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section122

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Posts posted by section122

  1. 7 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

    I think Miami loses next week and Buffalo wins and therefore survives the season longer than Miami.    But it's too early to even be taking victory laps because nobody cares who wins divisions........it's how you finish the season.    If Miami advances beyond Buffalo they will have the last laugh.

     

    Case in point, 1995 when the Bills physically battered and swept the Colts and won the division..........only to lose decisively in the divisional round and have to watch the Colts nearly pull off a miracle in the AFCCG and advance to the SB.    Quentin Coryatt dropped a would-be game sealing INT........and then after giving away the lead this happened:

     

     

     

    Wild thatin the 90s a hail mary was from the 30 and also wild how much arc he had to put under that ball to get it there lol

    • Agree 1
  2. 2 hours ago, Nextmanup said:

    Don't think (and certainly hope so as well) that Brady has earned the spot already.

     

    The odds of the best man available for the position just happened to be already on staff in Buffalo are about ZERO.

     

    But b/c of McDimwit who will always put himself and his career ahead of all other things, he'll want to retain someone like Brady b/c he won't offer any opposition to MCDimwith in the locker room.

     

    There will probably be a good OC become available....hire that a guy.

     

    There could be firings concerning teams in the playoffs. Give it some time.

     

     

     

    The day after winning his 4th straight afc crown and you come out with mcdimwit....

     

    Which you then later on mispell.

     

    Then you advocate possibly hiring a fired oc because you know, people get fired for performing well....

     

    Woof.

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  3. 12 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said:

    He had more than a good enough roster in 2021.  The inconsistencies of this team year to year is infuriating.  Find the reason why we lose to lesser teams (NYJ, NE, Denv) and maybe McDermott's legacy will be fulfilled?  Josh's issues lie somewhere between McD and his own lack of execution.  

     

    The reason we lost to lesser teams is bc it's the nfl.

     

    In the afc: 

    Dolphins lost to the titans

    Steelers lost to patriots and cardinals

    Chiefs lost to the raiders

    Browns lost to the broncos

    Texans lost to the panthers

     

    This narrative needs to be put to bed that only the Bills lost to lesser teams.

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  4. 57 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:

    It is rather amazing to consider that Titans Miami game might end up being the only reason we have a chance. Unreal. 

     

    Even crazier if the dolphins had won they would have the 2 and division locked and prob wouldn't be trying tonight.  That was a big domino.

  5. 8 hours ago, stevestojan said:

    I am a HORRIFIC gambler. I would lose a bet on how many times a broken clock was right in a day. 
     

    So, to take one for the team, I put $250 on 3-team money line parlay for Jags, Steelers, Dolphins. There’s zero chance I win. The payout is $1,374. 
     

    So, in summary, I just paid $250 for the Bills to make the playoffs. (And yes, to hedge the emotional breakdown with a grand to have fun with if the worst happens). 
     

    I didn’t say I was emotionally healthy. 
     

     

     

    FullSizeRender-compressed.jpeg

    I really like this and don't know why I didn't think to do it before!

     

    I used to do this with the local bookie for the patriots winning the super bowl so either they lost and I was happy or they won and I at least had some pocket change.

     

    Edit: I just put my $20 on it

  6. On 12/6/2023 at 12:34 AM, just1hugheser said:

     

     

    not necessarily, think about it, the bills were supposed to be a contender this season right?  well they just took one of the best teams in the nfl to overtime at their house and were whipping them in the first half, then they lose in overtime after the miscommunication(lol) between josh and gabe and the defense literally lets them walk straight down the field(see orlovskys critique of that drive, short pass to the boundary short pass to the boundary short pass to the boundary like 5 plays ina row).  Now the Bills are in turmoil but are still good enough to play with the best in the league, I would almost guarantee that the Bills either win out or essentially lose out; we'll know this sunday against KC who also is supposedly not as good this year.  Guarantee KC loses to Buffalo to keep us in it and grow doubts about KC then we beat the cowboys and the chargers and if they want us in the playoffs we'll beat the pats and miami, or we'll beat the pats and lose to miami,  it keeps everyone involved while also supporting their other narratives while still allowing them to be flexible.

