the Super Bowl. So if Lamar won it, he would be the first player in history in either the NBA or NFL to win a 3rd MVP without ever winning a Championship..

The Bills will move the ball at will on the Broncos. The Bills have already faced like 6 of the top 10 defenses this year and put up 30 or more on all of them. Except for the game at Houston when Buffalo didn’t have any wr’s for the game. Coleman was still playing like a rookie at that point. Shakir didn’t play. Had no Amari Cooper yet. None of that will be the case in This game or the playoffs. There isn’t a defense in this year’s NFL that can stop this Bills offense. The question will be can the opponent keep up the scoring with the Bills and how does the Bills defense play with most everyone healthy. Will they show up or get shredded…

Josh’s odds went up in his favor after the Ravens game. Josh will win easy. 5 Sportsbooks listed here BetMGM -250 Draftkings -500 Caesar’s -400 Fanduel -470 Bet rivers -250

This is what I was thinking about earlier. Chargers should definitely beat Houston with the injuries Houston has and how they have been playing. Then they would play KC and they usually always play KC tough. It would be the third time playing them this year. I could definitely see the Chargers beating KC. I have been thinking as lucky as KC has been this year they had a good chance to lose their first playoff game. Especially since Andy is giving them two weeks off. Teams usually never play as well when they get two weeks off instead of one. The game KC had against the Steelers wasn’t that impressive to me. That Steelers team hasn’t been that great all year in my opinion and they were getting overrated before they fell off a cliff the last 4 or 5 games. Be great to have the AFC championship in Buffalo vs the Chargers.

Yea it will be. Josh will win it. I have already seen a lot of MVP voters saying they are taking Josh. I study these Vegas odds all the time. Nobody that has been favored as a -245 favorite or higher in the MVP voting after the last game has ever lost it. Vegas odds or sportsbook odds on these things will tell you more than any noise that these media personalities saying things on the tv or YouTube ever will. That’s all just extra stuff to get views.

Josh is -245 and will stay there or go higher. Josh will win MVP easily. Nobody that has had those odds have ever lost.

At the very most he will play one series. Would not be surprised at all if he takes one snap and then comes out of the game.

The other would be the Kansas City Chiefs 2018-19 Patrick Mahomes. The 3 points per drive thing might end up taking a dive this weekend against the Pats unless Trubisky and the boys can score more than I think they are capable of.

I think one of the most important things I have heard Josh say about Brady that I don’t hear all that often or maybe have never heard is that Brady talks to Josh about which plays he likes the best. Then he has Josh or himself talk to each receiver and running back about which plays they like to run the best and then he uses all of those for different situations in the game. Which makes a lot more sense than having them run plays they don’t like running or the players don’t think will work. Or having a coordinator try and force running certain plays that aren’t working or doing the same thing over and over again and the players not liking it. Helps the trust with the coaches and players more. You would think more coaches would do this. I’m sure teams obviously have discussions but I’m sure most places the OC runs whatever he wants whether his players like it or not which doesn’t seem to be the case with Brady.

I don’t care. The Bills will destroy all 3 of them in Buffalo.

Denver is favored by -9.5 so it’s safe to assume Denver will probably win next week because KC is resting everybody important.

Buffalo is tied for number 2 all time in points per drive at this point after 16 games. Tied with the 2018-19 Chiefs both 3.12 PPD. only team better was the undefeated 2007-08 Pats at 3.19 PPD Bills also lead the league in: Yards per Point Yards per Point Margin Points per Play Points per Play Margin So this is definitely the best offense in the league.

I don’t think any of the starters will play next week other than Josh taking one snap and anyone else that they have to have play. Otherwise all the starters will be on the bench with their regular clothes on. Josh has his uniform on for one play then goes to the locker room changes clothes and chills.

