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TheWeatherMan

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Everything posted by TheWeatherMan

  1. Colts look awful as well, Browns tied with Jets. Lots of bad teams this year.
  2. You didn’t put a smiley or add a “lol”, or “haha”to the end of your post. Those are the requisites for people to not take your posts seriously…lol 😛
  3. Massive hold not called. Two hands full of jersey.
  4. That’s what she said?
  5. Fun fact, most on-air meteorologist’s aren’t meteorologist’s they are actors regurgitating forecasts and model data.
  6. Exactly! Actually, it’s not. Convincing people who have never studied meteorology and/or have professional forecast experience that they aren’t meteorologist’s is impossible. The weather for Orchard Park this time of year is not that dynamic and the models generally do well even 3-4 days out. You’re mostly timing frontal or trough passage which isn’t that hard to do compared to forecasting the band placement of lake effect snow.
  7. Is this true? Wow, this is great news!!
  8. Ensemble’s don’t because they are probabilistic not deterministic, which is why they are so accurate as they account for a chaotic environment. They are exceptional at picking up on mesoscale features such as pulse (pop up) or air mass convection. Look up the NOAA HRRR, it’s amazing. The UKMO is the UK Model.
  9. Yes. Models are only as good as the forecaster interpreting and adjusting them. There’s a reason why all 3 of those models have a different solution. They are all way different and they are global models not regional which means generally a lower resolution. The UKMO is a gridded model as opposed to a spectral which has its benefits but is awful for long range forecasting (hence clear skies). Recomendado you take a look at the ensembles on the NOAA’s / NCEP webpage or hit up windy and take a look at the ECWMF which is the gold standard for global models.
  10. Hate to bust your bubble, but going to a weather website (NOAA, Windy, Weather.com) and regurgitating their 5 day is not forecasting and neither is “partly sunny with a high near 77”. Everyone’s a meteorologist now a day. All jokes aside, the outlook does look promising but it’s too far out to instill any confidence in the models. After 48-72 hours accuracy drops off significantly.
  11. Titans are not making the playoffs. Did you see their schedule?? At best, they are a 7-8 win team.
  12. Worst Defense I’ve seen this season. No pressure and awful coverage. KC is going to drop a 50 burger.
  13. Cardinals look awful on both sides of the ball.
  14. Bengals are going to win this game. Burrow looks good, his oline does not.
  15. Trey Lance is awful, that is all.
  16. For some reason I don’t think this will age well.
  17. This!
  18. Oliver was a wrecking ball while he was in. You might be jumping the gun on this.
  19. On opening night, we went into their house, the Super Bowl Champions punched them in the face, ate their dinner and stole their girlfriends. Yes folks…this team is the best team in football and it’s not even close.
  20. Frustrating night for our RB’s. Josh is still the best runner on the team.
  21. And we’re about to have both since we’re going to win the OBJ bowl 😂
  22. Put up points and it’s game over. Please don’t get conservative…end it here!!
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