     

    On 12/6/2023 at 12:46 AM, just1hugheser said:

    denver got a lil run to make them relevant and to bring up the question of sean payton and his abilities, chargers will charger because brandon staley will be fired at the end of the year and then the chargers will be on the up and up with a sexy franchise qb and huge tv market.  Philly looks like its not invincible, kc looks like they are regressing, baltimore will be right there, the jags with trevor, houston with cj will make it, miami and/or buffalo will make it depending on if they want cleveland, pittsburgh, indy, or the broncos to make it, based on qbs and coaches id put the bills in front to get the 6th spot but if watson comes back to cleveland or tomlin or payton become the stories then their teams will make it in plus payton still has russ so id put it buffalo, denver, pitt to be likeliest to make the playoffs, guarantee the fins, ravens, chiefs and jags win their divisions then houston guaranteed one wild card with cj and buffalo likeliest to get the last spot and with that narrative of getting hot at the right time and everything with damar last year and all that coaching stuff with mcD they could decide to grease our path the super bowl in a re-match with philly or against san fran, either way we get crushed in the super bowl if they decide on that narrative to philly or san fran

     

    ***** save this post and re-visit in the following weeks so we can review the narrative*****

     

    Pretty well done... 2nd post has a lot of couching in it but the first one was bang on lol

     

    Hope you put some money on it!

     

     

    • Agree 1
  7. 2 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    100% this. The best teams get in position more often than not but there is so much varience that the deciding factor between which of the 6-8 teams each year with enough talent often come down to more luck than we'd like to admit I think.

     

    There is so much luck involved with winning a sb.  Having a great qb helps but isn't the guarantee so many want it to be.

     

    Chiefs get a ticky tack call to ice the game last year.  After they got a ticky tack call in the afc championship game to even get there.

     

    2 years before that the Bucs got to play the chiefs missing their 2 ots.

     

    Nick Foles catching lightning in a bottle.

     

    The seahawks not running beast mode from the 1 yard line.

     

    Denver bad snap on the first play leading to a seattle route.

     

    Baltimore getting beat up before the power went out.

     

    These are all just the super bowl games and just the last 11 years.  I didn't even include any of the games along the way with lucky breaks, favorable calls, or other funny bounces of an oddly shaped ball.

     

    • Like (+1) 2
  8. 3 hours ago, Irv said:

     

    Jets - I'm always leery of away teams.  Commanders?  Against the Cowboys???

     

     

     

    I've talked about a split but I've been doing a lot of trash talking on the pool's message board so the other guys aren't interested.  I'm considering the Bengals.  

     

     

    Belichick hates the jets.  I would be very leery taking them against the pats.

     

    Definitely not the commanders when a win for the cowboys clinches the division.

     

    All just imo of course lol

    • Like (+1) 1
  9. 11 minutes ago, BearNorth said:

    Philly canned Pederson within 3 years of WINNING a Superbowl with a backup QB.

     

    After he went 4-11-1 and refused to fire his oc.  That's a far cry from anything McD has done.

     

    Everytime this comes up I ask which year did the Bills lose in the playoffs with the better team? There isn't one.

     

    Allen is one of the top 3 qbs in the league.  The Bills have only lost to the other 2 top guys.

     

    At least 1 guy in the thread is being honest.  He hasnt moved past 13 seconds.  I feel everyone who wants him fired is in the same boat.

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  10. 16 hours ago, Logic said:

     



    Thank you both for the input.

    Thankfully, I put Nacua in my flex slot at the last minute. Would've been furious with myself if I didn't after last night's game.

    The Swift vs Montgomery conundrum remains. I'd normally lean Montgomery, but Gibbs has been eating into his red zone usage big time in recent weeks, and the VIkings have a brick wall of a run defense. Hmmm...

     

    Small but meaningful tip....

     

    Never use your flex for thursday night. I'm assuming your wrs are locked but just in case 1 were to get hurt randomly its always a good idea to just switch and leave yourself that flexibility.

     

    I hate to give advice on start sit experts favor swift but I favor montgomery lol

  11. 4 hours ago, Beck Water said:

     

    The thing is, judging from your body of work as a poster here, you would think McDermott can't get it done come playoff time even if he *could*

    You're the Bulletin Board posting embodiment of a Type II error**

     

    You have a 3 year record here of having all sorts of reasons (besides McDermott) why the Bills were going to lose.

    2020: "I see one playoff win and then we lose. Is this considered a successful season? "

    and: "The same logic can be applied to the Rams game and to some extent the New England game. Those were 2 games we should have lost. Refs bad PI call. Horrific fumble by Newton. Perhaps add in the raider game as well."

