jeffismagic

I liked Tre White.

Bills got fleeced. Not even a special talent.

Underwhelming.

Let's trade up for Cooper Kupp next. Get all the Senior stat compilers.

Scouting friend thinks Holmes better than Zay Jones this year. Maybe Zay overtakes at some point.

Friend texted Bills collecting non athletic smart guys.

Bills have a coach drafting to fill needs. This is what happens.

Not good asset management. Godwin still on the board.

Marrone smirked.

I hope Bills don't take Zay Jones.

You didn't like what the numbers said so you went data fishing. Every team will play other teams during the year with injuries, backups, etc.

Players I Like: Chris Godwin, WR Tim Williams, EDGE Joe Mixon, RB

Do you remove random games for the offense as well? How would that affect points per game?

I heard Chiefs in on him.

I have a bet going that the Bills will take Chad Kelly. If I lose my avatar will be changed anyway.

Great post. The people who were pushing the bad class narrative now claim the NFL teams are wrong, not their crappy draft analysis or mock draft from February.

So your entire post was to demonstrate that a QB taken 10th should have QB's drafted at the end of the 1st round in his data set instead of QB's drafted at 9, 8, or 7. Well, I disagree with the usefulness of those numbers. Then we have to go to your decision to make the success rate based on hitting on a franchise QB. That can be subjective and you really need to show your work as to what you think a successful outcome would be. I like what you are trying to do here but in order for it to be accepted more work needs to be done.

So you moved the goalposts. You liked the 10th and later numbers better instead of inside the top ten numbers. You do realize the 10th pick could be either. The 10th pick is, by definition, inside the top ten.

Your math is off. You said QB's taken top ten have a 8/24 chance for success. That is 1 out of 3. So you said the other side is 6/7, which is 85%. No. The other side of 33% is 66%. Then you use wrong percentage as your opening header. Maybe change that to using a top ten pick on a QB in the top ten has a 33% chance of very high success. I like those odds. Give me QB at ten and if that isn't a franchise guy I take another shot the next year with a top ten. Thanks for providing a great argument for using a high top ten pick on the QB position.

So Sean, any bad picks you make are on me, no charge.

16th. Middle of the road.

Well said. Mario has never been replaced and Shaq can never be that level. I do think Dareus will be great this year but Hughes is more of a question mark. He didn't play well last year and needs to be healthy.

Even 2004 that was the best of the last 20 years only had 3 guys. The 4th was JP Losman.

I think Sal is just trying to justify it. Notice McDermott simply answered a leading question. Coaches don't like drafting and developing QB's. That's the problem with having the coach run the draft room.

Why do people assume they are going to draft a QB next year? I think Tyrod is brought back again in 2018. That is the actual plan.