DabillsDaBillsDaBills

Tie breakers within a division: 1) Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs). 2) Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division. 3) Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games. 4) Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference. 5) Strength of victory in all games. 6) Strength of schedule in all games. The Bucs losing hurts us in the strength of victory tiebreaker

31mm in dead cap in 2024 and Houston traded us Minnesota's 2025 2nd round pick. That ended up being 56th overall pick - which we packaged as part of the deal to move up for TJ Sanders

It was still a 1 score game at 28-20. Obviously that's dependent on them converting the next 2 pointer though. I think the math is fairly simple in this scenario. If you're down by 14 in the 4th Q you should always go for 2. If you have a 40% chance of converting (somewhat less than league average) the odds look like this: 40% chance of converting the first 2 pt conversion leading to a large advantage (win on the next TD+PAT) 36% chance of failing both 2 point conversions leading to a large disadvantage (2 point deficit) 24% chance failing the 1st 2 point conversion and succeeding on the 2nd leading to a tie

Call me crazy but I thought about half the penalties called on the Falcons were ticky tack BS that shouldn't have been called. Still a sloppy game from them though. I also thought that the Robinson catch and fumble should've been an incompletion. No idea how the Evans catch a few plays later was a catch (it clearly hit the ground before he completed the process).

They had some big games against us in 2021 with Mac Jones. Week 16 if they beat us at Foxboro they would've won the division. Then of course the wild card game a few weeks later. I'm hoping history repeats itself Bills 33 Pats 21

Depends on who the Broncos lose to. Broncos final 4 games are against GB, JAX, KC, and LAC. 1st tiebreaker is conference record. Bills are 6-3 and Broncos are 7-2 currently. If Bills win out and Broncos lose 2 conference games we'd get the 1 seed (we'd have 9-3 conference record vs Broncos 8-4). If Broncos lose 2 games, but one of them is GB the next tie breaker is record in common games. If we win our next 2 games, NE loses next 2, and DEN wins next 2 we would still be in play for the 1 seed headed into week 17 (we'd have to win final 2 and DEN lose final 2). HOWEVER, Denver plays on Thursday so we'd know headed into the Philly game if we were eliminated from contention on the 1 seed. I don't think there's any possible scenario where the Philly game won't impact seeding. It might not matter for 1 seed or AFCE title, but it would matter for 2 v 3 seed or 5/6/7 if we're in the WC race.

Micah Parsons went for 2x 1sts and a quality starter. Khalil Mack was 2x 1sts, 3rd, and 6th. I'd say 2x 1sts is the starting point for a JJ trade. The addon probably doesn't need to be a 2nd, but it wouldn't be far off. Someone else mentioned Aiyuk - couldn't we sign him as a FA? I thought the 49ers were voiding his contract. Of course he'll be 28 years old coming off a major knee injury and now has personality concerns...

Classic Lamar. Eats a game ending sack rather than tossing up a risky throw. He cares more about his INT % than winning

He's less washed up than Cole Beasley and John Brown when we signed them in 2022.

I went with the 2nd option, but my answer really depends on HOW we win the superbowl. If the DEF dominates an entire playoff run to a SB victory I'd gladly eat some crow.

McD's decision to take the 15 yards on the kickoff instead of the PAT is the worst in-game decision he's made this season.

We knew about Hoecht but not Ogunjobi https://www.nfl.com/news/bills-gm-free-agent-signings-mike-hoecht-larry-ogunjobi-facing-six-game-suspensions-for-ped-violations

I think this would be a terrible idea. 1) Tanking is NOT a big issue in the NFL. There's only a few examples of teams tanking an entire season in the past 20+ years (IE Colts for Luck or Browns for Garrett). There's been any number of janky final games of the season like our game vs Pats last year, but I don't see how this proposal would help that. 2) This would make tanking MORE blatant. Teams would be in a desperate scramble to make it to the minimum number of wins to keep their pick, and as soon as they reached it they would trade/bench everyone to ensure they don't win any additional games. 3) Any team that loses what would've been an early 1st round pick is going to be severely crippled going forward. Can you imagine being a fan of a team that can't make it to the minimum number of wins and then loses their 1st round pick? That team would lose all it's fans in a few years and fold...

Who coulda guessed that giving a massive contract to a 33 year old pass rusher (Miller) wouldn't have worked out? Or a PED abuser in Hoecht? Beane targeted these risky guys and it blew up in his face