Generic_Bills_Fan

Kind of reminds me of the lions game last year…we caught them at the beginning of a hot streak and everyone thought they were a bad team still and the lions have been hot ever since lol Idk how this narrative keeps getting pushed that tomlin has no talent and overperforms every year lol he has talent and is holding them back imo

The ‘every team will win the games they’re favored so we have no chance at the playoffs’ argument fell apart pretty quick lol

If josh finishes fairly strong and the team does well it’s gonna be the most out of nowhere monster season in history lol. The only context he’s talked about really is turnovers

I think even the bengals fans mostly hate Zac Taylor lol

Yea seriously…if we run the table or win 4 games against most or all of Dallas/kc/miami, why would we assume one on done?

Not that we should talk 😂 but I think tomlin is wading into overrated territory. We’ve been saying he’s doing a good job with no talent for years now but they’ve actually got talent now and they sure make it look like they don’t lol

They might say 0% but I feel like if we lose to NE and finish with a losing record it could still happen lol

The odds of the projected favorite winning every game are astronomically small. That is not a realistic way to predict anything. Especially if they are a small favorite. If you’re a 60/40 favorite in back to back games the odds of winning both of those games is 36%. Not to mention you’re looking at the favorites now when the favorites need to be re evaluated before each game. For example browns may be the favorite over all those teams you mentioned now but if they go out and get destroyed next game that may not be the case I mean they activated his 21 day practice window. And even if Rodgers doesn’t come back the browns and jets are both good defenses with terrible qbs. It’s a pretty safe bet browns lose at least one of bears jets and bengals

I don’t know why those are guaranteed wins for them is the point I was making…pj walker and DTR are as bad or worse than browning they could be playing the jets with Aaron Rodgers by week 17 also.

Oooh the wording sounded like you were saying if we go 5-0 we’re a 13% chance which is not true…its an uphill battle overall but a 5-0 finish we are nearly guaranteed to get in The dvoa methodology actually gives us more of a chance than other predictions so I was confused at what you were sayin lol I think the one benefit we have is the vast majority of these fellow wildcard competitors have somewhere between bad and terrible qbs right now.. like I wouldn’t be terribly surprised if a team like Cleveland finished 1-5.

Are you sure that’s not 13.5% chance TO go 5-0 lol 5-0 finish and we are 99% in by any playoff simulator I’ve seen our odds to get in at 4-1 are considerably better than that 13.5 number it looks like DVOA is giving us a 13.5% chance to get in right now with no assumptions about future wins. We are the 4th rated team in the afc by their DAVE metric and we walloped the 3rd rated team so I don’t think you’re interpreting the numbers correctly

He led by a whopping 1 last year and if josh dobbs ceased to exist he’d be leading by a whopping 1 this year with an extra game played on a lot of guys that are 2 behind 😂. That’s far from a guarantee he’ll lead it again the end of this year. Y’all make it sound like he’s got 10 more than anyone else but really he’s right in line with a bunch of guys that get far less touches

Criticism of Phillips on this specific play relies on the refs being completely blind to an obvious false start because the league must love the tush push/brotherly shove branding lol. Phillips went when Kelce started his bs illegal antics before snapping the ball seems like the key to being successful in the nfl is coming up with a cool name for things…’sauce’ Gardner can hold virtually whenever he wants because he’s got a recognizable nickname too 😂

I can’t even tell you how much kelces complaining bothered me haha the only way to stop that play is to jump the snap so that’s what absolutely every team should be doing. He obviously mistimed it a bit but I doubt he was intentionally trying to injure anybody

Player comparisons across teams are ridiculous enough in general…Josh is carrying more of the offensive load than any other player on any team and it’s not like his receivers are getting large amounts of separation consistently. Comparing his numbers on a stat sheet to mahomes just doesn’t even feel super relevant to me

He doesnt even lead the league in turnovers the current year when you posted this 😂 some ‘facts’ you’ve got lol

I’m getting pretty tired of the narrative and I might take a rainy day to go through actual impactful ints for each qb. Per attempt I guarantee tua and hurts are much higher and some other guys you wouldn’t even expect are probably higher also feels like a bunch of Josh’s this year have been on arm punts/a Hail Mary

The 6-6 feels a bit fluky to me personally. Bass missin relatively easy fgs in most close games and teams pulling off some of the most improbable plays of the year against us…the Sutton td and eagles fg/the prayer td to zaccheaus were just ridiculous. I don’t think we’ll win out but I think we’re a pretty good but not great team that’s had some rough luck

I’m so curious if belichick will give up gm responsibilities…I pity the team that hands him control of everything

I don’t really get why you would bring the sideline into play when you beat single coverage quick so I’m not sure I agree…just my two cents though could be meaningless 😂

I think over time a lot more people will agree with this…even if next gen stats got it perfectly accurate that’s a pretty unbelievable result that they ended up with a 20% chance to make the fg yes there were penalties but they had a down to get some of that yardage back and gained 0 yards the defense in ot was an unmitigated disaster though for sure

Does that factor in weather? That sounds much too high. And even so that is still a very unlikely play lol the only way to know for sure is to replay that moment a bunch of times haha

In fairness, that was like a 1/25 type fg make and even that feels generous. The defense held on to win a lot last year, this disappointing season seems to have given people fuzzy memories. Even in losses they pulled off some impressive holds like the Minnesota game where they had a pretty amazing goal line stand then the offense fumbled it away it’s kind of funny you mention the ravens game from two years ago because our defense saved the game with a late INT against that very same team the next season and you don’t remember it 😂 in total they stopped the opponent with a chance to win on a final drive in all these games: kc bal Min Mia x3 (defense had good field position game 1) partial credit for NYJ game 1 (long drive but held to a fg so we could tie with a fg. Plenty of time for the offense to at least tie who took over and did nothing) partial credit for NYJ game 2 (we were up 8 so the best they could do was tie) Partial credit for lions….(held to a fg to keep the game tied then the offense won it with 30 seconds left) so depending on how you look at it the defense held somewhere between 6-9 games. The rest of the games were pretty much blowout wins. Defense at least debatably held up in 100% of their opportunities on late drives

I don’t think a single coach in the league is going for it on 4th and 6 in ot there. Maybe some go for 2 on the td though idk. i try to look at it as ‘how bad do you flame them if the decision doesn’t work out’ and going for that 4th and 6 would’ve been horrendous if it didn’t work. Nobody would be patting the coaches on the back saying ‘at least your offense lost the game’ lol it would be an all time coaching gaffe 4th and short id totally agree with you but 4th and 6 in any weather is pretty tough and factoring in the bills dropped like 8 passes in the game makes it even more unlikely

I could def see it going either way on the defensive timeouts…holding your opponent to -5 yards there was huge is all I was trying to say. I can’t recall ever seeing an incomplete pass in that situation that was honestly kind of shocking the icing the kicker timeout was 100% unnecessary and gave us 0 value im curious if bass’ struggles factored in…like do you risk a turnover to kick a long fg in bad weather that he’s likely gonna miss anyway? Idk