Big Turk
-
Posts
31,542 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by Big Turk
-
-
2 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:
So they are getting better as the season goes on
I think it is def worthy to note that we have faced some very good offenses this year......
Also worth noting that we have faced 3 top 5 offenses in the timeframe of the improvements as well...so the improvements are coming against VERY GOOD offenses, not bottom feeders
-
1
-
-
5 minutes ago, NoHuddleKelly12 said:
Together with the angry runs he's capable of and punishing stiff-arms that are just as likely to take down the DL trying to tackle him, it's clear Josh is earning some well-deserved rep points as a baaaaaaaaad man!
Not to mention his prior ability to hurdle guys and pick up a fumbled snap and then overpower both a DT and LB to get a first down
-
1
-
1
-
-
5 minutes ago, WideNine said:
That's fair and good points. I think Miami is a bit more dangerous with Fitz back there now and I do think their defense has improved, but one should to take into account strength of schedule over the past few games.
More dangerous for both other teams and his own.
-
59 minutes ago, WideNine said:
What I have noticed is that we still get gashed like a hot knife through soft partially-melted butter (to loosely borrow from another poster who cracked me up in a game day thread) where an opposing team just marches down the field - especially noticeable when they are running no-huddle or 2 minute drills.
But game-day adjustments seem to happen more quickly, and be more effective. Not only during the game, I have seen a noticeable improvement of halftime adjustments. I have been pretty critical of Leslie being slow to adapt, but I think he is figuring out what the many new pieces in his defense can do and how to best use them; He has a better handle on his situational personnel packages, and they have sat some players that just were not getting it done and the reps by the backups have shed more light on what they do well.
Lastly we have gotten a bit more stingy on 3rd downs. Not that we rank where we need to be and we give up drives, but we have forced a few more punts than earlier in the year when I cannot remember other teams having to actually punt the ball - a bend don't break effort. I also think we have gotten better in the red zone. We have only moved the needle a bit statistically the first 8 games we were sitting at 61.36% opponents scoring (TD only) in the red zone, the last 3 games we have gotten that down to 58.33%.
We have also slightly increased our takeaways per game, but our offense needs to not return the favor
I am not that guy, but to get an idea of how Miami has improved over the season, over their first 8 games they were 60% opponents scoring in their red zone, their past 3 games they have improved to 40% - that is a significant jump. The Bills will need to take them very seriously as they do have a lot of talent on that young defense, but it was clear that they had not come together yet executing their schemes earlier in the year.
The last 3 games we played the 5th, 2nd and 3rd ranked offenses in the NFL in the Seahawks, Cardinals and Chargers. The fact our TD percentage allowed went down and not up is pretty astounding actually. Miami played the Chargers, Broncos and Jets. So they replaced playing the 2nd and 5th ranked offenses with the 27th and 32nd ranked offenses. And the Bills actually allowed fewer points to the Chargers than Miami did. Of course the Dolphins TD percentage should go down drastically because the other 2 teams they played that differ from us suck offensively.
This is why perspective is actually important when looking at statistics or you end up coming up with silliness like you just did.
-
2
-
2
-
-
3 minutes ago, MJS said:
Isn't Wentz the most sacked QB in the league? Maybe he is party of the problem, but he certainly isn't the biggest problem.
Wilson, Rodgers and Roethlesberger have been the most sacked QBs in the NFL also at various points...Wilson was last year actually...they didn't regress like Wentz
-
1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:
See I think there were signs of regression last year. And then suddenly when the playoffs were on the line he played great at the end of the year with a cast of nobodies but it all felt a bit desperate and I think he was making plays despite everything through his natural talent. I think his fundamentals are absolutely shot. I would be surprised if he ever looks like the QB he was in 2017 and 2018 again frankly.
I agree with this...it was kind of unsustainable some of the things he did at the end of last year...more like "however I have to get it done" type of stuff...almost like Allen in his rookie year.
