strive_for_five_guy
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Posts posted by strive_for_five_guy
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1 minute ago, boyst said:
ahh, i missed it and thought it was week 8 not 10/8.
in that case i'd guess our bye week is week 6.
perhaps it is week 7 and 8 we play nfce
I do like the spreadsheet to help consolidate everything 😎, thanks for doing that and sharing.
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4 minutes ago, boyst said:
The Bengals rumor I do not know if I buy even though it is Sal. The week following a London game to play on the road in a big matchup is ridiculous.
The NFC games I heard through grapevine we are getting 3 of them in the first half, and in October so I am drawing at straws. If I were a betting man the Bills play the Giants late in the season so I am betting the Bucs come visit us early and we go visit the Eagles early. but I have only heard NFCE are on our schedule early.
Jax is on 10/8.
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13 minutes ago, May Day 10 said:
Week 18 @ Dolphins
If true, sounds like a great winter getaway trip.
36 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:So Bills likely have 3 Away Night games thus far
@NYJ WK 1@CIN WK 9 or 10
@ KC WK 12
Plus playing Jax in London; We gotta have at least two home night games, don’t we? -
1 minute ago, PatsFanNH said:
That’s good for the Bills get them early before Rogers has rhythm with the receivers..
Or you could look at it like Rodgers will be fresh to start the year and it’s good for the Jets. Good litmus test for both teams to start the year though.
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28 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:
Who the fook is that guy?
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40 minutes ago, RalphWilson'sNewWar said:
They are really overdue to do that for Dolphins/Bills.
2023 Almost has to be
Dolphins at Bills in Sept/Oct
Bills at Dolphins in Dec
Both the players and us fans deserve a warmer weather game next Dec…let’s go NFL!
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2 hours ago, Freddie's Dead said:
Why at this point does anyone care about Muffquez?
Wanted a distraction from those concerned about Josh’s fashion choices.
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On 12/16/2022 at 12:00 PM, FilthyBeast said:
Because if another WR we chose to dump in the favor of keeping a worthless bum like McKenzie on the roster at all costs produces elsewhere it puts Beane and this coaching staff under a bigger microscope.
Now is Beane’s chance to swoop back in:
https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2023/05/09/browns-waive-marquez-stevenson/amp/
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Who might have the least hope? Pats* fans*?
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1 hour ago, 78thealltimegreat said:
People honestly think this is actually going to workout for the Jets.
This has a 2021 Denver Broncos vibe to it.
Wonder what Clay Matthews is up to these days I know Aaron fixed his garbage disposal two years ago.
Cobbs is washed up IMO, but Rodgers is going to have as good a surrounding team as he’s maybe had in his career. I’m thinking the Jets are going to be a different animal than a Tua or Russell Wilson led team. Hope I’m wrong. -
If he weren’t feeling so tense these days, he likely wouldn’t have the urge to drive so fast. On the bright side, this should earn him a raise with the Browns.
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23 hours ago, Hermes said:
After the season ended it appears that Brandon Beane asked himself how can I make this team better; and decided that we're going to live and die by our offense. (You only need to stop them once if they can't stop you at all)
With 2 projected o-line upgrades, an upgrade to the 3rd receiving option, and more speed and size added to the wide receiver room. The Bills are looking in prime position to do improve what was last year a top 5 offense.
With that said, the aforementioned facts got me thinking about how the Bills offense projects out this year, statistically speaking.
Based on the past few season averages and some (probably incorrect) projections on my part, the floor for Josh Allen is set at 5,000 yards passing and ~50 tds.
I'm not entirely sure what to think of the Bills ground game this year so I'm not going to touch on that.
Diggs 115 1400 10
Davis 60 1000 8
Kincaid 40 400 5
Shakir 40 500 3
Knox 50 500 8
Cook 25 200 5
Shorter 10 150 1
Harty 30 450 4
Sherfield 15 200 2
Hines 10 85 1
Morris 10 115 1
Allen
450 5000 48
(P.S. A huge thanks to the resident draft experts here on TSW. I love reading all of your insight and getting to know the prospects better through your work.)
Thanks for the thread. Given the new additions, I think you’re a little heavy in terms of production for Diggs, Davis & Knox, and overall TDs. With the new mouths to feed and younger players developing (Cook, Shakir), I’d see some of the vets’ getting relief in targets. But who knows, could open some of them up more instead! Will be interesting to see where Dorsey wants to go with this offense.
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11 minutes ago, TBBills Fan said:
big bodies bode well for undersized fast Linebackers!
Who needs linebackers if the RB can’t get past our D-line? 😎
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57 minutes ago, DasNootz said:
Every season you think you're a better team after the draft... we cut waste and have some shiny new toys. We don't know if the new toys are any better than our old toys at this point - they only have more potential because we already knew the others were replaceable.
I suspect with a few injuries, we'll be around the same place we were last season. That said, I think the Jets are clearly better than they were last season. The Patriots aren't likely better. I don't think Miami will be better because I think they outplayed their quality last year.
