
TPS
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Kansas City; What's going to happen?
TPS replied to Clippers of Nfl's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Offensively, KC is a little like the Jets in that they rely on their run game, which includes the QB. Obviously KC's Smith rarely turns the ball over, but also relies more on a short passing game. Stop the run, which includes containing the QB, let your CB man up the outside, and then your safeties focus on helping cover the underneath stuff. KC's D is much tougher this year, especially against the pass. The Bills have to fix the run game to win this game because KC will sit back in cover 2. Maybe best option will be to get it to WRs (sammy) quick and see if they can make a play. -
Is the 2014 D better than the 1999 D?
TPS replied to BillsBilliever's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Hard to compare the 3-4 against the 4-3, but I think Hansen+Mt Washington+Bruce > Mario+Dareus+KW+Hughes. No contest at safety, sgt schultz and henry jones over AW and Searcy. Current starting CBs have the edge over 99, even though the rookie Antoine Winfield stepped in for the injured Kenny Irvin late in the season. That was a Super Bowl defense, had it not been for the forward pass.... -
Some interesting #s based on D-rankings by Points or Yds per game: In the first half, the Bills have played 6 teams in the top half of the D rankings and 2 in the bottom regardless of whether one chooses ppg or ypg. Points Top half: Det, SD, Hous, Mia, MInn, Pats; Bottom half: Chi, Jets Yards Top Half: Jets move into the top half and Hous into bottom. In the second half, it only gets slightly easier, as there are 5 teams in the top half and 3 in the bottom. Points top half: KC, Den, Mia, Pats, Clev; Bottom half: GB, Oak, Jets YPG top half: Jets and Cleveland swap. There is no equivalent difference in the O stats--8 teams are in the top half and 8 in the bottom. So, based on D stats at the half way point (for the Bills), 11 teams rank in the top half of the league and 5 in the bottom. That's a tough schedule.
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Clearly they did not survey this site.... http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/features/2014-10-27/the-nfls-most-republican-and-democratic-fan-bases
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When Kiko comes back, what's your plan for our LBs?
TPS replied to JÂy RÛßeÒ's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think you hit the nail on the head there. They will most likely let him slowly adjust back by limiting plays for 2-3 weeks. -
someone posted in another thread that we might be looking back at the Houston game and saying "what if?" I think you make a good point to counteract that line of thinking. As you state, it led to Orton starting, and it is that loss and ensuing decision which will most likely put the Bills in position to contend for a spot in the last quarter of the season. Here's what I think has to happen in the second half for the playoffs to become reality: 1. Win all 4 home games--KC, Jets, Cleveland, and Green Bay. All are possible given home field advantage. 2. Split the 4 road games--Miami, Denver, Oakland, and New England. This will most likely be easier than the #1 with Miami and Oakland as Ws. This outcome puts them at 11-5 and in the playoffs (my sig line btw).
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Certainly this kind of notoriety will be enough to prevent him from doing something stupid like this again.
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Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
no, he's definitely an idiot now...The main driver of cap gains revenues has been the change in CEO pay, which has caused them to focus on short term manipulation of prices. http://cdn1.valuewalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Client-Day-2014-Transcript-Stephen-Mitchell.pdf -
If the Team plays like they did last week, forget it. They need to show they are a playoff contender this week. Spikes will have to earn his pay this week, and I'd expect we'll see more manny Lawson in place of Hughes.
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Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
corporations don't pay cap gains taxes. All of their income is taxed as ordinary. Here's an alternative analysis for you. http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&id=1286 -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
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Guess the Bills 1st play from scrimmage
TPS replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
WR screen. -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
One more time, there is no tax differential regarding gains and income for corps. The fact that they try to shield any type of income from taxation is independent of the fact that investors face a tax differential. The focus is on the personal tax side because that's where cap gains matter. The issue is whether that tax differential on the personal income side has any impact on corporate decisions to invest in productive assets and therefore influence economic growth? If the cap gains differential has no impact on economic growth, then in reality it is simply a way to allow investors in brackets > than the cap gains rate to pay lower taxes overall. Since it will make Tasker happy, we'll call it an incentive to invest in growth stocks over income stocks, since taxes by design do create incentives and disincentives. Chef claims it's a reward for risk-taking, but the reward for risk-taking is built into risk premiums on investments. In reality, the tax is an "incentive" for investors to put their money into assets that appreciate vs assets that pay some form of income. There is very little evidence that higher stock prices directly fuel increases in productive investment; rather, I would argue that it is increases in investment (which for corporations is mainly financed by internal funds or bonds) that generate higher earnings which fuel higher stock prices. GG argues that somehow the cap gains rate on personal income fuels M&A activity; but as Chef pointed out, the rate was increased via ACA and one would expect that increase to cause a decrease in M&A activity, but it hasn't. There are obviously other reasons for M&A activity as Jauronimo pointed out. As Gman has tried to argue, the cap gains rate also allows "the rich" to pay lower taxes than the tax on wages (as Warren Buffett tells us). Managers paid with stock options pay a lower tax on