syhuang

ALERT....ALERT....SKY IS FALLING...... Some one who only trusted observations and was so afraid of stats is actually showing stats. His next step is to learn to distinguish a offensive lineman and a rushing direction. ALERT....ALERT....SKY IS FALLING......

After further review and taking bye weeks into consideration, Bills offense only ranked 20th in average yards and ranked 21th in average passing yards on the games Holcomb started last season. It's ok to promote Holcomb, but try to show correct stats next time.

These numbers are meaningless. You need to take bye weeks into consideration. During the 8 games Holcomb started last season, there're many teams having their bye weeks. You can not compare the accumulated stats of 8 games to other teams which only played 7 games.

Rotoworld reports it's a second round draft pick.

I never disagree Lions' chance of going 11-5 is possible but close to improbable. I just point out his monkey example is not a good one. The possibilities of winning one lottery and winning 995227 consecutive lotteries are low. But in math, these two are not even comparable, winning one lottery is much possible comparing to winning 995227 consecutive lotteries.

I know you try to show how impossible Lions going 11-5 is, but your monkey case is really not a good example. If Lions' chance to win one game is p (0<p<1), the chance of Lions going 11-5 is p^11*(1-p)^5. Let's say p is only 30%, the possibility of Lions going 11-5 is about 0.0000298%. If p is 20%, the possibility of 11-5 is about 0.000000671%. Of course, the chance of winning each game is different. However, the possibility of Lions winning 11 games is in the range of above numbers and is higher than winning one lottery. It is much much much higher than a monkey randomly type the whole Shakespeare work. There're total 884647 words in Shakespeare and average 4.5 characters per word. Therefore, the possibility of randomly typing the whole Shakespeare works is (10^-7961823), it's 7961823 zeros after decimal point. How low is it? It's about winning 995227 consecutive lotteries.

Randy Moss' base salary in next two seasons: 2007: 9.75 million 2008: 11.25 millon

and Roy Williams is a MIA and hasn't practiced this week. He also has a neck injury. http://highlightreel.blogs.mlive.com/default.asp?item=221004 Q: What is up with Roy Williams? A: He's been taking care of personal issues. They don't know where he is. They've talked to him, and he says he'll play. Until they actually see him, they won't know for sure. He says he will play.

I don't think NFL ever has a 0-16 team. The closest one is Tampa Bay's 0-14 in 1976 (part of their 26-game losing streak).

Many of the ESPN readers don't agree with their experts though. http://proxy.espn.go.com/chat/sportsnation...g?event_id=2497

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/features/talent 7 out of 8 ESPN "experts" pick Lions to get their first win this wee In a related news, ESPN still insists all Bills draft picks are reaches and Levy is too old to be a GM.

What a conclusion!!

Shouldn't it be Mike Gandy instead of Tutan Reyes who ranks number 1 overall in left tackle by VABills interpretation?

Again, you misunderstand the number and can't admit your mistake. The stat you refer to is not comparing individual lineman, it's comparing the whole O-line. Do you think only Shelton is blocking opposite players when Brown rushes 'left tackle' direction and other linemans just sit and watch? Shelton may be more important when Brown rushes 'left tackle' direction, but it's NOT an evluation on his overall rush block ability, let's alone the overall left tackle position ability. And you must realize there're other directions the RB rushes!? The stats show Miami offensive line does well on one of the directions their RB rushes, not even the overall run block. Where does your top10LT come from? Admit your mistake first, in your original post you said "Look halfway down, where they show the left tackle "stats" and then the average. They have Shelton with a 4.80 and ranked 9th in the league. the average LT is 4.28, what ever that means", you clearly mistake "left tackle" as a player instead of a direction. But you are just too pride to face your own mistake.

How can you be this stupid? Miami has some success on rushing left tackle direction, does this mean their left tackle (Shelton) is a good lineman overall in pass protection and run block?

It seems like you still can't understand in some cases 'left tackle' means the direction RB rushes.

You're so funny, you need to understand what the number means before BS it. The stat you refer to is not comparing players, it's comparing how the offensive line performs on each direction the running back rushes, the direction includes "Left End", "Left Tackle", "MID/Guard", "Right Tackle", "Right End". Again, the "Left Tackle" listed in the table is not a player (Sheltion), it's a direction. For example, in the following play-by-play: "R.Brown left tackle to MIA 20 for 4 yards (L.Fletcher-Baker; A.Crowell).", the left tackle means a direction, not a player.

You use the total yards on offense and defense for the team ranking. However, does "total yards" really reflect the real team ability? We have to take more into consideration, for example, opponent's strength. Gaining 100 yards against Bears' defense shouldn't be viewed the same as 100 yards against Raiders' defense. Besides, the game circumstance is also important, for example, when you're leading by 20 points late in the game, you usually become conservative. Furthermore, touchdowns, turnovers, and drive success rate should all be considered when ranking team offense and defense. Using a more advanced stas, DVOA, which take all of above into account, Bills' offense is ranked 24th and defense is 18th.

I don't remember Spikes practiced fully in two consecutive days in last few weeks, do you?

In Chris Brown's blog, he mentioned Spikes practiced again today. He is close to return, maybe as early as this week. Also, Villarrial practiced today. http://www.buffalobills.com/blog/index.jsp?post_id=515

Vincent is releaed now because he has recovered from injury and is ready to play. Eagles may bring him back since they're thin on secondary.

The point is to get the right players for your system. What I was trying to say is that a light-weight DT is not a problem for Tampa 2. I don't think Marv, Jauron and other coaches use a restrict rule on DT's weight and neglect any DT weights more than certain pounds. The DTs fit Tampa 2 require speed and penetration. As long as a DT has speed and can penetrate, he fits Tampa 2 no matter how heavy he is.

The tampa 2 defense has lighter quicker DT's in the 300 lb range. Please refer to my old post which lists the DT size of teams using Tampa 2.

Kevin Jones also suffered a concussion last Sunday and Roy Williams had a neck injury. They may be able to play this week but probably won't be 100%.