BuffaloHokie13

Since 2010 the primary receiver in the Kubiak/Dennison offense has gotten 133 targets or more every year but one and 145 or more 4 or the 7 years. Sammy's highest targets in a season ever was 128. His highest was 95 under Greg Roman.

Reminds me of a couple years ago when Aaron Rodgers went 24/35 for 333 yards and 5 TDs, no INTs. PFF graded him a -0.8 because 3 of his TDs were thrown on quick outs to Cobb and then Cobb ran the TDs in, so they didn't count towards the QB grade. Oh, and they counted a fumble on a play that got called back due to a defensive penalty against his grade too. Box Score PFF 'Justification'

You mean the guy who spent 6 years on the team has more stats than the guy who's been here for 3 years? For what it's worth, in Stevie's 6 years here he averaged 3.96 catches and 50.42 yards per game. Sammy is currently averaging 4.14 catches and 66.46 yards per game. Clearly God also didn't want Stevie to be as good at WR as Sammy.

I thought the Steve Johnson excuse was God didn't want him to catch it?

Will he be starting by week 7?

Also, for what it's worth, 9 of the 27 players in that sheet have more GWD than Tyrod has starts. That's why I had to do a 2nd pass and add in guys like Winston, Mariota, etc.

When you look at 4QC and GWD as rates based on the number of starts a QB has it can help with comparisons (still not a good rate for Tyrod, but sample size is pretty low still). Of the smattering of QBs I looked at, Brady is 8th in 4QC and 6th in GWD for instance. Peyton is 11th & 9th, Russ Wilson is 2nd & 1st, Brian Hoyer is 5th & 12th, Drew Brees is 20th & 14th, Aaron Rodgers is 26th & 23rd, Tyrod is 27th & T-25th. Here's a sheet, sorted by GWD%: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IWkjyirqnZ-tZx_t865UMd0Fq3YjlOUT_f4xUv7-LrE/edit?usp=sharing

Those stats tell very interesting stories

The stat line does say why, it just isn't the QB's stat line.

Confidence, timing, repetition, and chemistry with pass catchers will lead to proper execution.

If someone wants to lay out a defined set of parameters for 'garbage time' and provide their input that's fine. All I wanted to do is lay out his officially recorded stats in a vacuum. What people think about them isn't up to me.

Factoring in sacks, his combined touches goes to 37.7 per game.

all runs are included, sacks are not though. Garbage time is pretty subjective, which makes that analysis difficult.

Passes and runs. (816+199=1015/29=35) It's pretty much the number of times per game that the Bills asked him to do something with the ball.

So you believe that 2 games is a better sample than 29? Okay. I disagree, but that's fine. Here's what I know (because I'm bored and it's a slow day in the office). In the past 2 seasons Tyrod Taylor has: Started 29 Games Completed 511 Passes (17.6 per Game) Attempted 816 Passes (28.1 per Game) A 62.6% Completion Rate Passed for 6,058 Yards (208.9 per Game; 7.42 per Attempt) Passed for 37 TDs (1.28 per Game) Thrown 12 INTs (0.41 per Game) Ran the ball 199 times (6.9 per Game) Ran for 1,148 Yards (39.6 per Game) Ran for 10 TDs (0.34 per Game) Lost 1 Fumble That comes out to: 35 combined attempts per game 248.5 combined yards per game 1.62 TDs per game 0.45 Turnovers per game 7.10 Yards per Touch In games Tyrod has started, the Bills have scored an average of 24.69 points per game (Median of 25 PPG, for what it's worth). These are the facts over 2 seasons of play. If your opinion is that isn't good enough, that's fine. I'm not here to convince you otherwise. I just think people should use actual stats to back up their position.

My apologies. I didn't realize calling you out for discounting nearly 1/3 of his attempts per game was nitpicking...

So, to be clear, you're defending the following by saying that the "20ish" attempts was the Bills' intended amount of passes rather than his actual attempts? Look, I am (and have been) over debating Tyrod, but please use proper facts when you make statements about things that are documented such as attempts per game. All it does is make you look silly and weaken your argument. Our offense was run heavy and stayed right in the 29/31 or 28/32 pass/run split for the entirety of 2 seasons. I understand that. I also understand that, generally speaking, teams that are ahead tend run the ball and teams that are behind tend to pass the ball, which means that stat has an inherent skew. How much? I don't know. But my opinion on it is that we typically went into games planning on 30 passes and 30 runs, and if the final split varied much from that it probably correlated with how the game went for the Bills.

We all know that the Bills passing attempts have been low, but portraying 28 attempts per game as 20ish? C'mon man.

We'll see soon enough I suppose

ESPN put out their post-draft QB Confidence Index Division context: Pats #1 (Completely Confident) Miami #24 (Watch Your Back) Jets #32 (No Earthly Idea)

Spent the past 12 years with Arizona's scouting department, and has been their Assistant Director of Pro Scouting since 2014.

he does have a chip, per her tweet.

Also, much like his pro performances until this past year, he never could beat VT when it counted

He texted the doctors that he did, but that they shouldn't check him. Don't ask for his phone though, he destroys them regularly

Out of respect for Chris Berman, I predict the Super Bowl will be Buffalo vs San Francisco.