their "salary income" than workers, and many argue the incentive of managers paid with stock options create a focus on short term profitability over long term viability. Private equity partners are also given this tax break over income with the carried interest distinction. So, the issue, if the lower cap gains rate for individuals who own shares of stock doesn't create greater economic growth, then why should there be a tax differential? As I said in another post, if the government is trying to create an incentive for risk-taking that creates growth and jobs, then focus the tax breaks directly on those who make decisions to invest in productive capital and hire people, not indirectly for those who own pieces of paper... -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I'm not sure what you're talking about. What is "full tax bore"? Since they only face one tax rate on income, and gains are taxed as ordinary income, there is no distortion like there is for investors' and cap gains. -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Correct me if I'm wrong, but corporations don't pay cap gains,right? Their gains are paid at ordinary income rates.That's the issue that "my friends" here are arguing, the capital gains differential is a subsidy to investors to invest in growth over income (dividend) stocks. If the purpose is to create an incentive for businesses to expand their productive investments, it's a very weak transmission mechanism. While it's a boon to investors, it doesn't really impact the investment decision (which is based on expected sales and profit growth) as I've argued. I would think that a better incentive would be to directly subsidize the investment spending by firms. In reality, the cap gains subsidy is a subsidy for those who invest...the rich... -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Right, which proves the point. Unless you want to say that the increase is what's fueling M&A...? -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The only disagreement (and it relates to GG's comment) is there are many reasons for the M&A activity. I am wrong to focus only on the competitive aspect, but I think we can all find examples of mergers that support our cases. One of the big headliners has been the tax motivation. To bring it back to the original point I made, the capital gains tax provides investors with a tax advantage over income, and it has very little impact on productive investment, even if you want to include M&A activity. There has been no change in the tax, yet M&A activity is going through the roof, which has more to do with your first comment. -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Most M&A activity is driven by the urge to eliminate your competition and gain greater control over the market. In fact, I'd venture to say that investment in real assets probably declines after M&A activity which creates greater market concentration and less competition. While a single firm has "grown" via a merger, the industry has not. If the purpose of the capital gains tax is to promote economic growth through rewarding risk-taking by businesses, mergers that reduce competition certainly don't fuel economic growth. And, if the point is that lower cap gains taxes promotes higher stock prices, that certainly doesn't provide an incentive for M&A activity. Regarding your last point, that's what I said--stock prices are driven by profits/earnings. But Investment is driven by expectations of greater sales and earnings. No firm invests unless they think they can realize those higher earnings. -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Any company that relies on investor confidence for its investment policy won't last very long. I'm not ignoring the link in stock prices and investment; I'm saying that it has very little (almost no) impact. The most important variable influencing the decision to invest in productive capital by corporations is growth of internal funds/profitability. Any link between stock prices and investment is mostly a consequence of how stock prices are influenced by growth in sales and profits. Hey, I thought I was the pompous ass!? I've worked very hard at it. I'll never become #1--the bar is set toohigh here, but surely I should be ranked 2nd? -
There is no way the Bills can win this game if they play like the team that's shown up the past two weeks--bad penalties, poor O-line play, and turnovers. All of these suggest a poorly coached team. Geno tends to play better at home as well. The Bills' offense could be dynamic if the O-line could pass protect and create holes for the RBs. If it doesn't happen this week, the only way the Bills can win is if Schwartz's D keeps the Jets to < 13 points. I doubt the offense will breakout against the Jets D. The Bills lose 20 - 13.
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Kraig Urbik appears to have been freed
TPS replied to The Big Cat's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
since the main problem for the left side of the line appears to be stunts, which means speaks to communication and experience issues between Glenn and Richardson; it remains to be seen if Urbik's experience from his days at RG translate to better play and communication at LG. -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
As you stated, there are larger rewards for those who take risks. Adding a tax incentive for "risk-taking" is a matter of public policy, not the reward for taking that risk--that's built into the risk premium on any investment. Also, there is a significant distinction between investment by companies vs investing in companies. Buying shares of stocks has almost no impact on the decision of firms to invest in real capital. -
Wealth Inequality Hurting Economy (duh)
TPS replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Here are a couple takes on how inequality impact economies:http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2010/12/pdf/kumhof.pdf http://www.economonitor.com/nouriel/2011/10/17/full-analysis-the-instability-of-inequality/ -
Boobie slips out and is open in the last screen shot. Glad KO went to the guy with the best hands though.
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A Few Thoughts About The Game, in no particular order.....
TPS replied to Bill from NYC's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
no way they can beat the Jets playing like today. They got dam lucky, but you need luck in this age of parity. They will need some more next week. They have to be 5-3 going into the bye in order to have a chance for the post season.