Jags have a 69% chance of making the playoffs if they win tonight (538 playoff machine). And I believe they could do some damage in the playoffs too. I will officially place them in that second tier of AFC competitors after the last few weeks. Tier 1: Bills, Chiefs, Bengals. Tier 2: Jags, Ravens (if Lamar returns healthy), Chargers, Dolphins. Really, I don't see anything separating any of those teams from any of the others. (I also don't see much separation between the Tier 1 teams. We don't like to admit it, but it's more luck (injury and otherwise, than anything else at this point)