Sorry for the long post...but hope you read it.
I have to agree with MDH.
I read an article recently (sorry, can't remember where...but probably related to the Bills) that was talking about how hard it was for coaches to get into the HOF. And one of the things that the voters discuss is how innovative was the coach, did he change or have an affect on the game and how its played?
Look at the list of HOFers who were innovators on top of their great records and titles
George Allen: "The Future is Now" theme; innovated trades in the league, bringing in vets by
giving up future draft choices.
Paul Brown: credited w/ making coaching a science (using classroom style/intelligence tests),
innovated passing game and created a defense to stop his innovation when other
teams started using it.
Weeb Eubank: Jets SB victory in SB III brought fans to the game and solidified NFL/AFL merger.
Ray Flaherty: Introduced the screen pass and the two platoon (rotation) system to the game.
Sid Gillman: "If you want to ring the cash register you have to pass" brought passing game
innovations and organizational skills that were copied league wide.
George Halas: 1st coach to hold daily practices, utilize film, have games broadcast on the radio.
Earl Lambeau: 1st coach to make the forward pass part of the offense.
Tom Landry: Perfected the flex defense, the multiple offense and revived the shotgun spread.
Marv Levy: Revived importance of the kicking game; No-huddle attack.
Earle Neale: Developed Eagle defense which became today's 4-3 defense.
Chuck Noll: Innovated how teams dealt with the draft, built team almost exclusively through
the draft and shrewd moves on draft day.
Steve Owen: Developed the umbrella defense and A-formation offense.
Hank Stram: Devised the two TE offense and stack defense.
Bill Walsh: developed the west coast style passing game.
All of those guys had great records and won 1 or more NFL championships (except for Marv-but 2 Gray Cups, 6 AFC titles, and 4 SB appearences isn't too shaby).
Now how many coaches are there in the Hall who aren't credited with an innovation of some sort and how did they get in without being an innovator:
Guy Chamberlin: 4 NFL Championships with 3 different teams in a 5 year span; 2 undefeated
seasons as player/coach.
Jimmy Conzelman: Was a player/coach/owner; 2 NFL titles w/two different teams.
Joe Gibbs: Only coach to win 3 SBs w/3 different QBs.
Bud Grant: 11 divisional Championships; went to 4 SBs and won one.
Vince Lombardi: NEVER had a losing season. Nuff said. (5 NFL titles and 2 SBs).
John Madden: 10 years w/ Raiders never had a losing season, highest winning pct. of any coach
with more than 100 games. 1 SB title.
Don Shula: Winningest coach in NFL history; 33 years with two teams only 2 losing seasons; 1972
undefeated season. Coached in 6 SBs won 2.
So, it seems to me that a coach (on top of needing to have a great record and championships) has to have either impacted the game in some way (innovations), proven himself with more than one team and or QB (in Gibbs' situation), or simply be one of the absolute best of all times.
Using this criteria Billy B and Billy P are the only coaches now that I would feel comfortable saying are locks.
Have any of the other coaches in the league today brought innovations to the game? Proven themselves in more than one place? Or will be considered one of the absolute best ever (on top of having great records and championships)?
Look forward to hearing arguments for other guys under these conditions (Holmgren, Shanahan?)