1 minute ago, Man with No Name said:this is probably wishful thinking. head coaching opps might be once in a lifetime. you are only one terrible season away from no longer being considered a shining candidate. Maybe he doesn't leave for a sh!t job like the Jets or Detroit, but he will leave if given the chance at a promising opportunity.
i think
I agree...but that doesn't mean he will be a good HC...huge skill set difference between what you need to be a good OC/DC and a head coach...much of it has nothing to do with football.
-
I think Lawrence stays in school rather than be drafted by the Jets. Didn't Manning spurn them in this way as well years ago?
Also, Beane has some relatively easy methods to generate enough cap space to do whatever he needs to do in the offseason. Some big cap space players have relatively little dead cap space(like Butler and Jefferson) attached to them. One of these players likely is expendable when Star returns. In addition, there are some relatively easy targets for either pay cuts, restructures or cap maneuvering extensions.
This is a long way of saying Beane has plenty of flexibility to get whatever he wants done under the cap for next year.
Special Teams, I think we are good, but according to DVOA, Miami has the best special teams in the NFL at 10.2 and NE is actually 4th at 5.0. Bills are at 8th at 3.5, which is still very good but not quite up to NE or Miami. Sanders the K for the Dolphins has only missed 1 FG and been perfect on XP. Grant is the leading punt returner in the NFL, thanks to an 88 yard return for a TD against the Cards I believe. Hauck has been solid if not spectacular as a punter for them. Jets are terrible at -4.8 which is 28th.
-
3
-
-
What I was expecting even when they were not playing well early in the year...this D is too well coached and too talented to play that poorly all year. Had some new pieces they had to figure out how to best fit in there, and they have done a pretty good job as of late, especially with becoming a pressure defense.
As reported by Aaron Schatz at Football Outsiders:
-
2
-
2
-
3
-
-
11 minutes ago, InEnemyTerritory said:
Week 17 of 2018 against the Dolphins to close out the first half.
That's right...isn't that the game he came back in the 2nd half and went off on them for like 4 TDs?
-
A lot better than the Bills 2010 class where the highest Career AV is Arthur Moats taken in the 6th round with 21...most of that coming with Pittsburgh after leaving the Bills. His AV with the Bills was 9. What a terrible class that was...actually shocked to see that it was worse in terms of career AV than the amazingly bad 2000 draft class which was highlighted by Sammy Morris' 28, again, most of which after leaving Buffalo.
However, came across this, listing the worst draft classes of all time using DrAV from 2017...
Bills 2000 class ranks as 15th worst in NFL history(the only Bills draft class on the list) with a Total DrAV of 13...the 2010 class was good enough not to make the list. Actually...now that I look at it more closely, they are only taking the worst for each team and how they compare to each other....
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/19092546/stacking-worst-classes-nfl-draft-history
-
Also, in their entire draft class Edmunds is 6th in Career AV and Allen is 10th...pretty impressive. And that is before Allen's year this year which might catapult him to #1.
-
Very nice....and this won't even include the Diggs trade since he wasn't an FA but has added a huge amount of AV for this year...
I think sometimes it helps to see things in perspective compared to other teams when we might be upset that player X from round Z hasn't produced more, but then you start looking around the NFL and realize that we have done really well overall...
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, buffalo2218 said:
Out of all those coaches listed, how many of those are in their 4th year? Maybe Vrabel? Shanahan? Tomlin inherited a team that Bill Cowher built. Belichek wasn't exactly lighting things up in Cleveland. Reid I would say was naturally a good HC. Payton? Cmon dude, what you're leaving out is the majority of the coaches listed here had a TON of time to right the ship. In Tomlin's case, Pitt's FO did him a world of favors. But let's face it, Roethlisberger won't be around much longer, then what? We saw how good Tomlin was without him last year. Bellichek? The Pats are below .500 for the first time since I don't know when. Reid is still the best of all in the league IMO. It's only fair to be patient with what we have, because it will take longer than 4 years. Just the same tho, things are looking up. Rome wasn't built in a day
Tomlin has the 6th highest career winning percentage for coaches with more than 200 games at .658. His worst record as a head coach has been 8-8(3 times). He has won double digit games 9 times out of 14 seasons. Pretty sure while the FO might have helped, he is a damn good coach.