    2021: "What do you expect from a New England based reporter? The Bills weaknesses are on both sides of the lines. They got manhandled on the lines vs Pitt, Tenn, Colts, and Jags. The "soft" label isn't a unfair statement. We will see if the Bills can she'd this label and beat the Pats. "

    2022: "Miami has a much better roster than Buffalo. They have weapons galore on offense and a innovation modern day coach. The Bills aren't cruising past them for the division. It will be a dog fight likely to the end. The Bills have proven that can't beat KC or Cincinnati in the playoffs. This year is likely the same outcome. Both teams have tested and proven playoff winners. Mahomes and Burrow are clearly better than Allen come playoff time. Allen is not the Allen of 13 seconds in KC. That year and that game was an outliner. We haven't seen that version of Allen in 3 years and likely never will. We fans have to stop thinking that's the version of Allen we will get! Instead, we will get an inconsistent Allen. One who will make spectacular plays and bone head plays."

    and: (prior to the Dolphins game):"Bills are chasing the Dolphins early in the season. Could this be the changing of the guard with a Miami win?"

    and: (October 31) "AFC - Cinci. Burrow is elite. Big time weapons. Experienced team. NFC - Philly. They are just too good. Biggest surprises Bills miss the playoffs. Dolphins play in the AFC championship game."

     

    ---------------that's just a 5 minute sample without looking too hard.  I know there was "better" stuff to be found.---------------

     

    My points:

    1) You can't have it both ways.  If the Bills have had 13-3, 11-6, 13-3 records the last 3 years while having an inconsistent bonehead QB (whose 13 second game was an outlier) and while being weak on both sides of the lines and soft, then they must have a damned good coach to compensate.  And if all that's true (and there's some truth to it), maybe the problem isn't the coach.

    2) After a sufficient number of false negative opinions, it becomes clear that someone's negative views are relatively meaningless.  You were predicting doom and gloom and playoff losses or early exits back in 2020 (AFCCG year), way before McDermott had any track record to support "McD can't get it done come playoff time".  You may be right; you may be wrong, but you've been wrong enough that it's "eh".

     

    I'm not saying the Bills will go deep in the playoffs this year.  The injuries run deep on defense, I think we lack enough skill position talent on offense, and I'm not sure about Brady yet.  It's also possible that the negative take on McDermott is correct.

     

    I'm just saying that based on your track record here, your belief that McDermott can't get it done come playoff time should not be taken as evidence either way.

    **since I was asked: statistically, a Type II error is a false negative conclusion.

     

     

     

     

     

    Came with the receipts!

  12. 4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    Two seasons ago. $10m AAV two years ago is more like $12-13m AAV now and that us where I think he will end up, especially in a relatively thin market. There is Tee Higgins, Michael Pittman (I suspect Indy end up keeping him), Calvin Ridley and Mike Evans then Gabe is probably the next best outside receiver on the market. I know it is a strong draft but as vets go he is likely the 4th or 5th best option. 

     

    Someone will pay Gabe as a #2. It won't be the Bills. 

     

    I'm in agreement about pittman.

     

    I think evans stays in tb too.  He already has his ring and can be a career guy there.

    • Like (+1) 1
  13. 42 minutes ago, JohnNord said:

     


    McDermott deserves criticism but at least be fair.  To pretend he’s bad coach who just “lucked into Allen” is just not true.  

     

    I'm with you.

     

    To me there is a difference between criticism and the he has to go sentiment that is so prevalent right now.

     

    The Bills are in every game, competitively, and very rarely get blown out.  By nature you will lose some of those close ones.  Sometimes I wonder if people would be happier if the Bills did get blown out instead of losing heartbreakers as silly as that sounds.

     

    Everyone loves Mike McDaniel.  He just lost a game up 14 with less than 3 mins to go.  People this week are still pining for him.

     

    Sean payton lost by 50 earlier this year.  He had an absolute legend im drew brees he went 7-9 with 3 straight years.  People still want him.

     

    Ben Johnson is the hot coordinator name.  His offense scored 6 against the ravens, 14 against the chiefs, and 13 last weekend against the bears.  People are begging for him.

     

    McDermotts "down year" still has the Bills in the mix for the division title.  Still has a winning record.

     

    I feel like I'm taking crazy pills lately!

    • Agree 1
  14. 18 hours ago, Ray Stonada said:


    Plenty of people would be saying exactly that.
     

    If you think McDermott is a good in-game coach, I can’t help you.

     

    Our record shows blatantly that he is not. 
     

    He lucked into Allen.

     

    He has the highest win % of any Bills coach.

     

    He has the 5th highest win % of all active coaches.

     

    He has the 23rd best win % of all time.

     

    He was the coach that oversaw the drafting and developing of Allen.

     

    Give the man some damn credit sheesh.

     

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