
colin
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Everything posted by colin
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if this guy is a good moving and pass blocker and plays really penalty free, i feel like that will help brown (after back surgery recovery and such) a lot. brown looked way better his rookie year than year 2, which tells me his injury was a problem. if he can make that next step and w conner mac beside him, we might actually have a comfortable allen in the pocket, which is game over for opposing Ds
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i don't even think he's top 10 in performance at his position (and you could argue he and milano have interchangeable roles, and matt is better). he has a ton of potential, and was the captain in a great (regular season, statistical) D. he's just not a playmaker
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as free agent contracts, we signed von, dquon, milano, poyer and hyde (first contracts) and even tre white for less than that. i know i know, inflation makes the numbers bigger today, but all of those players had a bigger positive impact on our D than edmunds is (altho edmunds plays a million snaps) that's a good no sign
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i remember when shaq lawson and jordan phillips signed away for big contracts, came back at minimum. i think we are gonna see similar for edmunds. i think he will do well his first year, but i think he's not at the steophon gilmore level.
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if he can be a quality starter, and could slide into C if need be, then all we'd need to do as add an OT to either force dawkins inside or compete w brown, and we are gold on the line. after that, we can spam picks on D and whatever after securing some targets for allen (JJ as a trade would be great). JJ as a trade, we could draft S and MLB and have a flat D and up O, i think that is a winner.
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multi position ability and 13 out of 64 (or so) ranked pass blocking is a good value for 8 per year considering saffold (how on earth did he make the pro bowl?) who wiffed on a score costing mistake vs cinci was getting 6.5 hope it works out, and it lines us up to put money into WR (JJ from denver?) and draft maybe OT and D needs.
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Like a fumbled ball, when you got blocked out of your hole, a near saaaaaaack, but you just couldn't hoooooooold,
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Nyhiem Hines Restructures - Takes a pay cut to stay in Buffalo.
colin replied to Draconator's topic in The Stadium Wall
well, between him and cook we have more speed, pass catching, and athletic ability at RB than we have to start a season since lynch was still here. lets hope we get a target or two, some blocking, and our OC uses them well. we improved last year on O imo because we ran better and had more consistent numbers averaging the same. our total melt down in the playoffs makes me pause on that happy report, but i think w a couple better players this allen lead O could be a record setter. -
plenty of tackles have moved inside and improved their relative play level. getting better at OT would improve more than just those positions, so i'm happy to do that. i really hope brown was trash last season because of his messed up back. if he can fix that and get back on track it would be a huge help for the line.
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miller, daquan, and possibly groot being out hurt out d more than oliver was out. pass on extending him.
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a big issue imo is that we simply have not gotten enough playmakers or big bodies. parcells had his planet argument, basically that there are only so many athletic dancing bear types to play DT, OT, maybe IOL on the planet. we've simply not put enough resources, nor hit enough, on those positions. If we kept teller over spain (how the heck did that mistake get made?) i'll admit the numbers would look a good bit better, but we didn't. on the playmaker side, we got the greatest play maker to ever do it in allen, and they get big credit for that, but at least two of the 3 rbs taken in the first 3 rounds have not been enough, knox is nice but not a world beater, and we just aren't scary beyond that anyhow. the reality is if we draft a stud or two this year, or if elam and cook and a couple other guys ball out (and spencer brown becomes a monster because his back is fixed) that goes a real long way to fixing our issues.
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assuming we ditch oliver or someone who won't impact and this won't stop us getting wr/te/ol which we really need (or i suppose pass rush if that drops in our laps, but less likely imo), then yeah i'd totally spend pegula's money on a sick power back to complete our team. now, if it's him or some sick OT who lets us move dawk inside, then ya, i take the OT. I'd even take an OG if the guy was top 10 level or maybe could also move to C when we lose morse. presuming they get jackson back, i think the biggest impact would be for henry to go to baltimore, tho. that team when they were cruising in 2019 was just a beast.
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between this and what car signed for, it seems like a starting qb in the nfl who is at or above replacement quality costs 35MM per year. based on that, Jackson in baltimore will get 50+ with like 200 guaranteed. similar for dude on the chargers.
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he looked slow and lost in the one game i saw him, but i figure they are going to give dodson some competition but give him a real chance to win the job. i wonder if a UDFA or some rando off the street FA would be able to provide that comp.
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he also averaged those bad numbers w frazier while posting up big pass rush win rate numbers. obv, w miller getting all kinds of sacks in teh same bills scheme (albeit not the whole season), it shows houghs could be better, but ya our coaches were simply not getting max production out of our players. really hope mcd feels huge heat to show out on d as a coach next year.
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Leslie Frazier "taking a year off from coaching" per Bills PR
colin replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
This post should be an autoreply to anyone (looking at you Gunner!) making some regular season stat argument for Frazier being anything but not good enough for this team. Frazier won't adjust and is rotten cheeks in big games. being predictable on D and making fundamental alignment errors is not good enough. -
8-15 touches a game, basically that's RB1 on our team. he can handle that.
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Knox hasn't been consistent, but he's for sure shown big play ability. the problem is one guy is not a TE room. i don't know about what round to pick who in, but adding talent to TE is a pretty good risk reward for our O. i think we have our star RB now w cook and can back him up w whoever, but we have a team running an E-P offense that basically can't line up in two tight end sets. that's terribly limiting especially since we have such poor blocking and until middle of last season, running (w backs). lowering the level of difficulty on O for josh would make the game look unfair at times, i say we do it.
