Big Turk
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Posts posted by Big Turk
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36 minutes ago, y2zipper said:
In between the two games you mentioned, Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati by 16 in Jacksonville by 24, then had their schedule thrown off by covid. The picture of what Pittsburgh is is the fact that they've won 11 in a row and how hard that actually is to do. Where Buffalo catches a break is being the team that plays them the third and they are three games in 11-day stretch here.
what makes Pittsburgh very good and what makes them a team that shouldn't be ranked below too with Drew Brees out is the fact that they have won 11 in a row. In the 16 game season ERA, only 10 teams have started 11 and 0. Seven of them went to the Super Bowl.
They are a very good team, but they are not unbeatable. They usually don't blow teams out, and they have survived several late comeback attempts that just fell short(namely Tennessee and Baltimore's 1st game). They have played close games against bad teams as well.
Are they an overall better team than the Bills? Probably a little bit, but it isn't a huge gap like it used to be with the Patriots versus every other team in the league where they used to blow out other really good teams by 20 or 25 points every game.
Bills have a very legit shot to win that game, and I wouldn't necessarily call it an upset either. Especially with the Bills D rounding into form. Steelers are not some high powered offense. They do OK some games but they also struggle to move the ball in others.
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On 12/2/2020 at 9:46 AM, badassgixxer05 said:
Are donuts still on the table for Taron Johnson? 🤔
Probably not, the entire secondary has been much improved the last 5 weeks or so. Have a top 5 QB rating against, number of INTS and number of TD allowed during that time.
2 hours ago, HOUSE said:Isn't Hughes technically an OLB converted to DE?
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9 minutes ago, Patrick_Duffy said:
With Brown out it makes it that way sometimes. Also it appears they are trying to get the running game going. I'm not worried about the passing game at all really. I think they will be ok, with Brown out teams are going to focus on Diggs a lot more, but Beasley will still light it up.
I like that they don't need to be one dimensional to win. They can morph into anything on any given week.
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10 hours ago, Protocal69 said:
that’s what I kept trying to wrap my head around. Figured it was a typo
No type, you just missed the + and -. They went from +12.2 to -12.0 equating to a 24.2% difference, not a 0.2% difference. On defense, positive is bad for DVOA.
10 hours ago, Turk71 said:They moved 24 percentage points from positive 12 to -12, positive is bad for the defense. I don't know their methods but I have definitely seen improvement and the Bills sacks and takeaways combined since week 7 are behind only the Saints.
edit. didn't see matter2003 already pointed it out on previous page
Here is an abridged explanation, and if you want a very in depth one, click on the METHODS TO THE MADNESS link below:
DVOA: The main statistic used on Football Outsiders, DVOA breaks down the entire season play-by-play, comparing success on each play to the league average based on a number of variables including down, distance, location on field, current score gap, quarter, and opponent quality. While it can be used as a measure of total team performance, it differs from other power ratings found throughout the Web because it can be broken down to analyze team effectiveness in any number of ways: down, quarter, rushing vs. receiving, location on field, passes to backs vs. passes to receivers, and so on. Read the article METHODS TO THE MADNESS for more information. DVOA stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, although we use the same letters to refer to defensive rankings which are adjusted to take into account the quality of offensive opponents. When not adjusted for opponent, this stat is called VOA.
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36 minutes ago, djp14150 said:
Wentz hasn’t regressed...the team around him isn’t as good. He hasn’t had a stable OL group and starters are out.
Wentz 100% has regressed. His fundamentals are shot right now.
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Should have been the second time....if not for Allen winning Offensive Player of the week against Seattle, Klein easily gets it that week as well.
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56 minutes ago, Coach Tuesday said:
Apparently they went hard for DJ Reader and thought they had him in the bag - probably never even crossed their minds that they’d lose him to Cincy (!) - so I’m not sure what we’re seeing isn’t Plan B...
Maybe they went hard like Mayhem Maybin talked about in his song "I go hard, they go harder"
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6 minutes ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:
for us novices here; did they get better, did a lot of others get worse. I’m not familiar with any metrics where a 0.2% Improvement moves you past 23 other teams..It isn't a 0.2% improvement, it is a 24.2% improvement.
They went from +12.2% to -12.0%. On defense, positive numbers are bad.
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7 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:
Regarding Star:
The Lotulelei "2021 half season" guarantee.......which now applies to 2022......is only guaranteed for injury.
He simply got a $1.75M pay cut in 2020 in exchange for guaranteeing his 2020 salary.........which was about the best they could hope to get back.......because his unamortized bonus money made it untenable to just release him outright.
The $2.5M injury guarantee was Star's agent getting Star a parachute in the event that he were injured in 2020.
As John Feliciano pointed out........Star opted out because his pay was guaranteed..........an unfortunate tactical error by Beane who didn't realize at the time that players would be allowed to opt out and get their 2020 salary pushed to 2021.
Going Forward:
Expect them to try to keep doing what they have done this season...........it's not a compromise..........it's a choice.
With defenses employing nickel or dime defenses over 2/3 of the time you are obviously seeing teams go with just 2 LB's that can play 3 downs..........there is an inherent sacrifice in run defense that choice.
So in an era where there isn't really such a thing as a "running" down anymore........it makes sense for a 40 front to not have to switch out a run-defense-specialist-1T mid-series.
Get your DT's to do the 1T dirty work in small doses and in return for good work give them one-gap reps.
And then if and when the opponent goes to the pass on early downs you aren't left with a bad matchup on plays where the most damage can be done............or you don't get yourself caught running guys off the field and unprepared at the snap in a defensive switch when these high powered offenses go up tempo.
