IMHO Colts got better with Ryan vs Wentz, and they were on the cusp of being in the playoffs last year, if I had to take a team to win that division it would be them. Ryan / Taylor / Pittman is a great group to start with on the offence, throw in some solid D and it could be a good squad in 2022.
My way too early prediction for the playoff teams
AFCE - Bills - Go Bills, look good on paper, now bring it home
AFCN - Bengals - They got better, rookie QB deal is helping
AFCS - Colts - See above
AFCW - Chargers - Like the Benglas they got better, and I think the Chiefs lost too much
WC1 - Broncos - RW will help them win the close games
WC2 - Titans - Don't have faith in this call, they had a terrible margin of victory last year, but I think they are still good enough to get in
WC3 -Ravens - Bounce back year as they stay healthy
Most Improved - Texans getting DW out of the fold will help them in the short and long run