GoBills808

These are the first worst

This is the issue. At some point you have to look at the best QB in the league and one of the best defenses and ask why they haven't won a championship.

These are the second worst

This is my takeaway also

I'm glad we have him too. He's an above average coach. I'm more glad we have Allen.

If you can't accommodate for brute strength and referee subjectivity I don't think you should be an NFL fan

It's a non-issue

I will never claim to be a smart knowledgeable person😂😂😂

Again- the bot isn't right or wrong. The boat is simple presenting a set of percentages from which you can decide upon a course of action

I'm not going to argue with you, you are free to believe what you wish

This is all results oriented thinking it's a very common way of looking at outcomes but leads to inefficient decision making

FYI anyone can access the 4th down bot if they desire its here https://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/nfl4th/index.html

Yes that should be obvious

Do you seriously not understand this relatively simple calculation? WIN% is just EV basically simple example is 2pt vs PAT: success rate of PAT (1 pt) is 94.1 so EV of a PAT= .941 success rate of a 2pt try (2pts) is 49.4% so EV of a 2pt attempt= .988 WIN% is just these EVs calculated wrt to down distance and time left in game over the recorded logs of NFL plays in same circumstances

Very easy

They're not overly aggressive decisions, they're simply correct ones.

Lol they were trying to take the points, they were trying to take 7 of them

Yup easy decision

Right decision wrong playcall

That was a punt

Everything works w Tyreek Hill

I won't pretend to know the number of runs called or otherwise per game that's best. I just think exposing him to as little punishment as possible in service of prolonging his career and avoiding injury should be at the forefront when deciding how best to attack a particular defense. He can already make you defend every part of the field with his arm. Avoiding sacks and picking up first downs on scrambles obviously is one of his talents that shouldn't be discouraged. But if I was the HC or the OC or whoever makes those kinds of decisions I would remove the designed QB runs from the playbook.

Andrew Luck is the comp

They need to run him less without question

Did you miss the shovel pass to Hines or something Or the multiple scrambles in key spots that we've just become accustomed to This offense could not function without Allen being the best athlete in the field every game