Nobody is pitching shutouts on defense anymore...........there are more first downs played than ever.........steady pass rush and coverage are what you hope for........and not having to substitute your front on a down to down basis is a lot more valuable now. Especially to a team defense like the Bills.
It's true...first downs are more frequent than ever....the Bills just broke the franchise record for consecutive games with 20+ first downs with 11 and counting.
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1 hour ago, billsbackto81 said:
That's what I was referring. They're not there yet but it's not from lack of effort. If you draft what you believe to be a franchise QB you gotta give him a chance and provide him weapons.
Mayfield is more of a game manager right now. Not exactly what I would have hoped for from the #1 pick 3 years in if I was a Browns fan.
Mayfield has 0 300 yard games this year and in 6 of the 11 games he doesn't even have 200 yards passing.
Basically at this point he is a more turnover prone slightly better all around QB than Tyrod.
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Well...sign a 1 year deal and then come back and get a big long term deal.
The average of the 2 years might have worked out the same. ACLs are basically a routine thing to come back from for the most part nowadays.
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38 minutes ago, Bferra13 said:
Is this real or a metaphor? Who dreams about reading the paper about football... who reads a paper anymore?? Hope your okay though!
I know right? I didn't even know they still had papers...
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1 hour ago, billsbackto81 said:
After watching how they drafted Darnold and then did absolutely nothing in the draft or FA to help him develop why would any QB, collegiate or pro want to play for that garbage franchise. I thought I'd never see a more dysfunctional team than the Browns.
I was so wrong..
Browns look like they turned the corner with Stefanski's hiring...
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This game reminds me of playing the Steeler backups and losing when all we needed was a win to get in the playoffs with Bledsoe...Pittsburgh is going to lose this game if they continue playing like this.
2 minutes ago, thenorthremembers said:I see a lot of people saying the Steelers are cheap, while true, they are playing a team notorious for the same cheap crap.
If the Bills did that we would have been raving about smart they were in situational football.
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21 minutes ago, WideNine said:
Yes, I am well-aware of the Fitztragic moments, but he has been more consistent with the phins and the year prior he had a good run with the Bucs.
I just think a rookie QB with a pared down playbook will be easier to defend, and I think their defense has improved. We will see if they try to play man the whole game like they did that first game where Allen picked them apart ... I think they go with that 2-deep zone that has kept Allen under wraps more.
If we play Fitz we win that game. If we play Tua we win that game easily.
Allen has owned the Dolphins for the most part since he arrived.
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2 minutes ago, No_Matter_What said:
There wasn't. It was 3rd down. They could only spike it and kick a FG
That didn't stop the Syracuse QB this past weekend. Just spike it anyway. Who cares what down it is. 🤣🤣
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2 minutes ago, cgang said:
Do we care who wins this game? I’d like Pittsburgh to lose just to end the undefeated run but not if that is at the expense of the Bills playoff position.
If I am going Billsy, Steelers so it pushes the Ravens nearly out of the playoff picture in case we go on a losing streak(which I don't expect us to)
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That being said...82 has to make that catch.
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Well...I didn't think anyone would top Lynn for terrible clock management, but then Harbaugh showed up...
Inexcusable to not get points in that situation.
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11 minutes ago, WideNine said:
I will give you my patented, "go thee and sin no more" reply - for what its worth.
We all get called out from time to time for posting bad info, or missing the sarcasm button. No worries.
Fitz is playing at a high level and his arm is pretty rested. That, and he always brings his "A" game against us.
Tua has good mobility to extend plays and drives, but I don't think he is anywhere near what we faced with Murray and the Phins offense is pretty pared down when he is behind center. I like our chances and McD has done a good job confusing rookie QBs.
You mean like he did in the last game of the season with the Jets in Buffalo when all they needed to do was win to be in and he threw like 3 4th quarter INT's, one being in the end zone, to seal the loss? And miss the playoffs.
Well, he has another week 17 matchup in Buffalo....but I doubt it will matter to us this time for an entirely different reason.
I can't see Tua going back in at this point unless Fitz craps the bed. He really stagnated their offense in the 3 games he played.
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Just now, JGMcD2 said:
Download the Yahoo Sports App on your phone or tablet... you should be able to watch it there.
That is what I am watching it on at work
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4 minutes ago, RoyBatty is alive said:
I bet every defender this year has seen the clip of Josh Allen face masking that 6'5" 248 lb LA Ram. "No Huddle" is correct, Josh has earned his rep points.
LMAO....not only face masking him, but using it to drag him own into another defender and causing them both to fall down, THEN stiff arming Aaron Donald before throwing the ball away.
9 minutes ago, MJS said:What is this Instant Gram thing?
It's when you think about eating a graham cracker in your mind and it instantly appears in your hand.
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1 minute ago, wjag said:
They're going to regret those three points left on the field
I doubt it...Ravens will struggle to get to 17 today.
EDIT: They got the TD regardless after that Griffin pick 6.
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4 minutes ago, Doc Brown said:
It's become instinctive of me that whenever another quarterback makes a boneheaded play my first thought is "what if Allen had done that?"
Plenty of people on this forum and in the media even apparently only think Allen makes those type of plays...which makes me laugh when Rodgers or Roethlesberger or Wilson or Brady does things like that...but nobody talks about them doing them because they are untouchable apparently.
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Trade AJ Klein for for a bag of donuts, a hot pretzel and a hot dog
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
Appears he was an "edge" rusher which in a 3-4 is an OLB...
https://www.si.com/nfl/2013/04/29/bills-trade-lb-kelvin-sheppard-colts-lb-jerry-hughes