I'd go with 90+.
There were a couple times he won his rep and had a chance to plant hard and close then sort of stutter-stepped it instead; probably just being extra cautious with the game in hand but it felt like he's still thinking about it just a little.
I wouldn't walk away from multi-generational wealth that could help my family and community, regardless of the consequences.
I won't second-guess Tua if he doesn't either.