CommonCents

Easy peasy. Just pick the right team.

Mahomes? I don’t know. Let’s ask magical Jeff what he thinks.

Steelers has 6 turnovers and still got a tie? Is that a record?

He is ok with not being a star, he not only useless but also selfless.

It was bad enough that I spent most the game wondering if McD is just another failure, it got to the point that when they showed him on the broadcast I was bothered by his look. Bleh. It’s a process yah yah. The lack of effort and skill was a gross display.

Welp I pulled a McD on this one. Should have picked the other guy. What a horrible effort, I don’t have any excuse. That was bad, I am dumb. I wanted to believe in the spread and ignore the obvious with Nate.

Fair. I will be around after the game tomorrow you can tar and feather me if I read this spread wrong.

Why would taking another Bills fans money be anymore satisfying than taking it from Bovada? Do you want to bet user name rights? That seems childish but I’m not above it. Good luck. It doesn’t take a metric to see that Vegas isn’t scared of the Ravens blowing out the Bills. The line has consistently moved in the Ravens favor since it was created, yet the money is still flowing in. I have bet way too much money in my life but scenarios like this are good gambles. Play on the side of Vegas not on Joe Public. They are blinded by the name Nate P.

I detailed the Bills spread in another thread. Vegas isn’t giving away the whole pie, plus 8 is a winner no need to go for the ML that probably won’t happen.

Make that money.

Bills line is now +8, as I said it would be. Easy money. Bills probably lose by 3-6, they won’t lose my more than 7. I said this in a random thread the other night. I expect the spread to go up another half a point and then get hammered down by sharps and probably end up back at 8 by kickoff.

Vegas needs the Bills to cover, they dialed up a rain storm ?

? What in the world did you do If I’m reading this correctly you missed out on Ted Ginn.

There is no need to mention the other players. Did Jimmy Smith getting suspended cause the line to sway towards the Bills? Wentz was declared out and Foles look horrible in the preseason. Peterman is in and everyone is goofing on the Bills for being most likely to get the first overall pick. Money from both games moved the spread 4+ points in one direction. They won’t lose by more than 7 and the spread hits 8, 8.5. Correct me Sunday if I’m wrong. Go Bills.

....What about Alshon and then the Bradham suspension? The point of the conversation is the same gradual line movement was a clear indication where all the money went. Just like for this Bills game. -7.5 now for Baltimore, it will keep going, probably hits 8-8.5 then sharps will pound it back down half a point.

Oh I agree totally, Nate sucks and the Bills shouldn’t be in the game. I’m looking strictly at the line and how it mimics tonight’s game. The Bills are being ranked 31-32 by everyone with a twitter account and or press credentials. They announced Nate P. as a starter, the laughing stock replacement QB from a year ago. One would think the spread would be much higher by now. Everyone has been reading how bad the Bills are and this looks like another suckers bet. I suspect the public hammers the Ravens this weekend and the line continues to rise.

Me too that’s why I’m sticking with them losing by 3-6 range. They don’t always take the whole pie like they did tonight but they rarely ever give away the whole pie and if the Ravens win by 8+ the pie is off the table. My guess is the line keeps moving up so sit tight until Sunday. FWIW I’m just the fool who took the sucker bet on opening night ?

That’s the point I’m trying to make. If you glance at the spread movement, you say oh it moved from -4.5 to -8 because Nate was name starter. Oh it moved from -4.5 to even because Wentz is now out. It makes sense, if they didn’t know all along and totally screwed up the line, which of course they didn’t screw up. How many casual bettors will see the name Nate Peterman and lay up on the Ravens? A lot. The Bills may lose but it won’t be by more than whatever the line caps out at. My guess is they lose by 3-6 points, winning wouldn’t hurt either.

Good news for the Bills, the line movement for the Eagles game is going to end up close to what the Bills/Ravens game will be. Ravens opened at -4/-4.5 and I’d guess by Sunday it will be 8/8.5. Bills won’t lose by more than 7. Eagles opened at -4.5 and it was bet down to even. Of course the Wentz announcement but that is not much different than announcing Nate P is starting. Vegas hardly ever takes a total loss on such a dramatic move.

Vegas needs the Eagles, safe to say I’m going to get porked.

Will they mention philly special again? That’s all I want to know.

Half priced Spam is no joke.

Colin showed up. This night can’t get any worse for the NFL.

He threw an out to Julio, it was a completion but it took awhile to get out towards the sidelines. Couple other throws that looked weaker than normal. Get him some kale and coconut water.

Safe to say they ran him into the ground and shipped him out. Maybe he proves otherwise, I just don’t see it.