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Frazier: The hard FACTS on why many of us want a change.
colin replied to Alphadawg7's topic in The Stadium Wall
the point alpha makes here that i think is basically rock solid fact is that our falling apart when the chips are down in the playoffs is simply too much. 4 playoff exits, 4 awful D meltdowns by well rated Ds. The O coulda been better in a few of those games, sure, but we have an all timer at qb and a top 3 wr and beyond that a very slanted team wrt resources in O vs D, so we have been riding the d hard. tony romo has a well earned rep as a regular season monster and playoff goof based on his actual performances in games under pressure. not just the actual results of the W or the L, but the observable short comings he has as a player in those pressure situations (remember the extra point kick hold?). as the bills DC (and im willing to consider mcd himself as being guilty, but i'll take what i can get) has done the same freaking thing. our D has looks baffled, bamboozled, flat, unprepared and totally out of position in our playoff exists. they didnt' all forget how to play, and dquan jones being out doesn't make us forget how to cover or pass rush, especially vs an OL missing 3 starters who got worked hard vs baltimore in a game they shoulda lost (meaning that it wasn't like cincy was some on fire playing on their heads hot team either). guys 12 yards back on 3rd and 4 showing a bear front vs cincy down by 7 is just a coaching error. if you are bringing pressure, you need to cover shorter, if you aren't, you won't be able to fall back in time or run up from deep db positions to stop the 1st down, and that's exactly what happened. the kc game as has been pointed out was even worse. we have kelce on tape just changing the play because he saw how the bills were lined up. TWICE. like, if your coach can't figure out how to line up in the biggest game possible to the extent that it dooms your team, then he's gotta go. even if frazier is not at fault at all for the above (which i don't buy anyhow) he still needs to take a walk because the players on the team need to see that the prior results will not be accepted and sometimes a change itself is what makes things work. just to shake it up -
Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
colin replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
id be worried that he's shot physically and just gets hurt. if we had all this cap tied up in him and von and they both got hurt next year (after being hurt the past year) it would suck SO BAD. -
Is Edmunds decision the most difficult Beane has ever faced?
colin replied to Ethan in Cleveland's topic in The Stadium Wall
he's simply not a big enough of an impact player to sign for what another team will pay him, not to us and not in our D at the least. rando mid tier free agent D Jones had a bigger impact on our D being out vs cincy than edmunds ever has. the front 4 and the scheme protects the back 7 in our D, so saving and getting max value in the back 7 is the key to logistical success. a strong improvement in 1 or 2 OL positions which could be secured w what edmunds would make would do so much more to improve our team. our d would be likely slightly worse, but our OL would be much better. if we also improve by adding one additional target, not exactly an impossible task, we legit have a shot at an all time type of offense w josh allen running the show. -
the offseason aside from plugging a couple holes at LB, S, and DT, we have to come away with at least 2 new guys on OL (they don't both have to start, but they have to be there) and at least one new starting quality WR (i suppose a TE and depth at WR might do, but we need a new productive target). I could see a couple picks going towards IOL and working out (heck, i'd take just one working out) but i think we either have to drop a 1st on OT or find a solid OT in FA. this will let us move or move on from brown if he's not better/healthy, or if he is, maybe put the new OT at LT and move dawkins inside. If possible, i'd trade oliver for a 3rd (or whatever) and use those savings (and also either rework hynes or cut him) to get a real OT in FA. if we do that and get like decent jags for LB, DT, RB, and S, and also draft a nice WR and draft an IOL or two, i'd expect us to be a better team Jan 2024 than we were Jan 2023.
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Leslie Frazier "taking a year off from coaching" per Bills PR
colin replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
i think you are onto something with what happened within the bills org, but i think LF won't get HC looks because like KC's OC, he's seen as not really being the guy who runs the D, or at the very least that he doesn't run the D well without the influence of his HC. I think that's correct, and i think w mcd being more involved we will look better in 2023 -
Beane/McDermott Speak to the Media at Scouting Combine
colin replied to Warcodered's topic in The Stadium Wall
Lol, it really is some gas lighting. i really hope this is just soft corch speak and kayfabe to obscure what they are really gonna do. we need two additions at WR/TE, Two new OL, and something at safety and DT. I expect hynes to walk and us to get an RB as well, but it just has to be a warm body condidering 6mm a year hynes got like 12 touches. better protection will help us run and pass, and most importantly stop the total write off blow up plays that we have way too often due to protection breakdowns. throw in two additional actual NFL targets and i legit don't think there is a d in the nfl that can contain allen in a balanced d that doesn't get blown of the ball regularly. -
im all for benford at safety, adn i think mcd has had such a strong record with lower draft pick DBs that he out of anyone has the best chance to make it work, but we also have to consider our future at corner. i think elam is gonna get at least 2 more years to anchor his starting spot at CB, but with his price tag, his consideration of opting out for covid, and his slow slow come back and much lower level of play, i think tre white is out the door after this season when the cap impact is acceptable. hyde, tre white, and oliver are gonna cost us about 40MM against the cap in 2023, the only one of them who i'd think has a shot at playing at a high level is hyde. i think they are all gone for 2024 and we could net improve or stay the same at each position. so it comes down to if we can find someone to replace hyde at safety vs white at CB1. i think rightly our FO considers CB1 much more important and is willing to mix and match a guy into the safety position. it should be noted that mcd is going to be much much more likely to play man d and/or just switch up coverages than frazier was too.