-
Posts
4,569 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Everything posted by ChiGoose
-
I'm not avoiding it. You're asking me to opine on something I have no experience and knowledge of. As I stated, actual actuaries seem to think there's a strong chance he's alive at the end of the next term, so we should expect he'll live to the election. If he's alive, he's running. People who know this stuff more than I do expect he'll be alive. Therefore, I think it's more likely than not that he runs.
-
I'm not an actuary so I'm not going to guess on how long the guy lives. But it appears that so long as he is alive, he is running. And so long as he is running, I would not expect there to be a serious contender in the primary. I will note that some people who actually have the background for this have concluded that it is more likely than not Biden lives through a second term (and therefore he should be expected to make it through the 2024 campaign): Long-lived rivals: actuaries say Biden and Trump are not too old for office Most Likely President Joe Biden Will Live Through A Second Term, Life Expectancy Data Show
-
He's not going to challenge Biden in the primary. He's trying to grow his profile and setting himself to run in the future or in the unlikely event that Biden ends up not running in 2024.
-
Cory Booker calls on Menendez to resign Dems who have called on Menendez to resign: Baldwin (Sen - WI) Booker (Sen - NJ) Brown (Sen - OH) Casey (Sen - PA) Fetterman (Sen - PA) Murphy (Gov - NJ Rosen (Sen - NV) Tester (Sen - MT) Welch (Sen - VT) Warren (Sen - MA) Republicans who have called on Menendez to resign:
-
It's probably too late in the game for that. I think Newsome is trying to set himself up to follow after Biden while DeSantis is running such a terrible campaign he doesn't realize this is a terrible idea.
-
DeSantis has to have one of the worst run campaigns I've ever seen. Aside from the fact the he appears to be completely unlikable to anyone who meets him in person, he has completely squandered all of the hype he had over the summer. Instead of making the case that Trump is the past and he is the future, he has run his campaign into the ground and is now agreeing to a stunt debate against someone who isn't even running. Can you imagine Trump, or Obama, or any serious candidate taking time from the campaign trail to debate someone who wasn't even running? It's so weird.
-
And the 2024 Race Begins
ChiGoose replied to The Frankish Reich's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Considering No Labels is a right wing grift, everybody should be opposed to them. -
Literally from the article: ”The Ukrainian army in late 2014 formally integrated the Azov Regiment. Many of Ukraine’s foreign allies, including the United States, objected to the integration. But the deradicalization process already was underway. For starters, Biletsky was gone—off campaigning for the parliamentary seat he would hold until 2019. What’s more, the Ukrainian general staff in mid-2015 pulled the Azov Regiment from the front line for restructuring and retraining. Massive manpower turnover alone significantly diluted the regiment’s ideology. By the time it returned to the front line in early 2019, the Azov Regiment probably was unrecognizable to its original members. It likely was even less recognizable three years later this February, when Russia widened its war on Ukraine. “The Azov Regiment has been repeatedly reconstituted,” wrote Alasdair McCallum, a researcher at Monash University in Australia. “Its extremist early leaders such as the odious Andriy Biletsky are long gone, and, more recently, its fearsome, pseudo-pagan regimental emblem has been abandoned.” By the time the Azov Regiment began spinning off successor units, the ideological poison mostly was gone.” Removing the ideology from a unit by removing the people with the ideology and training people to be regular soldiers seems pretty straightforward. But I get that you can’t let facts get in the way of your feelings. Especially if it requires actually reading.
-
The golden rule of the modern GOP is that if you can see daylight between someone’s lips and Trump’s sphincter, then that person is a traitorous lib. Nothing is acceptable but unquestioning loyalty to a man who has no loyalty to give.
-
Because there isn’t enough leverage to end the war. Russia has a history of signing peace deals and ceasefires, only to violate them the second they want to. The only way for real peace in Ukraine is for Russia to know equivocally that they cannot attack again. Any peace deal they sign today won’t prevent them from just using it to regroup and attack again when convenient (something they do all of the time). To get to a lasting peace, one side has to utterly dominate the other. Either Russia wipes Ukraine off the map and genocides the population and culture, or Ukraine crushes the Russian army, pushing them back to the 1992 borders, and establishing that they are not to be messed with.
-
Jesus. Some people will fall for anything, huh? This guy has a long history of corruption and they caught him with literal gold bars and googling about his newly acquired gold bars. But no, it has to be some deep state conspiracy because it’s always, always, always feelings over facts for the right.
-
Who tf are my masters? What are you talking about? The stolen election BS is just lies that gullible people eat up because any kind of introspection might reveal that their beliefs and candidates are not popular with most Americans. If people actually cared about real election security issues, there are improvements we could make. But scaremongering about fake election stealing and proposing ideas that are solely to prevent certain people from voting aren’t going to win support from people who live in reality.
-
If he's convicted on the documents charges, they will almost certainly come with a jail sentence. I would guess that the secret service would work with the DoC to arrange an acceptable arrangement. Would be kinda funny if there's a job of sitting in the cell with him where secret service agents take shifts.
-
Either: A. The guy with a long history of corruption, including having barely escaped a conviction for a previous corruption charge is, as it turns out, actually corrupt; or B. The guy with a long history of corruption, including having barely escaped a conviction for a previous corruption charge is actually not corrupt but is being sent up as a patsy by a shadowy deep state cabal in order to make it look like they are impartial in charging Donald Trump even though multiple different jurisdictions charged Trump with crimes, the first charges came out months ago, and the type of people they would be doing this to convince of their impartiality would never believe it anyway. Yeah... I'm gonna go with option "A"...
-
I was talking about electoral systems, not any candidates. Not sure why you're talking about Peltola Alaska now has a jungle primary where the top four go to a general election with ranked choice voting. This sort of system reduces partisanship, allows for independent candidates to succeed, and ensures that whoever is ultimately elected is supported by the majority of voters (as opposed to a plurality which is common in FPTP elections).
-
Ideally, we would have an electoral system that would encourage actually good candidates. There are movements to make this happen and we've seen some progress in Alaska and Maine in that front. But in the meantime, it's generally picking between two bad options, voting for whoever you think is less bad.
-
Menendez Accused of Brazen Bribery Plot, Taking Cash and Gold Additional details: "The three-count indictment, which also charges the senator’s wife and three New Jersey businessmen, accuses him of using his official position in a wide range of corrupt schemes at home and abroad. In one, he sought to benefit the government of Egypt, including secretly providing it with sensitive U.S. government information, while in two others, he aimed to influence criminal investigations of two New Jersey businessmen, one of whom was a longtime fund-raiser for Mr. Menendez. Toward that end, the senator, a Democrat, recommended that President Biden nominate a lawyer, Philip R. Sellinger, for the post of U.S. attorney for New Jersey because Mr. Menendez believed he could influence Mr. Sellinger’s prosecution of the fund-raiser. Mr. Sellinger, who was ultimately confirmed for the post, was not accused of any wrongdoing. In another scheme, Mr. Menendez used his position to try to disrupt the investigation and prosecution of a businessman by the New Jersey State attorney general’s office, according to the indictment. In exchange for all those actions, the indictment said, the senator and his wife, Nadine Menendez, accepted hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of bribes, including cash, gold bars, payments toward a home mortgage, a luxury vehicle and other valuable things." Link to the indictment If he steps down, his replacement would be picked by the NJ governor who is a democrat. So there's really no reason he shouldn't step down. But given who he is, I would be surprised if he did.