
BADOLBILZ
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Everything posted by BADOLBILZ
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Gronk and Watt are HOF'ers who have put up unbelievable numbers and incredible plays around those injuries. This is sorta' like the guy in this thread saying "the average player misses 2 games every year" for comparison and not noting that the average player makes $3M per year(not $11M) and that the median salary in the league is less than $1M. Like I said.........I expect this to end up being a 2 year $28M deal when they let him go after the 2022 season. Which isn't as bad as the situation they have with Star Lotuelei but it's a lot like the situation they are in with Mario Addison........who they probably need to cut and will have cost them $14M for one season.
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One of the big excuses made for the Bills defenders by film heads like those at Cover 1...........regarding LB play in particular.........is that they have become very predictable in the back 7. If Milano were playing in a multiple defense........whether it be a Belichick scheme or even a Wade Phillips type..........then I would say that there is much to gain from maintaining that experience so that they can use very different game plans from week to week based on the opponent. In this defense.........it's reasonable to question if the bang for the buck is there with just running back the same players in the same coverages that they've put on tape for the past 70 games. It was pretty clear that the Chiefs had totally dissected the Bills defense on film before they met in that AFCCG. It was as if they barely put the tape on for Cleveland. They knew who they were going to be facing. The fact that they could be pantsed so badly in their SECOND meeting of the year.......with all the money and draft picks they have invested in that defense......said a lot.
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He missed the first McDermott playoff game with a hamstring injury........so he was available for 4 of 5. The flip side of just saying how many games he was available to play is that he suffered a broken leg in 2018 that would have caused him to miss an entire season if it happened on opening day. He suffered a torn pec that is generally an 8 week injury and often just a season ending trip to IR as well. As a result he played just 31% of the regular season defensive snaps in 2020(equivalent of just over 5 games for an every down LB).
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I used years 2-3-4 for Davis because Milano didn't start much his rookie year either. He was elevated above Humber......started 3 games, popped a hamstring in the fourth and that was it....his rookie season was over due to injury. I didn't use the years AFTER because Milano hasn't played those years yet.......but yes it's possible that he will become less durable as he starts to actually accrue some snaps. To put his lack of action in perspective......every down LB CJ Mosley played 2100 snaps his first 2 seasons in the NFL.......Milano has played just 2400 in 4 seasons........he is very low mileage and yet he already has a track record for injury. I like Milano........*maybe* he gets smarter about how to protect himself without losing his effectiveness..........but I'd say that's less likely than him continuing to miss a lot of snaps to injury.
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If you want to make a point just spit it out, captain suspense. The numbers spell it out. In Thomas Davis' years 2,3 and 4 he averaged nearly 95% of Carolina's defensive snaps. Milano obviously nowhere near that. In 6 of his 8 seasons Luke Kuechly played over 900 snaps. Milano hasn't done that once in 4. He literally played the equivalent of 5 regular season games worth of snaps in 2020. Availability is an issue with Milano. Fact.
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It started soon after he was elevated to the starting position in December of 2017...........he pulled a hamstring in the Miami game and missed the wildcard game in Jacksonville........unfortunately they lost that game so he didn't get to miss the other games he would have had he sustained THAT soft tissue injury in-season. In the past 3 years he's missed 10 full games........he sustained an injury and missed time in 3 others............and was on a snap count with his shoulder in a sling in others. He played only 31% of the Bills defensive snaps this year. He's a safe bet to miss 6-8 games and large parts of others over the next two seasons.
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What makes you think they are in on Hendrickson? I really liked him coming out and had reluctantly decided I would be glad to get him with pick #91(he was raw but just had such a high ceiling)...........but alas they listened to Phil McGeoghan and sent that pick to the Rams to trade up for that bust Zay Jones.
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Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
You are pretty much alone in thinking RB's drive the results in the NFL anymore............the hill you are defending is a mole hill. Leonard Fournette was supposed to be a generational RB...........for his career he gives you 3.9 yards per carry.........well below the league average per rushing play. Devin Singletary has averaged 4.8 ypc over his first 2 seasons.........maybe you should worry less about where the guy was drafted and the 40 time he ran at his pro day and more about the production that player gives the team when they have to sacrifice a passing play that would average around 8 yards by running the ball in the name of balance. -
I was not in favor of paying Milano around $10M per year..........there are positions where they are going to need to fill on defense with players who don't make that kind of money. Being that they spend more money than any team in the NFL on defensive lineman and have a $15M CB and two safeties making in the $8M range........an injury prone weak-side, non-pass rushing linebacker seemed like a logical place to show some fiscal austerity. I think that was almost universally agreed upon. He was not expected back. This also means that they aren't as likely to get a chance to see if they can upgrade MLB between now and Edmunds $15M option year in 2022.......though it is still likely that Milano will miss a lot of games and that may lead to more of Klein on the field and more flipping of responsibilities which could maybe put Edmunds in a better position to make plays and eventually be moved to WLB. I think, as reported, they were just surprised that Milano was willing to take less than they thought and they made a dubious decision and spent money they should have slotted for the offense or at least for pass rush help. Nowhere near Beane's worst UFA move but a lot of dead money walking, IMO. It will probably end up being like a 2 year $28M deal by the time Milano's lack of availability becomes intolerable.
