Casey D

hurt

He can be signed away, but he does not have to accept and the Bills can counter and sign him to the 53. Low risk of flight I think,

AI. Says same callups as last week yesterday. Now it says just Davis, which seems unlikely. But deadline was 4 PM yesterday. I also have not seen the usual sources reporting.

yesterday. Davis and Kalu

https://buffalonews.com/sports/professional/nfl/bills/article_136a7d89-7cda-4481-a00a-8695ed6bc032.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=email&utm_campaign=user-share Bills did everything wrong by traditional metrics against Tampa. -1 on turnovers, outrushed 202-98, TOP 35-25 Tampa, Penalties 7 Buffalo 2 Tampa. The only thing the Bills were better at was special teams, which was significant. Despite all that, the Bills won by 12, largely because Brady let Josh Allen be Josh Allen, with all the good and bad that comes with it. The Bills got many explosive plays, and that is why they won. Other notes: Gabe Davis is very good at what he does. Really helped Allen. TD pass to Shavers was essentially a "designed" busted play by Allen. It was 3rd and 5, and Allen had easy first down throws to both Davis and Johnson. But Josh recognized Tampa was playing a soft zone, and he went for the big play instead. This time it worked. The TD to Cook was great play design and read by Allen. Bardy had a number of well-designed plays that were well executed, e.g., the TD to Johnson, designed Allen runs. Kubiak observes that this game should dispel the notion that the Bills are devoid of playmakers. They can make plays if well designed and executed. He concludes: "Allen, for all his abilities, is not a robot. He makes mistakes. It is, in a sense, part of what makes him so special... Above all else, Allen and this team have the potential and explosiveness to beat any team." Behind BN paywall. Go Bills!!! Beat Houston!!!

Davis and Latu

And with a short week, no need to force the issue now. I don't think Coleman is done yet, too much draft capital in him. But he needs to get better in all respects fairly quickly, especially his work ethic.

Davis and Latu

Stroud practicing, but still in protocol and unlikely to play until after Thanksgiving.

According to NYT playoff machine, Bills currently have a 92% chance to make the playoffs. It is +/- 6 % depending on a win or loss. Not exactly a must win, but probably is to keep longshot chances alive for division. Wins against Texans and Pats raises chances from 14% to 40%.

But you focus on the Bills weaknesses and likely don't watch the other contenders' games as closely. No one says the Bills have "fixed" their run defense, it has sucked particularly in the last two games. They have been OK at times. But the point is that every team has problems. The odds are what they are because we are grading on a curve here, not in absolute terms. Maybe that is mumbo jumbo, but I don't think so. You are having a recency bias, but the odds look at the bigger picture.

Well, l the bettors don't see it that way. History matter I guess, as the Bills are 4th overall at +850 behind only the + 800 Chiefs. Bills are favored to win the AFC title at +375. Patriots are +1800 and +600 respectively, although they are heavy favorites to win division at -250. Broncos are +1600 and +600 respectively. What this tells me is the public perception is that all the AFC upstarts are not really that good, and that when crunch time comes they likely will fold. But those are the odds, so take a stab at some of the new "good" teams in the AFC if your convictions are strong as betting against the Bills could be profitable. As Josh said right after the comeback over the Ravens: "next time have a little faith." Not much faith among many here, but what the heck, I understand after Miami. But when the Bills play their game, they will be a tough out.

At the game. It was a blast!! So good to rebound from that crap last week!!

At the stadium. Very windy by my standards, but otherwise nice. Festive!!

Very windy, not bad with wind at back but bad in face. Sun is out with broken clouds. Kind of a perfect day for the Bills against a Florida team.