Cincy won’t get in and if they do I’m not scared of them at all. Their defense sucks. The Bills offense is one of the best in the history of football. They will score every time on the Bengals defense. Bills offense is only one of 5 teams to ever average over 3 points per drive. Also I’m not sure how Indy could get in over Denver if they have the same record when Denver beat them head to head. Would have to be if there is a 3 way tie I imagine.

Brother, I’m a professional sports handicapper. For over 30 years. I know more than anyone what odds are for and how the Sportsbooks use them. Many people that think they know, actually don’t and spout off myths that they have been told by other people. With that said that has nothing to do with what I am talking about. I’m telling you straight facts that whoever has been the odds on favorite to win the MVP at the odds Allen is at right now has won it every time in the recent NFL age. So if you want to go against those facts that’s fine but it isn’t based on opinion or what someone feels or how they think. It’s a fact that based on Allen’s odds right now every other person with those same odds has won it. That is all I am saying.

Has nothing to do with running out of time. It isn’t a coin flip. I'm talking about the actual odds in Vegas. what I stated is fact. Has nothing to do with your opinion or your feeling on the subject. it’s not 2-1. Right now Allen has over 71% chance of winning it on implied odds. Like I said if Allen is still favored after Sundays game then he will win the award.

The person who has been the favorite to win the MVP at the end of the year has won it almost every year. The last person not to was 2012 when Manning lost it to Peterson and those odds were way closer than what Allen and Lamar’s are. Allen’s lead is bigger than Manning’s way. plus Peterson was coming off of an ACL tear the year before and ran for 2,000 yards. Think Allen wins it fairly easily unless he poops the bed this Sunday.

The MVP race is pretty much over though. All the YouTube and ESPN channels can talk about it for views as much as they want. Even after Lamar’s game yesterday Vegas still has Allen as a -250 favorite and Allen hasn’t played yet this week. As long as he doesn’t do anything stupid those odds will go back up. Right now his implied odds are that Allen has over a 71% chance of winning it. Lamar is only at 35%. If Josh plays well then those odds go back up to -400 or -500 then he will be at an over 80% chance to win the award. So it really isn’t as close as the talking heads are making it out to be. That is if you know anything about how odds work. Only way Allen would lose it is if he goes out and has a couple of turnovers and plays like he did last week agains the Pats. Other than that it is Allen’s to lose.

Here is an article from just last week. Interesting on this exact topic. https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-executives-vote-on-2024-nfl-season-awards NFL GMs, other executives vote on 2024 season awards: Who wins MVP? Offensive Rookie of the Year? My annual early awards survey was completed this week by high-ranking executives from 27 NFL teams, including 17 general managers. All 27 individuals participated on the condition of anonymity for competitive reasons and to provide an honest assessment. Who are the big winners in seven notable categories? Here's a rundown, with help from statistics compiled by NFL Media researcher Zak Koeppel. Most Valuable Player Josh Allen Buffalo Bills · QB Allen was the runaway winner, receiving a whopping 22 of 27 votes. Remember all the offseason talk about whether Allen and the Bills offense would struggle to replace Stefon Diggs, who was traded to Houston in April? Instead, Buffalo is averaging more points (31.8 per game) and yards per play (6.2) with a better red-zone TD percentage (68.9%) and fewer giveaways (0.5 per game) than a year ago, and Allen has accounted for 37 total touchdowns (tied with Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow for the NFL lead). His last three games have been virtually unprecedented: 14 total touchdowns, no turnovers and no sacks taken. With five more passing touchdowns, Allen would join Cam Newton as the only players in NFL history to throw at least 30 TDs and run for at least 10 in the same season; Newton was the nearly unanimous NFL MVP in 2015. And the Bills are 11-3 after Sunday’s shootout win at Detroit. Jackson and Eagles running back Saquon Barkley each received two votes. Burrowreceived one.

If you look at advanced stats Allen is number 1 Qb in the NFL with the highest EPA which is a far more accurate stat than just total yards and all of those numbers. Lamar is number 2 though.