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Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Etienne wasn't that same dynamic guy last year...........he's put on a ton of mileage in college........his yards per rush dropped from 7.8 to 5.4. His career ypc for 4 seasons was still 7.2........so that's how much of a drop he made in 2020. Keep in mind that nowadays the greatest athletes don't gravitate toward the RB position............we aren't getting the Walter Payton's at RB anymore........those guys are at WR or on defense now.........what is left for the RB position are a bunch of dudes who just don't stand up to the punishment. It used to be you could draw a line at 30 for when good RB's would hit the wall. Now we are seeing guys like Todd Gurley flame out at 24 or Leveon Bell at 26. If you used to agree about RB's........you should agree even more now. -
Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
17 Lombardi's? You are living in the past ol' timer. Terrell Davis was the last guy to lead the NFL in rushing and win the SB that season. That was more than a generation ago. He was drafted in round 6. You can find RB's all over the draft. And the Bills actually shut down Henry in that game.......his worst of the regular season.............and while he rushed for 2,000 yards........all you gotta' do to take him out of the game is get a 2 touchdown lead. It's not a running back league anymore. -
Thoughts on a Marquise Goodwin reunion?
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He was a conniving little prick..........he told scouts he wouldn't try to make the Olympic team........lying so that he could get drafted early...........pocketed that bonus and then played the Bills like a fiddle to finance his "hop" dreams........and their wasn't much they could do about it. Cutting him would prove nothing because his salary wasn't much different than the NFL minimum so he would have just caught on with another team that wanted that speed. They had to keep him and hope he would try to play up to his impressive talent. The topper was when he practicing hurdles on Instagram at midseason when he was on IR. I derived great satisfaction when he fell on his face at the trials after doing zero football training for almost a year(he refused to even work out in shorts at OTA's). Watching him labor thru that 2016 season...........out of shape and with his contract leverage totally gone..........desperately trying to play well enough to earn a second contract. It was so rewarding after watching him screw the team for 3 seasons. He's a great talent but I can't see that ***** putting his body on the line again for league minimum. -
Autry reminds me a bit of 80's-90's freakshow Jumpy Geathers. He was more known for his signature "forklift" move........which he used on Jim Ritcher to record the first sack of Jim Kelly in that SB XXVI sh*tshow........Autry probably has better hand use though.......same kind of presence on the interior and very similar production.
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Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The wingspan like Yao Ming with the arm length of Tre White. From what I've seen of him he will be spending a lot of time on the ground so at least he should be able to get himself back upright without any help. -
Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Am I being trolled with these softball questions or what? Can't tell because it's too ridiculous. Damien Williams was an undrafted free agent by the Dolphins back in 2014. He's just a guy.........but he was more productive per carry for the Chiefs in 2018 and 2019 then Clyde Edwards Helaire was in 2020. So, so much for the huge upgrade using a #1 pick on a RB. Regarding Fournette......the rule isn't not to pick up first round draft picks off the scrap heap for peanuts.............it's not to be the dumb*ss that uses a first round pick on them in the first place. Fournette had some great measurables coming out but for all that extra juice he was supposed to bring he's been a below average producer for his career. The average carry in the league goes for over 4.2 yards........Fournette has a 3.8 figure, which is what he ran for last season on a super-team as well. -
The whole " fair weather fans" terminology comes from people who only come to the games when the conditions are accommodating. Where are your season tickets again? Nothing wrong with being a tv viewing only fan but don't start throwing around the insults about buy-in when you ain't buyin'.
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Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
1) They WON the Super Bowl the year BEFORE selecting that RB. 2) He had the same ypc as Devin Singletary last season (4.4) and he was a non-factor in the playoffs. 3) Now the Chiefs just cut their two starting tackles and are letting their starting center walk in UFA.........they could have made better use of that late but still premium pick. RB's are a bad investment. -
Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I felt that way early in the season but not now. And I didn't love the reps at the Senior Bowl. -
Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I watched every Clemson game this year and Etienne looked like he'd already lost something. He went from 7.8 ypc down to 5.4 ypc and seemed to just not be able to blow by that first tackler like he had early in his career. I wasn't impressed. -
Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
They won't be SB caliber for long if they draft for need and ignore positional value. I was thrilled when the Chiefs took CEH in round 1 last year........RB availability does not move the Vegas line for a reason. As fun as it is to see a RB who can break a few long ones and average over 5 yards per carry..........your average pass attempt should be 7-8 yards if you have a good QB. Handing the ball off is not your best play as much as it is just a necessity to do a certain % of the time.........and that fraction of a yard difference between an average one and an outstanding one just isn't that impactful over the course of a season. -
Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That vert is bad for Etienne and Rodgers.........Allen's placement on passes to RB's is not one of his better attributes........and Singletary(35" vert) has a bigger catch radius than Etienne. -
Brandon Beane at Clemson pro day
BADOLBILZ replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If they make the wrong decision and take a running back early I hope they at least don't put the process on "Bills embedded" like when Beane hungrily jumped up for Cody Ford. Passing on DK and AJ (oh and Elgton Jenkins @Logic) was bad enough. This isn't 1988.......taking a RB early is a BAD play.- 116 replies
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Dawkins and Glenn turned out to be solid, top half of league left tackles..........but indeed, they could have been All Pro level guards.........so let's not lump that in with the Duke Williams to TE talk. As for Edmunds.......he was an OLB at VA Tech and that's where he should have stayed. See the difference between Haason Reddick this past season as an edge versus him playing off the ball more. He went from cut candidate to franchise tag candidate. I agree on Butler though. And IMO they basically held auditions for the 1T position during the season and Butler was the only one who did what was asked of him.........which was mostly about "want-to" because even an undersized 3T could give you some quality snaps at DT1T with the heavy rotation they were using. Butler took one for the team.......he had to know a Lotulelei-esque stat-line wasn't going to be good for his financial bottom line.