-
5 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:
To reiterate, Wentz actually played well last season, two years removed from Reich. The Eagles offense did reasonably well too despite real talent problems at the skill positions (12th in points, 14th in yards).
But even last year people were talking about that there was something wrong with him and that he wasn't playing well...I think this is a case of the stats not lining up with how he was actually playing.
-
1
-
-
Watching Wentz looking absolutely clueless this year and badly regressing makes me really wonder...how much was Reich responsible for his successes? It seems like he started downhill once Reich left and this year he has hit rock bottom...he may no longer be a starting caliber QB in this league.
And that is what I worry about with Allen a little bit...Daboll has been instrumental to his success and maturation into a star for us...how much would Allen regress(if at all) if Daboll leaves for a HC coaching job this offseason. There are expected to be a lot of opening, more so than any other year in recent memory perhaps, and Daboll has been a hot name for a year or two now.
-
2
-
-
4 minutes ago, CorkScrewHill said:
The difference of course is in one case Tyreek Hill is quoted as saying it by a reporter who would be at risk of losing his job if he makes it up and in the other some guy on an anonymous board claims to have spoken to Ed. Hmmm. It is a source credibility thing. On the bright side, even if Ed did think that I am certain he doesn't feel that way anymore given the on the sidelines Jerry Hughes emphatic declaration that Josh should be in the MVP conversation (he shouldn't be, but that shows the confidence the team has in him).
Some games he definitely would be in the discussion, others not so much. Still working on consistency but his floor has moved up tremendously since his rookie year.
Josh playing his worst game is still good enough to probably beat half the teams in the league of not more.
Also...as an aside...has Josh ever thrown a pick 6? I don't recall seeing one...some QBs have a tendency for those type of INTs like Winston(and Matt Schaub going back a while) and others never seem to have them happen...
-
Shouldn't this be posted on other fans message boards??
-
2
-
5
-
1
-
-
2 minutes ago, Motorin' said:
No one has really said it, but the one thing our wr core seems to be lacking is the bigger possession receiver that can be that security blanket. Bease ends up being that a lot out of the slot, and Kumerow's singing may end up being more for special teams. But I'd love for Josh to have that big target he can look to in the crunch.
Wouldn't Hodgins be that? 6'4" and some said he had the best hands in the entire draft.
-
1
-
-
The crazy thing is, every one of them has worked!
And not just worked, scored a TD. Very few teams scheme up trick plays that well...many times they are covered and we only get to see the highlights of the ones that actually worked.
2 hours ago, HOUSE said:This is a tricky thread, I am not falling for this....
Some of these plays are pretty awesome...would like to see Daboll try the one at the 1:33 mark of the video...
Best trick plays of all time(college and pro)
-
1
-
-
Apparently even dudes playing with him at first didn't think he was very good...
-
1
-
1
-
-
This year might see the most head coaches getting fired that I can remember in recent memory...not good for our chances of keeping Daboll as OC, or for that matter maybe even Frazier as DC.
-
3 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:
I just went by what the tweet said
If you see the title of the graph tho, it says "expected win probability LOST by kicking in go situations"
-
10 hours ago, YoloinOhio said:
So when they should go for it, they kick and it works out... I think that’s what this means
No what it says is the Bills are best at making decisions to go for it when they should and kick when they should based on his statistical models. This is a good thing.
-
1
-
-
37 minutes ago, Steptide said:
You really think McDermott woulda benched Josh if he got another taunting call?
It is a default ejection now by rule. They usually announce "This is the player's first penalty towards ejection from the game"
Week 12 Weds. afternoon football: Ravens at Steelers 3:40 pm Eastern
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted · Edited by matter2003
If Allen made that throw he would have gotten murdered for weeks for playing "Hero Ball"
Ben makes it and people will be making excuses and saying how he just had to get rid of it and there was nobody open.