I pretty strongly disagree that any of CLE, PIT, CIN or DEN get to 10.
DEN and CIN would have to go 4-1.
PIT would have to go 3-1.
CLE would have to go 3-2.
CIN and PIT are done. I’m pretty sure DEN has 2 more losses looking at their schedule. CLE is on their 3rd string QB, and their best player is playing injured.
There are no remaining games that CIN, PIT or CLE should win. At best there are games that are a toss up for them.
To me, either the Bills get in at 10-7, or a different team gets the third spot at 9-8.