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HappyDays

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Everything posted by HappyDays

  1. Nasirildeen would be my 2nd choice behind Gainwell, although based on Beane's comments yesterday about the big nickel I'm not so sure they care enough about the position to use a top 100 pick on a safety. Schwartz is interesting but this is a little high for my tastes considering how raw he is as an actual receiver.
  2. But meanwhile there's a thread on this board with an ongoing debate about whether it is prudent to pick up Tremaine Edmunds' 5th year option. Which is crazy because I feel like he is the exact type of player the 5th year option is designed for - someone that clearly has a lot of potential but isn't yet worthy of a long term extension. Still there is a question if he is worth using the 5th year option on. And everyone agrees if Allen is given the 5th year option it will be a formality on the way to a long term extension. So I wouldn't make any draft pick with the 5th year option on my mind. Draft the BPA at a position of need and worry about the rest later.
  3. This is true with any position other than QB. I remember reading once that if JJ Watt in his prime missed a game, Vegas would only knock half a point off of Houston's spread. Does that mean elite pass rushers aren't important? Football is still a team game so one player missing a game is never going to make a huge difference. Same goes for the argument that elite RBs haven't gotten their teams to a championship. Again, this is already true of most elite non-QBs in the league. The simple counterargument is that if the Bills had a Derrick Henry or Christian McCaffrey last year we would have been a better team with a better chance of beating the Chiefs. If you try to argue otherwise you aren't being realistic. As for the argument that late 1st round RBs recently haven't been very good players, that is again true of every other position. Look at pass rushers drafted in the range of #30. The only hit is TJ Watt. It's hard to find good players at that spot. If Henry and Chubb had been taken at the bottom of the 1st instead of in the 2nd they would have been good picks. You can't discount them just because teams misvalued them. In 2016 (Derrick Henry's draft year) teams at the bottom of the 1st round picked superstars like Artie Burns, Paxton Lynch, Joshua Garnett, Robert Nkemdiche, and Vernon Butler. Any one of those teams would be better off with Henry right now. The article uses Michel and Penney as examples of late 1st round RBs that didn't work out. Well Chubb was drafted that same year at pick 35. The problem wasn't taking a RB at the end of the 1st, it was taking the wrong one. So overall I feel like you could replace the RB portion of the article with any other non-QB position and come away with the same conclusions.
  4. Incredible. This is something they would write out of the show Veep for being too unrealistic.
  5. Over the last 2 years only 38% of players drafted after pick 20 had their 5th year option picked up. I wouldn't weigh the 5th year option at all in my decision. We brought back the same offensive line, which I am fine with. But if we also bring back the same RB room there is no chance of our run game improving, and somehow it has to improve. We don't need a top tier run game but it has to be better than bottom of the league. If they feel Breida is enough I'm okay with that, but I'm hoping we don't roll into 2021 with Singletary and Moss active on gameday with Breida inactive. Either add a RB with speed somewhere in the draft or see what Breida can do.
  6. Onwuzurike and Barmore will probably both be taken before we pick. They are the only 1st round talents at DT and the depth at the position this year is supposedly terrible.
  7. I could see DeAndre Hopkins just because he had the play of the sesson.
  8. I think it's more that they haven't made a 100% final decision yet. Obviously they're doing their due diligence with the pro days and all that. They have no need for a smoke screen. There's zero chance of another team jumping them. Simms is admittedly a little biased because he has Mac Jones as his 3rd ranked QB and isn't a big fan of Fields. But there's other buzz besides what he's saying that the 49ers like Jones.
  9. He always makes sure to mention he hasn't actually been told who the 49ers will pick, that's just his instinct based on what he knows about Shanahan and about the QB options. Anyways there's no reason for the 49ers to worry about keeping it a secret. The top 2 picks are already locked in.
  10. Chris Simms is a personal friend of Kyle Shanahan, and he has been adamant that Mac Jones will be the pick. Obviously Shanahan hasn't told him for sure but Simms knows how he thinks about the game. Shahanan almost won a Super Bowl with Matt Ryan. If he sees Mac Jones having that potential it makes sense.
  11. Right before training camp started, who exactly was still waiting to be signed? If you have an idea I'd love to hear it. All we could do is slap a band-aid on the position. Anyone we would have signed at that point would have been equivalent to the players we already had.
  12. No team has good backups at every position. Star's decision to opt out came at the very end of July. At that point they had no choice but to roll with the players they had. Like I said I expect them to draft someone this year, probably round 3 or later.
  13. He didn't say Star is irreplaceable. He said the Bills were unable to replace him last year with the limited options they had, which is obviously true. They tried rotating Butler, Phillips, and Zimmer to fill that one spot, and the results were terrible. Phillips and Zimmer in particular regularly got blown off the ball. It was so bad that they had to play Oliver at 1-tech because despite being a natural 3-tech he was still better than any of the other players they tried to give the job to. I see NC State DT Alim McNeill as a potential 3rd round option for the Bills. They need to find a developmental backup and long term replacement for Star so last year's problems don't resurface.
  14. This account is run by Cian Fahey. He is known for having really out there takes about QBs. He hated Mahomes and Allen coming out so it's no surprise he posted a thread that tried to make them look worse than they really are.
  15. Jabril Cox has no role on our defense. He would just back up Milano. For a 2nd round pick I would hate that.
  16. Like Jaelan Phillips, I don't expect Tyler Shelvin to be on our board. Too many character and motivation problems. Jamar Johnson is the one that makes the most sense out of those 3 so that's a good addition.
  17. I'll take your word for it. I'm using a couple big boards and looking at players listed in this range. It's hard trying to predict what players will have 2nd round grades.
  18. ^Reposting what I put in the main thread. Joseph Ossai, EDGE, Texas
  19. Milton Williams, DT, Louisiana Tech - could play the Quinton Jefferson role in our defense Tommy Togiai, DT, Ohio State - long term replacement for Star at 1-tech Jamar Johnson, S, Indiana - could be the hybrid safety/nickel CB that we've been looking for ever since we drafted Siran Neal
  20. I think about it in terms of beating the Chiefs. Does a better CB2 help us beat them last year? Wallace is a limited player but he wasn't the problem. Our problem was we left Mahomes completely clean. Watching our pass rush compared to the Bucs it was like two totally different sports. I'm happy to draft an athletic CB at pick 30 since it does fill a need and there will be good value at that spot, but we can afford to take a swing on a high upside pass rusher even if he is only used sparingly in his rookie season.
  21. People forget that Kyle Shanhan led a couple championship caliber offenses with Matt Ryan as his QB. If he thinks Mac Jones has that kind of potential, no question in my mind he is the pick there. Fields' draft stock is getting boosted in mocks because now everyone thinks you need a mobile athletic QB to win. I doubt Shanahan sees it that way. He wants a QB that can play within the structure of his offense and make quick decisions.
  22. If the draft fell the way you presented, I'm fairly certain the Bills would draft Tyson Campbell. And they wouldn't risk trading down that far, they would just take him at 30. Campbell is possibly a 1st round talent that fills a need and gives us much needed size, athleticism, and speed at CB.
  23. I am weirdly more interested than usual. I think because it's so much harder to predict who the Bills will take, I've taken a much deeper look at the top 40 players or so in the class. In years past there were only about 5 players that were realistic options at our pick. Since I don't really care about the draft outside of the Bills picks there wasn't much for me to look into. When we drafted Tre White I had no clue who he was. We have so few dire needs. I'm excited to see what Beane does now that we just need finishing touches rather than a complete overhaul. If I had to predict the top 3 most likely 1st round candidates for us I'd go Oweh, Campell, and Ossai in that order.
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