JohnNord
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Posts posted by JohnNord
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Do we know if Damien Harris is playing?
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1 minute ago, saundena said:
The Ravens have to make a decision on whether or not to pay Lamar. He's obviously a very good player, limited in some respects- yes: but also talented enough to take over a game. But do you give him what could be the biggest contract in league history knowing that he's a big injury and his running skills will deteriorate over time?
From what I've seen from Tyler Huntley, there doesn't seem to be a big drop off between him and Lamar. I wonder if he can get even better with more time and reps.
I wonder if anybody in their front office thinks that the smart play might be to let Lamar walk if he asks for too much and hitch their wagon to Huntley instead.
Huntley might be a better passer than Lamar but Lamar is a much better runner…
Pretty sure they re-sign Lamar but I wouldn’t be shocked to see them try to trade Huntley for a mid-round draft pick
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On 12/18/2021 at 5:32 PM, Simon said:
Last time I saw him he was absolutely horrible.
And I'm talking not good enough to make a depleted roster horrible.
He was really bad with Minnesota
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1 hour ago, PromoTheRobot said:
Happy they won? Worried at the lack of confidence in the offensive play calling? Disturbed by the ease they moved the ball on us? Upset by the lack of discipline penalties? What does this game tell us about the rest of the season?
What lack of confidence? It’s an offense with a QB that’s playing behind 2 shaky Tackles against two solid edge rushers.
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14 hours ago, NewEra said:
It’ll be a real shame if we go into next season with the same three RBs. They could succeed if we crush the off season and build a beast OL (but doubtful), I’d just like to see them add a different type of talent to the mix. I’m over Moss. Breida is an idiot, he needs to go, regardless of speed. Now I know why he was in the doghouse and couldn’t get on the field competing against 2 JAGs in Miami.
I’d be fine trading Moss for a 7th or cutting him. Not resigning Breida and drafting a back in rd 2-4 or adding a FA while giving Antonio Williams a chance at the rb3. If he stinks, there will be free agents capable of filling the role.
Brieda will likely be gone. He’s on a 1 year deal. The other two will be interesting. I can see the Bills moving on from either Moss or Singletary. But both will still be on rookie deals, so it’s hard to say
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1 hour ago, Sheneneh Jenkins said:
While there's plenty of blame to go around for offensive struggles lately from injuries affecting the OL, poor execution etc...having taken all of those things into consideration I still feel Daboll has been more of the reason than those others imo.
His lack of adjustments and questionable decisions has been more of the problem than anything else imo
The whole “lack of adjustments”’is a fallacy. If you watch the film you know there’s been plenty of times where they’ve tried to make adjustment on offense and defense. It just didn’t work. At the end of the day the problem is an OL and DL who get pushed around
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You don’t need to lead the league in rushing but having the threat of a run is important and that only comes with competence.
We’re seeing what happens in Buffalo and KC when a high-powered offense can’t run the football. Teams play Cover 2 and drop men into coverage. Teams either need a QB with pinpoint accuracy on short passes or a running game to take advantage of a weak box.
The Bills have neither and also a poor OL to boot.
This is a huge reason why the Bills offense has struggled so much.
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22 hours ago, Nextmanup said:
I would hate for us to burn a 1st or 2nd round draft choice on a RB!
Don’t worry…it’s not in the DNA of team leadership. You are more likely to see another 1st round DL or OL than you are to see a 1st round running back
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2 hours ago, Chandler#81 said:
That’s the spirit. Keep ‘em coming.
This from the guy that starts 10 threads a week..🤦♂️
Is that a lot?
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54 minutes ago, RiotAct said:
I mean, he’s not wrong…
Thanks for the support
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Bills could so lose a low scoring game to Carolina
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10 minutes ago, Ethan in Portland said:
Yup and still a battle to even make the playoffs. McDermott sucks
Spoken like a true scapegoat
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Just now, Doc said:
If he has 2 negative tests at least 24 hours apart he'll be good to go.
Since they added him today they’d not gonna happen. Maybe next week versus NE.
Jack Doyle to make his first start at LT versus Hassan Reddick and Brian Burns. This is gonna get ugly
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7 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:
Do you really think Dawkins has been our best OLman this year? Because I think he's kind of sucked, most of the time.
I think think Morse has actually been the best but I would put Dawkins up next. He’s had a few good weeks
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3 hours ago, Doc Brown said:
In this game it was because every 4th down attempt was under five yards and in the Chiefs territory. I agree with you as it's the way you have to play against the Chiefs. Staley would be commended for his boldness if they complete even just one of those fourth downs they missed as they pry win the game.
Staley stuck to his guns and I respect that. The only questionable decision was not going for 2 up 7 in the 4th quarter to make it a two possession game. You've been aggressive all game. Why not go for two there?
The only decision I really didn’t like was at the end of the half where he passed up a FG. You can argue this was the difference in the gameI didn’t mind going for it early and the other 4th down was a long FG was a toss up. The 3 points aren’t a guarantee from that distance.
I think Staley was helped by the fact that Lc kept shooting themselves in the foot. They blew some chances to take advantage. So because of that, it makes the decisions look less important than they really were to the game.
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19 minutes ago, Logic said:
When Sal posted this on Twitter, SO MANY people replied calling it nonsense and ragging on McDermott.
The only thing is, 99% of their arguments were, well....not really arguments at all.
While you may not agree with Edj Sports' list or their reasoning, it's at least based on a quantifiable set of statistics that are based on how each decision affects win likelihood percentage. In other words, there is at least method to their madness.
By contrast, the people who want to crap on the list and say it's nonsense don't really have anything to back up their claims other than their subjective opinion, their gut feeling, or their lingering upset over recent Bills losses.