One thing I’ve always struggled to factor in is players aging. Early in a career, you hope that a player will see jumps in their play relative to prior season (a guy like Rousseau). At the other end of the spectrum, it’s not unreasonable to assume that other guys’ performance starts to trail off due to age and injury (Morse, Diggs, Miller, Poyer, Hyde, White, etc.). I’m definitely optimistic about the off-season moves, but one can’t just assume that all returnees will be able to play at the same level as last season as well. -
Big picture we were 13-3 last year, played flat against the Bengals. The off-season moves coupled with our QB should continue to position this team as an AFC favorite and threat to win it all. Only time will tell final outcome of 2023.
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Davis averaged over 6/game in 2022, Knox just over 4/game. Don’t see Knox surpassing Davis in 2023 now that we have Kincaid, and Kincaid will be lucky to have more targets than Knox given that he is a rookie and will be new to the offense. A Davis injury is the only thing that should keep him from being #2 in targets again.
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34 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:
I went back and looked at my spreadsheet big board for us and I see that I had him as a mid round pick potentially for us.
So I'm upset with myself for being upset haha
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18 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:
More physical and bigger
O'Cyrus 6'5 340
Kincaid 6'4 245
Shorter 6'4 230Shavers 6'6 215
Murray 6'3 230
Harris 5'11, 215 but plays very physical
Even some of the defensive adds like Rapp and Dorian are known for being physical too. Adding physicality appears to be a theme.
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48 minutes ago, hondo in seattle said:
I partially agree. The best players should be on the field, and our best 11 only includes one LB.
But that doesn't mean we run a 4-1-6. Running a 4-3-4 gives us 3 LBs close to the line of scrimmage to make tackles. In other words, it gives the offense one more second-level guy they need to successfully block on running plays (compared to our base 4-2).
I've wondered about this, too: since Rapp is reportedly a solid tackler, will we ever have him in the game with both Poyer and Hyde as some kind of safety/LB hybrid?
McD doesn't have an Edmunds-type guy to replace Edmunds. But he does have some tools - guys with interesting skill sets. You hate for your D to be predictable, and I think McD has the flexibility to mix it up a bit.
I’m intrigued by what his addition will. mean for this defense too. For instance, is he going to fill a pass coverage role that Tremaine was responsible for?-
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18 hours ago, BillsFan130 said:
I can’t see the bills playing a lot of 3 MLBs.
That would mean you’re playing more into your weakness (LB position) and taking off a good slot corner. (TJ)
Right, why would we play MORE 4-3, if our linebacker group is going to be weaker and we have guys like Taron, Siran and Rapp in the secondary? Going more 4-3, you put two question marks on the field as opposed to one.
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10 hours ago, Dablitzkrieg said:
Hopefully we can say ba-bye to Jones and Kumerow
First thought when I saw Shorter was ba-bye to Kumerow too.
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1 hour ago, FireChans said:
With Kincaid as OUR first round TE, I thought it would be useful to draw a historic comparison with the production that other first round TE's have made their rookie seasons.
Kyle Pitts - 68 rec 1026 yards 1 TD
TJ Hockenson - 32 rec 367 yards 2 TD
Noah Fant 40 rec 562 yards 3 TD
Hayden Hurst 13 rec 163 yards 1 TD
OJ Howard 26 rec 432 yards 6 TD
Evan Engram 64 rec 722 yards 6 TD
David Njoku 32 rec 386 yards 4 TD
Eric Ebron 25 rec 248 yards 1 TD
Tyler Eifert 39 rec 445 yards 2 TD
At first glance, woof. Obviously the 2 notable productive TE's, Engram and Pitts stand out. But both were heavily targeted, 115 for Engram and 110 for Pitts. When looking at the Bills offense, Knox (who will likely remain TE1) has averaged ~57 targets per year. Assuming Diggs/Davis/Knox are receiving the lion's share of targets again (which they should be), what do you all think is a reasonable expectation for the rookie next year?
I would be pleasantly surprised with a 40 catch 400 yard couple TD season. I am expecting closer to 30-300.Obviously rooting for him to be Travis Kelce/Mark Andrews/George Kittle born again as a rookie. But the history of the position doesn't support that being the case.
If Kincaid puts up these stats, I’d be happy with it. Knox didn’t even put up those stats his first two seasons. There’s other mouths to feed in this offense. Kincaid hopefully adds another dimension that also helps boost the rest of the offense too. -
1 hour ago, billieve420 said:
Also need to factor who is throwing the ball to those guys. Allen has given career years to number of WRs who have came here. In a pass heavy offense they will have chance to post better numbers than their previous teams.
^This. If Josh was throwing to any of us on this board, we’d put up some numbers too. Doesn’t mean we belong in the NFL.
Schedule Release - Rumors & Leaks
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
This schedule is awesome. Bye week late in season when we’ll need it, right before we play the Chiefs too. Lots of primetime games as well. Definitely looks tough but let’s go!