mramefa

I think running two TEs is actually a very good move for the pats and people here are overlooking how much it could help them. Cam has actually had the best success in his career throwing to TEs, with Greg Olsen leading the Panthers in receiving four years straight from 2013-2016. Greg Olsen also had by far the five best years of his career with Cam throwing to him (https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/O/OlseGr00.htm). From my perspective, Cam is best as a scrambling, run-option QB, and good TEs can help a lot those schemes.

Yet the second Fitzpatrick came in for Rosen, it looked like a different offense. How do you explain that?

Another option is to name it after Ralph Malph from Happy Days

Yeah, they did

Fair point. The math just shows it’s improbable that the high density of patriots players opting out is totally random (assuming players make decisions independently of each other). A player revolt against Belichick is another plausible explanation.

The patriots are doing something fundamentally different in their approach. Let me support that with some statistics. Right now there are 25 players opting out, 6 on the pats (source: https://www.nfl.com/news/list-of-nfl-players-to-opt-out-of-2020-season). If all players opt out with equal probability, there is a 1/32 chance each is on the pats. The total number of players on the pats opting out would be binomially distributed, with 25 coin flips, and success with probability 1/32 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution). The probability of 6 or more successes (i.e., players opting out) is p<1*10e-4 (https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial.aspx). Therefore having this many opt-outs on the pats randomly occurring would happen 1 in 10,000 times. Also come on, it's the pats.

He only had 25k guaranteed (https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/baltimore-ravens/deanthony-thomas-14535/), but gets 150k for the opt out. Could he have been told he would have to fight for a spot on the team? Could have been a calculated financial decision, especially taking risks into account.

Two economists walk down the street and seeing a $20 bill lying on the sidewalk. The first economist says, "Look at that $20 bill." The second says, "That can't really be a $20 bill lying there, because if it were, someone would have picked it up already." So they walk on, leaving the $20 bill undisturbed.

If that’s true, then how did Wilson complete less than 60% of his passes each of his first three years in college?

de·prav·i·ty /dəˈpravədē/ noun moral corruption; wickedness.

One very important data point is that Belichick has seen more of Stidham than anyone else, and thinks Stidham can get it done at the NFL level. Based on that I'd bet he is at least somewhat successful.

I respect your right to this opinion, even though I think it is dumb.

What do you think the magic is for????

First they came for the alcohol, and I did not speak out— Because I did not drink alcohol.

The combine order for throwing absolutely changed the perception of Fromm. Fromm threw right after Eason, who clocked in at 59mph and was the fastest thrower in the combine. Fromm clocked in at 53mph, which is reasonable for the NFL. Watson threw 45mph in comparison... Among the other top prospects this draft, only Herbert threw a little faster than Fromm (55/54mph). Here's what the data shows: Year: 2020 Jacob Eason Washington 59 (Left) 59 (Right) Jake Luton Oregon State 59 (Left) 56 (Right) Steven Montez Colorado 58 (Left) 59 (Right) Kevin Davidson Princeton 57 (Left) 56 (Right) Justin Herbert Oregon 55 (Left) 54 (Right) James Morgan Florida International 54 (Left) 54 (Right) Jordan Love Utah State 54 (Left) 53 (Right) Jalen Hurts Oklahoma 54 (Left) 51 (Right) Jake Fromm Georgia 53 (Left) 53 (Right) Nate Stanley Iowa 52 (Left) 54 (Right) Anthony Gordon Washington State 52 (Left) 51 (Right) Brian Lewerke Michigan State 51 (Left) 49 (Right) Cole McDonald Hawaii 51 (Left) 47 (Right) Shea Patterson Michigan 50 (Left) 51 (Right) Kelly Bryant Missouri 47 (Left) 45 (Right) Joe Burrow – did not throw Tua Tagovailoa – did not throw