Put differently: Who is more likely to have an accurate read on this situation? The unbiased, statistical analysis based study, or the angry Bills fans that call into radio shows? I know who I'm going with.
All that this list shows is that McDermott isn’t as conservative on 4th down according to the analytics, as it would appear.It does not prove that he’s perfect or that he always makes the right decisions. Just that in terms of game decisions he usually follows the data
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1 hour ago, BADOLBILZ said:
Yeah I heard Sal and Joe talking about this on WGR this am.
14th in 4th down decisions.......coaching a team that isn't built to succeed by being cautious.......has had a significantly large game day impact since his sphincter tightened up in that AFCCG.
A good comparison might be Staley versus McDermott on 4th downs.
They have very comparable superstar QB talents in Allen and Herbert.........but Staley coaches to win on 4th down and McD has been coaching "not to lose" while having the more talented (but also mistake prone) roster.
Belichick ranks 30th in 4th down decision making..........but despite CCI claiming to take a ton of things into account........what it fails to show is that Belichick's team is built to play and win by being conservative. They are conservative because they aren't dynamic but instead are just excellent in execution on both sides of the ball.
The Bills are dynamic but not consistent in execution on either side of the ball. So over the 10-12 possessions they get per game they are best served trying to separate rather than keep the score close.
Two distinctly different types of teams but McDermott plays it too much like he has the team that is built to win close games, which he does not.
I think that’s fair but there’s a flip side to a Brandon Staley as well. I saw a LAC game earlier this year again Baltimore. LAC fell behind and Staley went for it on fourth down a few times before the half and then once in third. These were aggressive moves. They didn’t convert them and ended up getting blown out. Game was over in the 3rd.
I think McDermott could take a few more chances. I didn’t like the punts - but some of the criticism he takes about being overly conservative is overblown.
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5 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:
They've earned time. I think once you have back to back winning seasons you must have have back to back losing seasons before the seat gets hot.
Thats why the bitching about firing McDermott is beyond me. You can complain all you want about a coach but firing someone the after he took the team the AFCECG is a joke.
I get the impression that some in the media don’t care for him and heavily criticize him.
Above all else, McDermott has like 4 years left on his deal. Even if the Bills end up at 7-10 and 6-11 in 2022 he’s still probably keep his job.
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1 hour ago, Nextmanup said:
This is an extremely narrow interpretation of his in-game decision making, which by and large has been terrible.
And no, he does not do what the math suggests he do, anywhere close to most of the time.
Not true, he usually does which is why he’s ranked so highly on the list. I didn’t like the punts in the 4th quarter but one was a coin flip and the other actually favored for punting.1 hour ago, Ethan in Portland said:This is just one aspect of his job. Ourside of the 4th and 3 call against Tampa I've been moslty ok with his in game decisions. I dont get too worked by the choice for going for two or an XP. The percentages aren't that much different. Issues I have with him is roster make-up, lack of player development, in game adjustments, and overall regression of the team.
Yeah I hear you…. I think the bigger issue is the roster and player development. People have said that the Bills don’t make in-game adjustments when they have. The adjustments were big failures.
To that extent though, I think you have to look Brandon Beane and his staff as well
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Many people have chastised Sean McDermott’s “conservative” decisions with the Bills. It turns out that he’s one of the best at following what the analytics suggest.
EDJ sports and analytics company created a model to analyze every coaching decisions. The CCI stat specifically evaluated coaches on 4th down decisions.
McDermott ranks 5th on this list among coaches overall. 14th in CCI and 4th in EPI.
Like Greg says below, he’s far from perfect, but he’s also not the Richard Jauron or Doug Marrone that some make him out to be.
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9 minutes ago, uticaclub said:
The biggest difference was that Giants had excellent defensive and offensive lines, they were the strength of the team. Our lines are our weakness.
I can’t really remember the games leading up or the Super Bowl but NYG really benefitted from a great matchup. They were on of the few teams that could pressure New England without blitzing - especially up the middle. It completely threw off Brady. -
Funny that you bring the 2007 NYG team up. I thought about them the other day as well.
I don’t subscribe to moral victories by any means but in Week 17 there was a ton of attention on the game against 16-0 New England who were absolutely rolling teams.
Everyone expected them to roll over but they played New England tough and have them the toughest fight they had in weeks. Many players said this was a confidence building moment even in a losing effort.
I’m hoping this is the case with Buffalo in Tampa the other night. I could see it but aI could also see the Bills blowing a game or two to finish 8-9. So much variance with this team - you never know what you will get
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4 hours ago, D. L. Hot-Flamethrower said:
Advantage for Tampa Bay having a 100% vaccination rate.
He was vaccinated as well. He is a automatic and hopes to play Sunday. Long shot probably
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3 hours ago, Mr. WEO said:
Morse was an expensive mistake from the get go (why does KC let him go?--won the SB without him).
Dawkins is their highest graded O-lineman (he's not highly rated).
Ford stinks, right off the bus.
Feliciano is a Walmart greeter. He showed his soft creamy filling in last year's AFCC game (including the embarrassing "HOLD ME BACK!!" pantomime at the end of the game).
None of this is new this year...
I don’t share the shame view on Morse. He was perhaps the top center in free agency when the Bills signed him. Did they overpay for him? Probably, but that’s what happens in FA. Beane wanted to make sure Josh could learn with a solid veteran center and that what Morse has been.Dawkins struggled early this season and has played much better over the past 2 weeks.
Ford and Feliciano were pretty big busts
Should Davis start over Sanders going forward?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
The offense is so much better with Davis active. We definitely want to mix in Sanders but Davis deserves to be WR 2