ChiGoose

I wonder how many midwestern Republicans moved to Florida in the past couple of years...

If only he knew who was in charge of the GOTV efforts…

You've voted as someone else right? If it's so easy and you can't get caught, then why wouldn't you? I mean, you at least know a bunch of people personally who have voted as someone else, right?

Well, they'd have to know my name, address, and be able to replicate my signature. Which is pretty difficult because it's ink print of goose feet.

Well now you're trying to get me to commit a crime. A crime I would get caught doing because the voter registration list would show that I have already voted. I was able to vote this morning because I was already on the voter registration list. Something I was able to do get on because I had registered with ID(s) proving that I was a US citizen and Chicago resident.

What do you think would happen if someone voted in the morning and then went back later in the day to vote again? Do you think they would successfully be able to vote because there is no voter id?

Yep. As we all know, it's impossible to verify someone's identity without a photo id. That's why you need a photo id to use an ATM, file your taxes, log in to your email, unlock your phone, etc... It always takes me a little bit to log into this forum since I need to scan my photo id to verify that it is actually me logging into the account.

Just voted. Might do it a couple more times today just for fun

Not sure why MAGA is bothering voting at all since the election is already rigged. Might as well stay home and ignore the news since the rigging means that Harris is going to win and the Dems will hold supermajorities in both chambers of Congress.

Who is going to win the 2024 presidential election and by how much?

Libs: We have the worst policy on nuclear power Tucker: Hold my beer!

You’re telling on yourself

I am sure this person being filmed terribly has evidence for her claims, right? Can you link to that?

The case for a Harris blowout is that in the wake of Dobbs, women are breaking hard for the Dems while independents and some Republicans are just tired of the Trump show, but pollsters are missing the shift because they're basing their models on 2022 or 2020 recall vote. I don't think it's something you would normally see coming until after the fact. Which is another reason why Selzer's poll is garnering a lot of attention: she doesn't model on recall vote so her methodology could potentially allow her to catch such a shift ahead of time that other pollsters miss. But there are like, hundreds of data points that point us in the direction of this being incredibly close, so that's where I'd put my money if I were betting on the race.

Trump Claims “Illegal Alien” Voting Is Rampant. His Own Party Disagrees. In a private video training session, a top Pennsylvania Republican National Committee official reassured a new poll watcher that undocumented people could not possibly vote in the state *** In a private Oct. 29 training session for poll watchers in Pennsylvania, an RNC election-integrity specialist told volunteers not to worry about noncitizen voting in the 2024 election because the electoral system had safeguards in place to prevent illegal votes. ProPublica obtained a recording of the training session. The RNC official’s comments have not been previously reported. *** During the Oct. 29 training session, Joe Neild, a member of RNC’s election integrity team in the state, said such a scenario is nearly impossible. A participant in the training session asked Neild about the potential for noncitizens to cast votes in the election and what poll watchers could do to stop them. Neild replied that, in Pennsylvania, undocumented people can’t legally register to vote and so they would not be included in the list of eligible voters used at voting precincts, known as poll books. *** In addition to the registration hurdles Neild pointed out, Levitt [Loyola Law School Professor and voting rights expert) explained that there are clear incentives to discourage noncitizens from voting in U.S. elections. Criminal penalties can include a hefty fine and prison time as well as deportation and losing the ability to become a U.S. citizen in the future. What’s more, Levitt added, the very act of voting creates a clear and obvious paper trail, making it that much easier for law enforcement to bring criminal charges for illegal voting. “Every once in a blue moon you see noncitizens showing up on the rolls,” he said. “It’s usually by mistake because it’s just not worth it, and they’re gonna get caught, guaranteed.”

My opinion: I have no idea Do I trust the recent polling: Not really The Selzer and Fort Hayes polls are pretty eye-opening and good things to grab onto for those hoping for a Harris win. If she wins in a blowout, those were the canaries in the coal mine. But basically every other indicator has shown this as an incredibly close race. I'm hard pressed to believe that it's anything other than a coin flip.

Editor Jon Ralston’s 2024 Nevada election predictions Fellow Bills Mafia Member and Nevada elections guru Jon Ralston makes his final predictions: President: Harris - 48.5% Trump - 48.2% US Senate: Rosen: 50% Brown: 45% US House Winners: Dina Titus (D) Mark Amoodei (R) Susie Lee (D) Steven Horsford (D) State Legislature: 25 (D) - 17 (R)

The party that is pushing pro-union and pro-worker policies is the corporatist party. The party whose only major piece of legislation in a decade was permanent corporate tax cuts and temporary individual tax cuts, and whose nominee has told billionaires and corporate leaders he’ll do whatever they want if they give him money is the party of the people.

So much copium.

Big yikes

Wow, must just be complete blind luck that she’s regularly the best pollster out there despite ending up being off by an inexcusably large margin of one point in 2020. How do past Iowa Poll results compare with presidential election results in Iowa?

This a pretty good (and quick) interview with Ann Selzer on her poll and methodology. Ann Selzer: How Could This Be? The big difference between her and most other pollsters is that she does not do recall vote to try to fit to a prior election’s turnout (I.e. assuming the electorate is going to be more like 2022 or 2020). She mainly just screens for likely voters and weights by demographics and geography from there. She mentioned that one of the biggest surprises was that women over 65 have moved from generally supporting Republicans to voting for Harris at a 2:1 clip.

Anecdotally, every Harris yard sign in my neighborhood (including mine) was stolen the other night while both Trump signs are still up, untouched.